09/08 Weekly NCAA FB Report

NCAA Football

Weekly 1A FB Report

Rankings

    R  Team                  Conf ( W- L)    Mod Str  Sched  Rank     Off Ave      Def Ave
    1  Alabama                SEC ( 2- 0) 161.22  2W 128.99 ( 36)  38.00 ( 30)   7.00 (  6)
    2  LSU                    SEC ( 2- 0) 158.94  2W 125.21 ( 46)  41.00 ( 21)   8.50 (  9)
    3  Baylor                 B12 ( 1- 0) 154.97  1W 130.59 ( 28)  59.00 (  4)  24.00 ( 68)
    4  Arizona St             P12 ( 2- 0) 154.76  2W 121.44 ( 63)  54.00 (  7)  10.00 ( 15)
    5  Arizona                P12 ( 2- 0) 154.76  2W 135.61 ( 16)  41.50 ( 20)  27.50 ( 84)
    6  Kansas St              B12 ( 2- 0) 152.68  2W 118.61 ( 78)  51.50 (  8)  11.00 ( 17)
    7  Georgia                SEC ( 2- 0) 150.89  2W 122.22 ( 58)  43.00 ( 16)  21.50 ( 55)
    8  Oklahoma               B12 ( 2- 0) 148.61  2W 109.39 (107)  46.50 ( 11)  10.00 ( 13)
    9  Oregon                 P12 ( 2- 0) 147.22  2W 120.25 ( 71)  49.50 ( 10)  29.50 ( 90)
   10  Michigan St            B10 ( 2- 0) 146.60  2W 123.98 ( 48)  29.00 ( 72)  10.00 ( 12)
   11  Ohio State             B10 ( 2- 0) 145.98  2W 120.12 ( 73)  43.50 ( 14)  13.00 ( 25)
   12  Texas                  B12 ( 2- 0) 145.56  2W 115.60 ( 87)  41.00 ( 23)   8.50 (  8)
   13  Southern Cal           P12 ( 2- 0) 145.53  2W 123.88 ( 49)  45.50 ( 12)  19.50 ( 47)
   14  Nebraska               B10 ( 1- 1) 145.12  1L 132.78 ( 22)  39.50 ( 26)  28.00 ( 85)
   15  Boise St              MntW ( 0- 1) 144.74  1L 148.74 (  1)  13.00 (113)  17.00 ( 39)
   16  South Carolina         SEC ( 2- 0) 144.11  2W 130.34 ( 29)  32.50 ( 54)  11.50 ( 20)

Review

Top 16 results

Pre = pregame prediction
Post = postgame prediction
Act = actual game margin


09/08

Cl Rnk Visitor            Score Cl Rnk Home               Score    Pre   Post Act
1A  54 Central Florida       16 1A  11 Ohio State            31  15.54  15.00  15
1A  72 East Carolina         10 1A  16 South Carolina        48  20.42  19.88  38
1B  56 Florida A&M           13 1A   8 Oklahoma              69  53.01  49.54  56
1A  66 Fresno St             25 1A   9 Oregon                42  29.72  21.28  17
1A   7 Georgia               41 1A  69 Missouri              20   4.44 -21.00 -21
1A  36 Illinois              14 1A   4 Arizona St            45  11.56  19.91  31
1A  55 Miami FL              13 1A   6 Kansas St             52   9.00  22.06  39
1A  10 Michigan St           41 1A 117 Central Michigan       7 -42.15 -41.24 -34
1A  14 Nebraska              30 1A  17 UCLA                  36 -11.56   0.82   6
1A 113 New Mexico             0 1A  12 Texas                 45  34.12  41.46  45
1A  31 Oklahoma St           38 1A   5 Arizona               59 -22.31  18.39  21
1A  13 Southern Cal          42 1A  51 Syracuse              29 -25.53 -11.83 -13
1A  47 Washington             3 1A   2 LSU                   41  24.53  26.28  38
1A  76 Western Kentucky       0 1A   1 Alabama               35  47.96  38.74  35

Preview

Top 16 games

Date  Cl Rk (W-L) Visitor              Cl Rk (W-L) Home                   Line Prob
09/15 1B 50 (1-1) South Carolina St    1A  5 (2-0) Arizona               51.82 100%
09/15 1A  1 (2-0) Alabama              1A 59 (1-1) Arkansas             -28.79  93%
09/15 1B 12 (1-0) Sam Houston St       1A  3 (1-0) Baylor                38.21  97%
09/15 1A105 (1-1) Miami OH             1A 15 (0-1) Boise St              34.34  96%
09/15 1A121 (1-1) Florida Atlantic     1A  7 (2-0) Georgia               55.64 100%
09/15 1A 88 (1-1) North Texas          1A  6 (2-0) Kansas St             33.79  95%
09/15 1A111 (0-2) Idaho                1A  2 (2-0) LSU                   52.42 100%
09/15 1A 21 (2-0) Notre Dame           1A 10 (2-0) Michigan St            5.74  61%
09/15 1A 12 (2-0) Texas                1A 48 (2-0) Mississippi           -9.98  69%
09/15 1A  4 (2-0) Arizona St           1A 69 (1-1) Missouri             -26.02  90%
09/15 1A 95 (1-1) Arkansas St          1A 14 (1-1) Nebraska              29.42  93%
09/15 1A 71 (1-1) California           1A 11 (2-0) Ohio State            19.98  84%
09/15 1B 52 (2-0) Tennessee Tech       1A  9 (2-0) Oregon                45.79  99%
09/15 1A119 (0-1) Alabama-Birmingham   1A 16 (2-0) South Carolina        44.56  99%
09/15 1A 13 (2-0) Southern Cal         1A 18 (2-0) Stanford              -1.82  54%

Notes

Bias

Rankings are biased with 2011 data.

Big wins

#7 Georgia, a pregame 4-point underdog, won 41-20 over #69 Missouri
#17 UCLA won 36-30 over #14 Nebraska. UCLA was a 12-point home underdog.
#5 Arizona had the best game of the weekend. Pregame 22-point home underdogs to #31 Oklahoma St, Arizona won handily 59-38.

State of Iowa

Iowa State, pregame 8-point favorites, won the big game at Iowa City: Iowa St 9 Iowa 6.

1B #1 Northern Iowa won a 59-0 game at home against Central St OH. Northern Iowa was a pregame 80-point favorite.

#19 Iowa State hosts 1B #84 (1-0) Western Illinois as a 49-point favorite. A starting 3-0 record seems assured.

#52 Iowa hosts 1B #1 (1-1) Northern Iowa as a 3-point favorite. Everything seems to point to an instant classic.

Big 10 conference teams went 6-6 for the weekend. Conference remains ranked at #4.
Big 12 conference went 7-2 and remains #1 in the conference rankings.