09/01 Weekly 1A FB Report


Weekly 1A FB Report

Rankings

    R  Team                  Conf ( W- L)    Mod Str  Sched  Rank     Off Ave      Def Ave
    1  Iowa City Regina      1A-6 ( 2- 0) 138.97  2W  98.69 ( 11)  39.00 ( 10)   3.50 (  3)
    2  Pella Christian       1A-7 ( 2- 0) 128.28  2W  94.29 ( 15)  42.00 (  8)  12.50 ( 16)
    3  Fort Dodge St Edmond  1A-2 ( 2- 0) 122.68  2W  87.85 ( 22)  37.50 ( 12)   7.00 (  6)
    4  Emmetsburg            1A-1 ( 1- 1) 122.31  1L 122.45 (  2)  30.00 ( 22)  27.50 ( 39)
    5  Saint Ansgar          1A-4 ( 2- 0) 115.85  2W 103.26 (  6)  23.50 ( 37)  12.50 ( 17)
    6  Dike-New Hartford     1A-3 ( 2- 0) 112.73  2W  77.89 ( 36)  39.00 ( 11)   3.50 (  2)
    7  West Branch           1A-6 ( 2- 0) 112.47  2W  80.54 ( 28)  28.00 ( 28)  13.50 ( 21)
    8  IKM-Manning           1A-2 ( 2- 0) 112.17  2W  97.90 ( 12)  25.00 ( 32)  13.00 ( 19)
    9  Aplington AP          1A-3 ( 1- 1) 109.93  1L 109.38 (  4)  33.00 ( 17)  32.50 ( 49)
   10  South Winneshiek      1A-4 ( 2- 0) 109.58  2W  78.61 ( 34)  48.00 (  5)  17.00 ( 22)
   11  SumnerFredericksburg  1A-4 ( 2- 0) 109.29  2W  79.23 ( 32)  30.50 ( 19)   3.50 (  4)
   12  Panora Panorama       1A-8 ( 1- 1) 108.15  1L  82.65 ( 27)  36.00 ( 15)  19.50 ( 27)
   13  CB St Albert          1A-8 ( 1- 1) 108.04  1L 107.04 (  5)  20.50 ( 41)  27.50 ( 38)
   14  Mount Ayr             1A-7 ( 2- 0) 102.46  2W  73.29 ( 39)  44.50 (  6)  19.00 ( 26)
   15  Hartley HMS           1A-1 ( 2- 0) 101.90  2W  66.95 ( 45)  43.50 (  7)   0.00 (  1)
   16  North Fayette         1A-4 ( 2- 0) 100.86  2W  85.56 ( 24)  31.00 ( 18)  18.50 ( 25)

Review

Top 16 results

Pre = pregame prediction
Post = postgame prediction
Act = actual game margin


08/31

Cl Rnk Visitor            Score Cl Rnk Home               Score    Pre   Post Act
2A   1 Boyden-Hull-R Valley  34 1A   4 Emmetsburg            14  -0.49 -15.11 -20
1A   6 Dike-New Hartford     35  A  21 Gladbrook-Reinbeck     0 -19.73 -31.08 -35
1A   8 IKM-Manning           26  A   8 Logan-Magnolia         7  17.19 -15.60 -19
3A   3 CB Lewis Central      48 1A  13 CB St Albert           0   4.29 -26.46 -48
1A  14 Mount Ayr             41  A  34 Bedford               14 -18.25 -30.07 -27
 A  12 Mason City Newman     14 1A   3 Fort Dodge St Edmond  42  17.93  27.62  28
1A  16 North Fayette         27 3A  44 Oelwein               12  -9.15 -15.93 -15
2A  26 Prairie City-Monroe    6 1A   2 Pella Christian       44  16.59  37.72  38
3A  20 Solon                  7 1A   1 Iowa City Regina      31  31.60  25.59  24
1A  11 SumnerFredericksburg  27  A  19 Postville              7 -21.29 -24.10 -20
 A  35 Turkey Valley          8 1A  10 South Winneshiek      48  31.49  36.30  40
2A   3 LaPorte City Union    41 1A   9 Aplington AP          14  14.49 -14.21 -27
1A   7 West Branch           28 1A  46 Durant                20 -60.09 -45.63  -8
 A   4 Britt West Hancock    12 1A   5 Saint Ansgar          14  12.19   3.38   2
2A  12 West Marshall         33 1A  12 Panora Panorama       26  -1.79  -3.75  -7
 A  33 Hawarden West Sioux    0 1A  15 Hartley HMS           44  19.72  28.49  44

Preview

Top 16 games

Date  Cl Rk (W-L) Visitor              Cl Rk (W-L) Home                   Line Prob
09/07 1A  5 (2-0) Saint Ansgar         2A 16 (2-0) Osage                -10.77  70%
09/07 1A 12 (1-1) Panora Panorama      1A 13 (1-1) CB St Albert           0.89  52%
09/07 1A 22 (2-0) South Hamilton       1A  6 (2-0) Dike-New Hartford     18.60  82%
09/07 1A  9 (1-1) Aplington AP         1A 34 (1-1) Hudson               -29.07  93%
09/07 1A 18 (2-0) Neola Tri-Center     1A  8 (2-0) IKM-Manning           12.69  74%
09/07 1A  2 (2-0) Pella Christian      1A 24 (2-0) Leon Central Decatur -35.33  96%
09/07 1A  3 (2-0) Fort Dodge St Edmond 1A 49 (2-0) Mapleton MVAO        -56.47 100%
09/07 1A 15 (2-0) Hartley HMS          1A 54 (0-2) Milford Okoboji      -47.40  99%
09/07 2A 36 (0-2) Clarinda             1A 14 (2-0) Mount Ayr             22.21  87%
09/07 1A 23 (1-2) Denver               1A 16 (2-0) North Fayette          8.58  67%
09/07 1A 10 (2-0) South Winneshiek     1A 11 (2-0) SumnerFredericksburg   0.71  51%
09/07 1A  4 (1-1) Emmetsburg           1A 55 (1-1) Swea City North Unio -68.95 100%
09/07 1A  1 (2-0) Iowa City Regina     1A  7 (2-0) West Branch          -25.51  90%

Notes

In a battle of top 10s, IKM-Manning, pregame 17-point underdogs, won at Class A #8 Logan-Magnolia 26-7. Previously #15 in the week 1 rankings, #8 IKM-Manning hosts #18 Tri-Center in week 3 as a 13-point favorite.

Week 1 #5 St Albert ran into a very strong Lewis Central team, 3A #3, and lost at home 48-0. St Albert drops to #13 and hosts #12 (1-1) Panorama in week 3. St Albert is a slight 1-point favorite.

Aplington-Parkersburg drops to #9 after a 41-14 home loss to 2A #3 LaPorte City Union. A-P travels to #34 Hudson as a 29-point favorite.

#7 West Branch survives an expectedly close game in week 2, beating #46 Durant 28-20. The computer is currently treating this game a non-competive game and ignoring the result. However, this columnist is not clear that this is prudent so early in the season …

Game of the week:

In a battle of top 10s, #1 Iowa City Regina is scheduled to take the 13.5 minute drive to #7 West Branch. Regina enters with a spotless (2-0) record and a big win over 3A #20 Solon. West Branch enters also with a (2-0) record, but with unexpected week 2 questions after a 8-point win over #46 Durant. Regina enters as a 25.5-point favorite in this top 10 battle in the Little Rose Bowl.