After reading the North Tama-Madrid score, I was reminded of the 2003 finals and the 2009 semi-finals.
pregame:
+ –> Madrid favored
– –> Madrid overdogs
actual:
+ –> Madrid wins
– –> Madrid loses
opponent pregame actual
2003 semi-finals Martensdale-St Marys +15.40 +16
2003 finals Treynor +6.39 -27
2004 semi-finals West Bend-Mallard -13.32 -33
2007 semi-finals Wapsie Valley -8.46 -7
2008 semi-finals Southern Cal -22.61 -13
2009 semi-finals Southern Cal +16.40 -6
2010 semi-finals LeMars Gehlen +15.57 +11
2010 finals Traer North Tama +13.56 -9
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Average +2.87 -8.5
Average difference: 11.17 points
residuals: (0.60, -33.39, -19.68, 1.46, 9.61, -22.40, -4.57, -22.56)
Using the t-stat function in octave: [pval, t, df] = t_test(a,0,”<") pval = 0.035400; t = -2.1288; df = 7 3.54% chance that Madrid's under-performance is solely due to chance. According to the 5% rule of significance, UNI-Dome location is a significant variable in prediction of Madrid scores, 2001-2010.