02/19 4A-3A BBB Substate Probabilities


4A Substate Championship probabilities


Substate 1

Rnk Team                    Prob
 40 Sioux City North       0.006
 48 CB Jefferson           0.000
 10 Sioux City East        0.913
 29 CB Lewis Central       0.062
 36 CB Lincoln             0.018
 47 Sioux City West        0.000

Substate 2

Rnk Team                    Prob
 25 Ames                   0.001
 23 Marshalltown           0.005
  7 WDM Valley             0.299
  4 Waukee                 0.679
 18 Fort Dodge             0.010
 19 Mason City             0.006

Substate 3

Rnk Team                    Prob
 33 Waterloo West          0.006
 38 Cedar Rapids Prairie   0.000
 11 Cedar Falls            0.500
 14 CR Jefferson           0.483
 27 Epworth W Dubuque      0.010
 43 Waterloo East          0.000

Substate 4

Rnk Team                    Prob
 31 Bettendorf             0.005
 28 Dubuque Hempstead      0.006
 12 Cedar Rapids Kennedy   0.571
 34 Dubuque Senior         0.012
 16 CR Washington          0.406
 46 Clinton                0.000

Substate 5

Rnk Team                    Prob
 35 Davenport North        0.004
 37 Muscatine              0.001
 17 Davenport West         0.366
 13 Iowa City West         0.561
 22 Davenport Central      0.064
 32 Burlington             0.003

Substate 6

Rnk Team                    Prob
 21 Ottumwa                0.008
 24 Cedar Rapids Xavier    0.001
  1 Marion Linn-Mar        0.950
 20 Eldridge North Scott   0.037
 26 Pleasant Valley        0.003
 42 Iowa City High         0.000

Substate 7

Rnk Team                    Prob
 30 Des Moines Lincoln     0.000
 39 Des Moines North       0.000
  2 Ankeny                 0.711
  5 Johnston               0.226
  9 Southeast Polk         0.063
 44 Des Moines East        0.000

Substate 8

Rnk Team                    Prob
  8 WDM Dowling            0.125
 45 Newton                 0.000
  3 Des Moines Hoover      0.557
  6 Urbandale              0.282
 15 Des Moines Roosevelt   0.036
 41 Indianola              0.000

3A Substate Championship probabilities


Substate 1

Rnk Team                    Prob
  2 Sioux City Heelan      0.879
 52 Red Oak                0.000
 35 Glenwood               0.001
 32 Atlantic               0.001
 13 LeMars                 0.060
 28 Denison-Schleswig      0.000
 14 Harlan                 0.059
 45 Sergeant Bluff-Luton   0.000

Substate 2

Rnk Team                    Prob
 20 Webster City           0.039
 39 Humboldt               0.001
  7 MOC-Floyd Valley       0.624
 38 Spirit Lake            0.001
 12 Carroll                0.299
 49 Spencer                0.000
 25 Storm Lake             0.013
 21 Algona                 0.023

Substate 3

Rnk Team                    Prob
  8 Iowa Falls-Alden       0.398
 46 Charles City           0.000
 26 Clear Lake             0.009
 40 Hampton-Dumont         0.000
  4 Waverly-Shell Rock     0.590
 58 Waukon                 0.000
 34 Cresco Crestwood       0.003
 51 Decorah                0.000

Substate 4

Rnk Team                    Prob
 23 Van Horne Benton       0.199
 43 LaPorte City Union     0.009
 22 Vinton-Shellsburg      0.215
 44 Oelwein                0.005
 19 Mount Vernon           0.307
 57 Independence           0.000
 18 Marion                 0.256
 41 Center Point-Urbana    0.010

Substate 5

Rnk Team                    Prob
  9 Solon                  0.157
 63 Anamosa                0.000
 27 Clear Creek-Amana      0.001
  3 Davenport Assumption   0.349
  5 Dubuque Wahlert        0.471
 47 West Delaware          0.000
 17 Central Clinton        0.022
 42 Maquoketa              0.000

Substate 6

Rnk Team                    Prob
  1 Mount Pleasant         0.809
 54 Fort Madison           0.000
 29 Keokuk                 0.001
 60 Fairfield              0.000
  6 Pella                  0.180
 15 Oskaloosa              0.008
 36 Washington             0.000
 33 Williamsburg           0.001

Substate 7

Rnk Team                    Prob
 11 Dallas Center-Grimes   0.820
 62 Saydel                 0.000
 53 Nevada                 0.001
 55 Perry                  0.001
 24 Grinnell               0.117
 64 Tama South Tama        0.000
 30 Huxley Ballard         0.060
 50 Boone                  0.000

Substate 8

Rnk Team                    Prob
 10 Norwalk                0.601
 37 Creston                0.005
 16 Adel ADM               0.241
 56 Winterset              0.000
 31 Centerville            0.143
 61 Knoxville              0.000
 48 Carlisle               0.010
 59 Chariton               0.000