Notes:
1. Implied state seeding is based on: 1) current records and 2) assumption that the substate favorite wins.
2. In this model, #2, #3, #5, #6 ranked teams are scheduled to be on the lower half of the bracket. Parity of #3-#6 will create much more congestion for #2 Iowa City West to overcome.
3. Ankeny gets all positive biases: 8th seeded Senior is actually ranked #12, 5th seeded Hoover is actually ranked #7; Iowa City West has one team with a negative bias: 7th seeded Sioux City East is actually ranked #5.
4A Sd Rk Team Prob 1 1 Ankeny 0.500 10 Des Moines Roosevelt 0.003 8 12 Dubuque Senior 0.002 16 Eldridge North Scott 0.001 4 4 Marion Linn-Mar 0.061 14 Cedar Rapids Kennedy 0.001 5 7 Des Moines Hoover 0.023 8 Waukee 0.007 3 3 Cedar Falls 0.077 17 CR Jefferson 0.000 6 6 WDM Valley 0.043 13 Johnston 0.001 2 2 Iowa City West 0.218 19 Bettendorf 0.000 7 5 Sioux City East 0.062 33 CB Lewis Central 0.000