08/25 Weekly 1A FB Report


Weekly 1A FB Report

Rankings

    R  Team                  Conf ( W- L)    Mod Str  Sched  Rank     Off Ave      Def Ave
    1  Iowa City Regina      1A-6 ( 1- 0) 141.52  1W  95.50 ( 18)  47.00 (  6)   0.00 (  5)
    2  Emmetsburg            1A-1 ( 1- 0) 126.81  1W 101.81 ( 10)  46.00 (  8)  21.00 ( 28)
    3  Aplington AP          1A-3 ( 1- 0) 124.71  1W  99.95 ( 12)  52.00 (  2)  24.00 ( 32)
    4  Saint Ansgar          1A-4 ( 1- 0) 123.61  1W 103.61 (  8)  33.00 ( 24)  13.00 ( 21)
    5  CB St Albert          1A-8 ( 1- 0) 123.39  1W  86.92 ( 26)  41.00 ( 13)   7.00 ( 13)
    6  West Branch           1A-6 ( 1- 0) 122.70  1W 101.70 ( 11)  28.00 ( 28)   7.00 ( 15)
    7  Fort Dodge St Edmond  1A-2 ( 1- 0) 120.30  1W  87.70 ( 25)  33.00 ( 25)   0.00 (  2)
    8  Pella Christian       1A-7 ( 1- 0) 112.75  1W  91.75 ( 22)  40.00 ( 14)  19.00 ( 27)
    9  SumnerFredericksburg  1A-4 ( 1- 0) 110.70  1W  76.70 ( 36)  34.00 ( 22)   0.00 (  7)
   10  Panora Panorama       1A-8 ( 1- 0) 110.25  1W  58.26 ( 49)  46.00 (  7)   6.00 ( 12)
   11  Dike-New Hartford     1A-3 ( 1- 0) 108.06  1W  71.41 ( 41)  43.00 ( 12)   7.00 ( 14)
   12  South Winneshiek      1A-4 ( 1- 0) 107.36  1W  82.60 ( 29)  48.00 (  5)  26.00 ( 36)
   13  Des Moines Christian  1A-7 ( 1- 0) 106.49  1W  99.49 ( 14)  21.00 ( 41)  14.00 ( 23)
   14  Maquoketa Valley      1A-5 ( 1- 0) 102.76  1W  82.76 ( 28)  28.00 ( 31)   8.00 ( 16)
   15  IKM-Manning           1A-2 ( 1- 0)  99.87  1W  94.87 ( 19)  24.00 ( 36)  19.00 ( 26)
   16  Denver                1A-4 ( 1- 1)  99.08  1L  91.79 ( 21)  16.50 ( 47)   9.50 ( 18)

Review

Top 16 results

Pre = pregame prediction
Post = postgame prediction
Act = actual game margin


08/24

Cl Rnk Visitor            Score Cl Rnk Home               Score    Pre   Post Act
1A   3 Aplington AP          52  A  11 Traer North Tama      24 -23.01 -24.76 -28
1A   2 Emmetsburg            46 3A  32 Spencer               21 -14.51 -25.00 -25
 A  36 Grundy Center          7 1A  11 Dike-New Hartford     43  35.44  36.65  36
2A  28 Hampton-Dumont        12 1A  16 Denver                 6  25.15   3.25  -6
 A   8 Lisbon                 7 1A   6 West Branch           28  -4.71  21.00  21
 A  10 Madrid                14 1A  13 Des Moines Christian  21   6.95   7.00   7
1A  36 Nashua-Plainfield     26 1A  12 South Winneshiek      48  22.72  24.76  22
2A  29 Ida Grove O-A-BC-IG   19 1A  15 IKM-Manning           24   5.21   5.00   5
1A  10 Panora Panorama       46  A  49 Guthrie Center         6 -75.43 -52.00 -40
1A   8 Pella Christian       40  A  18 Lynnville-Sully       19  -3.73 -21.00 -21
1A   1 Iowa City Regina      47 2A  30 West Liberty           0 -43.52 -46.03 -47
1A   4 Saint Ansgar          33  A   7 Mason City Newman     13 -17.20 -20.00 -20
1A   5 CB St Albert          41  A  24 Griswold               7 -40.83 -36.46 -34
 A  25 Arlington Starmont     8 1A  14 Maquoketa Valley      28  -5.11  20.00  20
1A   7 Fort Dodge St Edmond  33  A  22 Algona Garrigan        0 -31.22 -32.59 -33
 A  31 Turkey Valley          0 1A   9 SumnerFredericksburg  34 -22.78  34.00  34

Preview

Top 16 games

Date  Cl Rk (W-L) Visitor              Cl Rk (W-L) Home                   Line Prob
08/31 2A 10 (0-1) LaPorte City Union   1A  3 (1-0) Aplington AP          14.71  77%
08/31 3A 10 (1-0) CB Lewis Central     1A  5 (1-0) CB St Albert           4.45  59%
08/31  A  4 (1-0) Wapsie Valley        1A 16 (1-1) Denver               -15.31  78%
08/31 1A  6 (1-0) West Branch          1A 49 (0-1) Durant               -59.85 100%
08/31 2A  2 (1-0) Boyden-Hull-R Valley 1A  2 (1-0) Emmetsburg            -0.29  51%
08/31  A  7 (0-1) Mason City Newman    1A  7 (1-0) Fort Dodge St Edmond  18.12  82%
08/31 3A 22 (1-0) Solon                1A  1 (1-0) Iowa City Regina      31.80  94%
08/31 2A 31 (1-0) Monticello           1A 14 (1-0) Maquoketa Valley       8.93  67%
08/31 2A  7 (2-0) West Marshall        1A 10 (1-0) Panora Panorama       -1.77  54%
08/31 2A 26 (1-1) Prairie City-Monroe  1A  8 (1-0) Pella Christian       16.73  80%
08/31  A  5 (1-0) Britt West Hancock   1A  4 (1-0) Saint Ansgar          12.43  73%
08/31  A 31 (0-1) Turkey Valley        1A 12 (1-0) South Winneshiek      31.22  94%
08/31 1A 11 (1-0) Dike-New Hartford     A 21 (1-1) Gladbrook-Reinbeck   -19.74  84%
08/31 1A 15 (1-0) IKM-Manning           A  3 (1-0) Logan-Magnolia        17.39  81%
08/31 1A  9 (1-0) SumnerFredericksburg  A 20 (0-1) Postville            -21.06  85%
08/31 1A 13 (1-0) Des Moines Christian  A  1 (1-0) Woodward-Granger      18.59  82%

Notes

#28 Hampton-Dumont starts the season (1-0) with a win over 1A #16 Denver 12-6. Pregame prediction had Denver as a 25-point favorite.

#6 West Branch wins its season opener against 2011 Class A champion Lisbon 28-7. West Branch travels to Durant in week 2 as 60-point favorites.

#9 Sumner-Fredericksburg wins big over Class A #31 Turkey Valley 34-0. Sumner-Fredericksburg had been a 23-point underdog. Fifty-seven point overperformance probably indicates Sumner-Fredericksburg is much better than last year and Turkey Valley is not as good as last year. S-F visits Class A #20 Postville in week 2 as 21-point favorites.

Game of the week:

There are a lot of good choices. Two involve top 5 teams.

2A #2 (1-0) Boyden-Hall-R Valley visits 1A #2 (1-0) Emmetsburg in basically a coin-flip game.

A #5 (1-0) Britt West Hancock visits 1A #4 (1-0) Saint Ansgar. Saint Ansgar is a 12-point favorite.