Iowa High School Boys Football
Weekly 1A FB Report
Rankings
R Team Conf ( W- L) Mod Str Sched Rank Off Ave Def Ave
1 Emmetsburg 1A-1 ( 2- 1) 189.80 1W 170.70 ( 4) 39.67 ( 8) 20.33 ( 26)
2 Hartley HMS 1A-1 ( 3- 0) 188.60 3W 139.30 ( 29) 47.67 ( 1) 0.00 ( 1)
3 Fort Dodge St Edmond 1A-2 ( 3- 0) 183.76 3W 151.76 ( 15) 43.67 ( 3) 11.33 ( 7)
4 IKM-Manning 1A-2 ( 3- 0) 177.63 3W 162.30 ( 7) 33.00 ( 15) 17.67 ( 22)
5 Saint Ansgar 1A-4 ( 3- 0) 173.51 3W 166.36 ( 6) 23.33 ( 33) 15.00 ( 17)
6 Dike-New Hartford 1A-3 ( 3- 0) 172.62 3W 136.01 ( 36) 37.33 ( 10) 2.33 ( 2)
7 South O'Brien 1A-1 ( 3- 0) 172.02 3W 155.64 ( 10) 25.33 ( 26) 11.33 ( 8)
8 Iowa City Regina 1A-6 ( 3- 0) 171.45 3W 153.98 ( 13) 31.00 ( 20) 6.67 ( 3)
9 West Branch 1A-6 ( 2- 1) 165.99 1L 146.20 ( 20) 23.00 ( 35) 14.00 ( 12)
10 Pella Christian 1A-7 ( 3- 0) 165.82 3W 138.96 ( 31) 39.67 ( 7) 13.00 ( 11)
11 Manson NW Webster 1A-2 ( 2- 1) 165.01 2W 158.77 ( 9) 20.33 ( 41) 14.67 ( 14)
12 CB St Albert 1A-8 ( 2- 1) 162.98 1W 154.37 ( 12) 27.33 ( 25) 18.33 ( 23)
13 Holstein Ridge View 1A-2 ( 0- 3) 161.46 3L 167.27 ( 5) 20.33 ( 42) 27.33 ( 43)
14 South Winneshiek 1A-4 ( 3- 0) 158.88 3W 140.23 ( 27) 40.00 ( 6) 18.67 ( 24)
15 Neola Tri-Center 1A-8 ( 2- 1) 157.47 1L 141.50 ( 25) 43.00 ( 4) 24.00 ( 34)
16 SumnerFredericksburg 1A-4 ( 2- 1) 157.31 1L 139.15 ( 30) 27.67 ( 22) 10.33 ( 5)
Review
Top 16 results
Pre = pregame prediction
Post = postgame prediction
Act = actual game margin
09/07 Cl Rnk Visitor Score Cl Rnk Home Score Pre Post Act 1A 1 Emmetsburg 59 1A 41 Swea City North Unio 6 -68.99 -57.57 -53 1A 27 LeMars Gehlen 7 1A 7 South O'Brien 35 12.99 26.67 28 1A 2 Hartley HMS 56 1A 37 Milford Okoboji 0 -47.34 -53.27 -56 1A 11 Manson NW Webster 34 1A 13 Holstein Ridge View 28 -5.94 -3.99 -6 1A 29 Panora Panorama 0 1A 12 CB St Albert 41 0.84 18.88 41 1A 10 Pella Christian 35 1A 30 Leon Central Decatur 14 -35.27 -23.49 -21 1A 8 Iowa City Regina 15 1A 9 West Branch 13 -25.50 -5.89 -2 1A 5 Saint Ansgar 23 2A 7 Osage 20 -10.77 -3.26 -3 1A 38 South Hamilton 0 1A 6 Dike-New Hartford 34 18.67 36.74 34 1A 14 South Winneshiek 24 1A 16 SumnerFredericksburg 22 0.55 -2.00 -2 1A 3 Fort Dodge St Edmond 56 1A 26 Mapleton MVAO 20 -56.53 -37.98 -36 1A 15 Neola Tri-Center 27 1A 4 IKM-Manning 49 12.57 19.73 22
Preview
Top 16 games
Date Cl Rk (W-L) Visitor Cl Rk (W-L) Home Line Prob 09/14 1A 7 (3-0) South O'Brien 2A 27 (0-3) Sioux Center -24.13 87% 09/14 1A 48 (0-3) Eagle Grove 1A 6 (3-0) Dike-New Hartford 46.49 99% 09/14 1A 37 (0-3) Milford Okoboji 1A 1 (2-1) Emmetsburg 53.60 99% 09/14 1A 19 (2-1) Pocahontas Area 1A 3 (3-0) Fort Dodge St Edmond 28.76 91% 09/14 1A 47 (2-1) Eddyville EBF 1A 8 (3-0) Iowa City Regina 45.29 98% 09/14 1A 2 (3-0) Hartley HMS 1A 27 (0-3) LeMars Gehlen -44.13 98% 09/14 1A 4 (3-0) IKM-Manning 1A 11 (2-1) Manson NW Webster -13.05 73% 09/14 1A 16 (2-1) SumnerFredericksburg 1A 53 (1-2) Monona MFL-MarMac -45.36 98% 09/14 1A 35 (1-2) Des Moines Christian 1A 10 (3-0) Pella Christian 28.32 91% 09/14 1A 32 (2-1) North Fayette 1A 5 (3-0) Saint Ansgar 32.88 94% 09/14 1A 13 (0-3) Holstein Ridge View 1A 21 (2-1) Sioux Central -10.33 69% 09/14 1A 20 (2-2) Denver 1A 14 (3-0) South Winneshiek 4.10 58% 09/14 1A 15 (2-1) Neola Tri-Center 1A 50 (2-1) Treynor -35.60 95% 09/14 1A 12 (2-1) CB St Albert 1A 51 (2-1) West Central Valley -44.14 98% 09/14 1A 9 (2-1) West Branch 1A 28 (2-1) Wilton -22.58 86%
Notes
Unbiased Rankings:
Rankings are now unbiased. Thus, many changes in the rankings have occurred now that last year’s information has been removed.
Accuracy:
Computer model is still gaining accuracy. Accuracy will increase until week 4 predictions are published.
Big Win:
Pregame 1-point home favorites, #12 St Albert wins 41-0 over Panorama. St Albert rebounds from a 48-0 loss in week 2 to 3A #2 Lewis Central.
Escape:
#8 Iowa City Regina wins 15-13 over #9 West Branch. Pregame prediction had Regina as a 25.5-point favorite. Regina was the #1 team in week 2. This underperformance and removal of 2011 bias probably both had negative effects on Regina’s rankings. West Branch makes a modest move from #7 to #9.
Regional analysis:
Top 4 teams are from districts 1 and 2.
Game of the week:
Game of the week is #4 (3-0) IKM-Manning @ #11 (2-1) Manson NW Webster. IKM-Manning enters as a 13-point road favorite.