3A playoff analysis, by Lance Ridpath
District 1
Harlan (6-0), Winterset (5-1) and Lewis Central (5-1) are all in.
Carroll (3-3) qualifies if:
-They beat Glenwood (1-5)
-Creston (3-3) loses to Harlan (6-0)
Creston (3-3) qualifies if:
-The beat Harlan (6-0) AND Carroll loses to Glenwood
District 2
Sioux City Heelan (6-0), Boyden-Hull-Rock Valley (5-1) and LeMars (4-2) are all in.
Denison-Schleswig (3-3) can qualify if any of the following happen:
–They beat Boyden-H-RV
–Spencer (0-6) beats Sergeant Bluff-Luton
–They lose to BHRV by one point, and Storm Lake beats Heelan by 8 points or less
–Note: Other scoring combinations involving BHRV and Storm Lake exist.
Sergeant Bluff-Luton (2-4) can qualify if:
–They beat Spencer, AND Denison-Schleswig loses AND Storm Lake loses
–They beat Spencer, AND Denison-Schleswig loses AND Boyden-H-RV loses
–They beat Spencer by 13 or more, AND Denison-Schleswig loses by 7 or more AND Storm Lake wins by 1 point (or in overtime)
Storm Lake (2-4) can qualify only if:
–They beat Heelan by 10 points or more, AND Denison-Schleswig loses AND Sergeant Bluff-Luton wins
–Note: Other scoring combinations involving BHRV AND Storm Lake exist.
District 3
Clear Lake (6-0), Webster (5-1), Ballard (4-2) and Boone (4-2) are all in.
District 4
Decorah (5-1), West Delaware (5-1), Waverly-Shell Rock (5-1) and Oelwein (4-2) are all in.
District 5
LaPorte City Union (6-0) and Marion (5-1) are in.
Maquoketa (3-3) can qualify if any of the following happen:
–They beat Marion AND Western Dubuque loses
–They beat Marion AND Vinton-Shellsburg loses
–Central Clinton AND Western Dubuque both lose, AND Vinton-Shellsburg wins
–Central Clinton AND Vinton-Shellsburg both lose, AND Western Dubuque wins
Central Clinton (3-3) qualifies if any of the following happen:
–They beat Center Point-Urbana AND Western Dubuque, Vinton-Shellsburg and Maquoketa all win –Western Dubuque, Vinton-Shellsburg, and Maquoketa all lose
–They beat Center Point-Urbana by 5 points or more
–They beat Center Point-Urbana AND Vinton-Shellsburg loses
–They beat Center Point-Urbana AND Maquoketa loses
Vinton-Shellsburg (3-3) qualifies if any of the following happen:
–They beat Union AND Western Dubuque and Maquoketa both lose.
–Central Clinton wins AND Western Dubuque and Maquoketa both lose.
–They beat Union AND Westerun Dubuque wins AND Central Clinton loses.
–They beat Union by 13 points or more AND Central Clinton wins by 4 points or less AND Western Dubuqe loses
Westen Dubuque (3-3) qualifies if any of the following happen:
–They beat Anamosa AND Maquoketa loses
–They beat Anamosa AND Central Clinton loses
–They beat Anamosa AND Vinton-Shellsburg wins
–Central Clinton, Maquoketa and Vinton-Shellsburg all lose
District 6
Solon (6-0), Grinnell, (5-1), Williamsburg (5-1) and Clear Creek-Amana (3-3) are all in.
District 7
Pella (6-0), Mount Pleasant (5-1) and Oskaloosa (5-1) are all in.
Fairfield (3-3) can qualify if any of the following happen:
–They beat Keokuk (1-5)
–Fort Madison (3-3) loses Oskaloosa
Fort Madison (3-3) can qualify only if:
–They beat Oskaloosa AND Fairfield loses to Oskaloosa
District 8
Carlisle (5-1) is in.
ADM (4-2) can qualify if any of the following happen:
–They beat Perry (2-4)
–Dallas Center-Grimes loses to Knoxville
–Newton loses to Carlisle
–Norwalk beats Saydel
–They lose by 1 point (or in overtime) AND Norwalk loses by 8 points or more
–They lose by 6 points or less AND Norwalk loses by 13 points or more
–Note: More scoring combinations exist involving Norwalk
Dallas Center-Grimes (4-2) can qualify if any of the following happen:
–They beat Knoxville (2-4)
–Norwalk beats Saydel
–ADM loses to Perry
–Carlisle beats Newton
Norwalk (4-2) can qualify if any of the following happen:
–They beat Saydel
–Dallas Center-Grimes loses to Knoxville
–Carlisle beats Newton
Newton (3-3) can qualify if any of the following happen:
–They beat Carlisle, AND Dallas Center-Grimes beats Knoxville AND Norwalk loses to Saydel
–They beat Carlisle, AND Knoxville beats Dallas Center-Grimes AND Norwalk loses to Saydel AND Perry loses to ADM