02/15 4A-3A BBB Substate Probabilities


4A Substate Championship probabilities


Substate 1        

Rnk Team                    Prob
 39 Sioux City North       0.007
 48 CB Jefferson           0.000
 13 Sioux City East        0.911
 29 CB Lewis Central       0.063
 35 CB Lincoln             0.019
 47 Sioux City West        0.000

Substate 2

Rnk Team                    Prob
 25 Ames                   0.000
 21 Marshalltown           0.004
  6 WDM Valley             0.323
  3 Waukee                 0.662
 19 Fort Dodge             0.004
 18 Mason City             0.006

Substate 3

Rnk Team                    Prob
 30 Waterloo West          0.005
 38 Cedar Rapids Prairie   0.001
 10 Cedar Falls            0.510
 11 CR Jefferson           0.475
 27 Epworth W Dubuque      0.008
 43 Waterloo East          0.000

Substate 4

Rnk Team                    Prob
 31 Bettendorf             0.006
 28 Dubuque Hempstead      0.008
 14 Cedar Rapids Kennedy   0.585
 34 Dubuque Senior         0.014
 16 CR Washington          0.387
 46 Clinton                0.000

Substate 5

Rnk Team                    Prob
 36 Davenport North        0.004
 37 Muscatine              0.001
 17 Davenport West         0.360
 12 Iowa City West         0.576
 23 Davenport Central      0.056
 32 Burlington             0.003

Substate 6

Rnk Team                    Prob
 22 Ottumwa                0.007
 24 Cedar Rapids Xavier    0.000
  1 Marion Linn-Mar        0.956
 20 Eldridge North Scott   0.033
 26 Pleasant Valley        0.004
 42 Iowa City High         0.000

Substate 7

Rnk Team                    Prob
 33 Des Moines Lincoln     0.000
 40 Des Moines North       0.000
  2 Ankeny                 0.712
  5 Johnston               0.220
  9 Southeast Polk         0.068
 45 Des Moines East        0.000

Substate 8

Rnk Team                    Prob
  8 WDM Dowling            0.134
 44 Newton                 0.000
  4 Des Moines Hoover      0.520
  7 Urbandale              0.297
 15 Des Moines Roosevelt   0.050
 41 Indianola              0.000

3A Substate Championship probabilities


Substate 1        

Rnk Team                    Prob
  2 Sioux City Heelan      0.882
 52 Red Oak                0.000
 35 Glenwood               0.001
 30 Atlantic               0.001
 12 LeMars                 0.052
 26 Denison-Schleswig      0.001
 10 Harlan                 0.063
 47 Sergeant Bluff-Luton   0.000

Substate 2

Rnk Team                    Prob
 19 Webster City           0.051
 39 Humboldt               0.001
  8 MOC-Floyd Valley       0.614
 42 Spirit Lake            0.001
 14 Carroll                0.285
 49 Spencer                0.000
 25 Storm Lake             0.017
 21 Algona                 0.030

Substate 3

Rnk Team                    Prob
  6 Iowa Falls-Alden       0.390
 45 Charles City           0.000
 24 Clear Lake             0.008
 40 Hampton-Dumont         0.000
  4 Waverly-Shell Rock     0.599
 58 Waukon                 0.000
 33 Cresco Crestwood       0.003
 50 Decorah                0.000

Substate 4

Rnk Team                    Prob
 23 Van Horne Benton       0.209
 44 LaPorte City Union     0.006
 22 Vinton-Shellsburg      0.213
 43 Oelwein                0.006
 18 Mount Vernon           0.323
 56 Independence           0.000
 20 Marion                 0.235
 41 Center Point-Urbana    0.010

Substate 5

Rnk Team                    Prob
  9 Solon                  0.177
 63 Anamosa                0.000
 28 Clear Creek-Amana      0.001
  3 Davenport Assumption   0.343
  5 Dubuque Wahlert        0.459
 46 West Delaware          0.000
 16 Central Clinton        0.020
 38 Maquoketa              0.000

Substate 6

Rnk Team                    Prob
  1 Mount Pleasant         0.843
 53 Fort Madison           0.000
 27 Keokuk                 0.002
 59 Fairfield              0.000
  7 Pella                  0.146
 15 Oskaloosa              0.008
 36 Washington             0.001
 34 Williamsburg           0.001

Substate 7

Rnk Team                    Prob
 13 Dallas Center-Grimes   0.826
 62 Saydel                 0.000
 54 Nevada                 0.001
 55 Perry                  0.001
 29 Grinnell               0.108
 64 Tama South Tama        0.000
 32 Huxley Ballard         0.064
 51 Boone                  0.001

Substate 8

Rnk Team                    Prob
 11 Norwalk                0.573
 37 Creston                0.009
 17 Adel ADM               0.246
 57 Winterset              0.000
 31 Centerville            0.161
 61 Knoxville              0.000
 48 Carlisle               0.010
 60 Chariton               0.000