08/25 Weekly 3A FB Report


Weekly 3A FB Report

Rankings

    R  Team                  Conf ( W- L)    Mod Str  Sched  Rank     Off Ave      Def Ave
    1  Decorah               3A-5 ( 1- 0) 134.71  1W 106.71 ( 26)  35.00 ( 15)   7.00 ( 15)
    2  Norwalk               3A-8 ( 1- 0) 130.77  1W 100.77 ( 33)  42.00 (  7)  12.00 ( 24)
    3  Huxley Ballard        3A-4 ( 1- 0) 129.06  1W 102.06 ( 30)  27.00 ( 22)   0.00 (  3)
    4  West Delaware         3A-5 ( 1- 0) 128.51  1W 107.51 ( 24)  28.00 ( 20)   7.00 ( 17)
    5  Adel ADM              3A-1 ( 1- 0) 124.89  1W 106.89 ( 25)  38.00 ( 13)  20.00 ( 27)
    6  Sioux City Heelan     3A-2 ( 1- 0) 124.37  1W 114.37 ( 15)  38.00 ( 11)  28.00 ( 39)
    7  Maquoketa             3A-6 ( 1- 0) 124.15  1W  97.94 ( 37)  21.00 ( 27)   6.00 (  9)
    8  Clear Lake            3A-3 ( 1- 0) 123.74  1W  91.29 ( 42)  34.00 ( 18)   7.00 ( 13)
    9  Western Dubuque       3A-5 ( 1- 0) 120.76  1W 119.76 (  9)   7.00 ( 46)   6.00 (  6)
   10  CB Lewis Central      3A-1 ( 1- 0) 119.94  1W  90.85 ( 43)  38.00 ( 12)   0.00 (  1)
   11  Harlan                3A-1 ( 1- 0) 119.17  1W  98.17 ( 36)  21.00 ( 29)   0.00 (  2)
   12  Grinnell              3A-4 ( 1- 0) 119.07  1W 108.07 ( 23)  21.00 ( 30)  10.00 ( 22)
   13  Marion                3A-6 ( 1- 0) 118.98  1W  72.05 ( 48)  70.00 (  1)   7.00 ( 18)
   14  Washington            3A-7 ( 1- 0) 118.07  1W  93.46 ( 40)  30.00 ( 19)   0.00 (  5)
   15  Atlantic              3A-1 ( 1- 0) 116.40  1W  85.30 ( 45)  48.00 (  5)   7.00 ( 12)
   16  Knoxville             3A-8 ( 1- 0) 114.98  1W  97.46 ( 38)  42.00 (  8)  28.00 ( 38)

Review

Top 16 results

Pre = pregame prediction
Post = postgame prediction
Act = actual game margin


08/23

Cl Rnk Visitor            Score Cl Rnk Home               Score    Pre   Post Act
4A  36 CB Lincoln             0 3A  10 CB Lewis Central      38  11.82  29.09  38

08/24

Cl Rnk Visitor            Score Cl Rnk Home               Score    Pre   Post Act
3A   5 Adel ADM              38 3A  29 Dallas Center-Grimes  20 -35.42 -18.00 -18
2A  23 Cascade                6 3A   7 Maquoketa             21  49.19  26.21  15
2A  37 Clarinda               7 3A  15 Atlantic              48  11.85  31.10  41
3A   8 Clear Lake            34 4A  38 Mason City             7 -39.30 -32.45 -27
3A  36 Denison-Schleswig      0 3A  11 Harlan                21  13.29  21.00  21
3A   9 Western Dubuque        7 2A   4 Dyersville Beckman     6  19.83  -1.00  -1
3A  16 Knoxville             42 2A  26 Prairie City-Monroe   28  21.37 -17.52 -14
3A  13 Marion                70 3A  52 Mount Pleasant         7 -14.23 -46.93 -63
2A  33 Wellman Mid-Prairie    0 3A  14 Washington            30  14.40  24.61  30
3A   2 Norwalk               42 3A  34 Newton                12  -6.32 -30.00 -30
4A  22 Sioux City East       28 3A   6 Sioux City Heelan     38   5.72  10.00  10
3A  27 Waverly-Shell Rock     7 3A   1 Decorah               35  14.46  28.00  28
3A  31 Webster City           0 3A   3 Huxley Ballard        27 -25.23  27.00  27
3A   4 West Delaware         28 3A  28 Central Clinton        7 -19.94 -21.00 -21
3A  24 Williamsburg          10 3A  12 Grinnell              21   5.01  11.00  11

Preview

Top 16 games

Date  Cl Rk (W-L) Visitor              Cl Rk (W-L) Home                   Line Prob
08/31 3A 11 (1-0) Harlan               4A 36 (0-1) CB Lincoln           -26.88  91%
08/31 3A 21 (1-0) Winterset            3A  5 (1-0) Adel ADM              14.69  77%
08/31 3A  3 (1-0) Huxley Ballard       3A 30 (0-1) Carlisle             -24.23  89%
08/31 3A 15 (1-0) Atlantic             3A 17 (0-1) Carroll               -0.67  51%
08/31 2A 16 (1-0) Forest City          3A  8 (1-0) Clear Lake            18.80  83%
08/31 3A 34 (0-1) Newton               3A 16 (1-0) Knoxville             15.65  78%
08/31 3A  1 (1-0) Decorah              3A 13 (1-0) Marion               -14.73  77%
08/31 3A 29 (0-1) Dallas Center-Grimes 3A  2 (1-0) Norwalk               25.32  90%
08/31 3A 12 (1-0) Grinnell             3A 35 (0-1) Oskaloosa            -19.23  83%
08/31 3A 14 (1-0) Washington           3A 26 (0-1) Pella                 -9.51  68%
08/31 4A 27 (1-0) Sioux City North     3A  6 (1-0) Sioux City Heelan     17.66  81%
08/31 2A  4 (0-1) Dyersville Beckman   3A  4 (1-0) West Delaware         10.18  69%
08/31 3A  7 (1-0) Maquoketa            3A  9 (1-0) Western Dubuque       -2.39  55%
08/31 3A 10 (1-0) CB Lewis Central     1A  5 (1-0) CB St Albert           4.45  59%

Notes

#15 Atlantic had an impressive 48-7 win over 2A #37 Clarinda. Pre-game prediction was 12 points. Atlantic travels next to #17 (0-1) Carroll, opening round loser to 2A #3 Kuemper 27-21. Atlantic – Carroll game is expected to be of the highest competitiveness: Atlantic is favored by 1.

#16 Knoxville, despite being a pregame 21-point underdog, cracks the top 16 after a 42-28 road win over 2A #26 Prairie City-Monroe. Knoxville next hosts #34 Newton, an opening round loser to #2 Norwalk 42-12.

#3 Huxley Ballard was a pregame 25-point home underdog to Webster City. However, the 2011 analysis was simply inaccurate, as the Bombers won big, 27-0. Ballard travels to #30 (0-1) Carlisle as a 24-point road favorite.

#11 Harlan won the annual rivalry game with #36 Denison-Schleswig, 21-0. Last year’s contest was won by Denison-Schleswig 43-42, snapping a then 11-game win streak by Harlan. Harlan next faces 4A #36 CB Lincoln as a 27-point road favorite.

Games of the week:

Both games of the week start in a review of this week 1 matchup: 3A #9 Western Dubuque 7 @ 2A #4 Dyersville Beckman 6.

Western Dubuque won this close game against a quality opponent on the road. Unbelievably, their schedule gets no easier. Friday they host #7 Maquoketa, last year’s #1 team, and winner of an opening week 21-6 game against #23 Cascade. Western Dubuque enters this game as a 2-point home underdog.

Meanwhile 2A #4 Beckman next faces 3A #4 West Delaware. West Delaware posted a convincing 28-7 victory at #28 Central Clinton in week 1. West Delaware is a 10-point favorite in this game of 3A-2A top 5 teams.