09/08 Weekly 3A FB Report


Iowa High School Boys Football

Weekly 3A FB Report

Rankings

    R  Team                  Conf ( W- L)    Mod Str  Sched  Rank     Off Ave      Def Ave
    1  Sioux City Heelan     3A-2 ( 3- 0) 205.23  3W 170.72 (  7)  43.67 (  2)  14.33 ( 16)
    2  CB Lewis Central      3A-1 ( 3- 0) 201.62  3W 165.34 ( 17)  38.00 (  5)   2.33 (  1)
    3  Grinnell              3A-4 ( 3- 0) 194.73  3W 166.28 ( 15)  37.67 (  6)   5.67 (  4)
    4  LeMars                3A-2 ( 3- 0) 182.04  3W 157.91 ( 24)  37.00 (  7)  10.67 ( 10)
    5  Williamsburg          3A-7 ( 2- 1) 181.44  2W 165.52 ( 16)  29.00 ( 17)  14.00 ( 14)
    6  West Delaware         3A-5 ( 2- 1) 181.30  1W 168.96 (  9)  26.67 ( 23)  14.33 ( 15)
    7  Decorah               3A-5 ( 3- 0) 180.60  3W 141.94 ( 47)  39.00 (  4)   2.33 (  2)
    8  Maquoketa             3A-6 ( 2- 1) 179.33  1L 166.28 ( 14)  20.33 ( 31)   9.00 (  7)
    9  Norwalk               3A-8 ( 3- 0) 178.00  3W 147.74 ( 40)  44.33 (  1)  12.67 ( 12)
   10  Spencer               3A-2 ( 2- 1) 177.02  2W 168.84 ( 10)  33.00 ( 10)  24.33 ( 33)
   11  Boone                 3A-4 ( 3- 0) 174.71  3W 150.52 ( 35)  31.67 ( 12)  10.00 (  8)
   12  Central Clinton       3A-6 ( 1- 2) 173.66  1W 180.54 (  1)  14.00 ( 43)  20.67 ( 30)
   13  Harlan                3A-1 ( 3- 0) 172.66  3W 151.91 ( 33)  25.33 ( 24)   7.00 (  5)
   14  Clear Lake            3A-3 ( 2- 1) 169.23  1W 163.78 ( 20)  23.33 ( 28)  17.00 ( 23)
   15  Creston COM           3A-1 ( 3- 0) 168.65  3W 138.14 ( 52)  40.00 (  3)  11.00 ( 11)
   16  Huxley Ballard        3A-4 ( 2- 1) 168.32  1W 136.19 ( 55)  30.33 ( 15)   4.33 (  3)

Review

Top 16 results

Pre = pregame prediction
Post = postgame prediction
Act = actual game margin


09/07

Cl Rnk Visitor            Score Cl Rnk Home               Score    Pre   Post Act
3A   1 Sioux City Heelan     50 4A  28 Sioux City West        0 -29.37 -45.45 -50
3A  12 Central Clinton       14 3A   8 Maquoketa             10  25.42   5.23  -4
3A  14 Clear Lake            19 3A  23 Cresco Crestwood      12 -16.60  -7.89  -7
3A  15 Creston COM           32 3A  31 Atlantic              19   2.09 -12.93 -13
3A   7 Decorah               47 3A  53 Independence           0 -72.70 -59.48 -47
3A  22 Western Dubuque        6 3A   6 West Delaware         26   7.69  18.12  20
3A   2 CB Lewis Central      28 4A  23 Indianola              7 -27.95 -31.76 -21
3A  45 Newton                 6 3A  11 Boone                 34  16.47  31.64  28
3A   9 Norwalk               42 3A  46 Chariton              19 -48.24 -36.39 -23
3A  28 Pella                  0 3A   3 Grinnell              42  17.01  37.03  42
3A  43 Perry                 14 3A  13 Harlan                34  30.85  28.91  20
3A  56 Saydel                 0 3A  16 Huxley Ballard        54  68.38  67.90  54
3A  38 Sergeant Bluff-Luton  20 3A   4 LeMars                55  30.65  34.10  35
3A  33 Storm Lake            13 3A  10 Spencer               36  21.19  22.67  23
3A   5 Williamsburg          53 3A  49 Fort Madison           0 -37.05 -53.26 -53

Preview

Top 16 games

Date  Cl Rk (W-L) Visitor              Cl Rk (W-L) Home                   Line Prob
09/14 3A  8 (2-1) Maquoketa            3A 52 (0-3) Anamosa              -53.76  99%
09/14 3A 31 (2-1) Atlantic             3A  2 (3-0) CB Lewis Central      45.03  98%
09/14 3A 13 (3-0) Harlan               3A 34 (0-3) Carroll              -20.73  84%
09/14 3A 51 (0-3) Van Horne Benton     3A 12 (1-2) Central Clinton       46.34  99%
09/14 3A 40 (1-2) Waverly-Shell Rock   3A 14 (2-1) Clear Lake            22.09  85%
09/14 3A 18 (3-0) Adel ADM             3A 15 (3-0) Creston COM            1.32  52%
09/14 3A  3 (3-0) Grinnell             3A 25 (0-3) Dallas Center-Grimes -36.20  96%
09/14 3A 47 (0-3) Charles City         3A  7 (3-0) Decorah               38.91  97%
09/14 3A  6 (2-1) West Delaware        3A 53 (1-2) Independence         -60.18 100%
09/14 3A 16 (2-1) Huxley Ballard       3A  9 (3-0) Norwalk                9.25  67%
09/14 3A 11 (3-0) Boone                3A 56 (0-4) Saydel               -75.16 100%
09/14 3A  4 (3-0) LeMars               3A  1 (3-0) Sioux City Heelan     22.75  86%
09/14 3A 38 (0-3) Sergeant Bluff-Luton 3A 10 (2-1) Spencer               29.09  92%
09/14 3A 54 (0-3) Centerville          3A  5 (2-1) Williamsburg          62.73 100%

Notes

Unbiased Rankings:

Rankings are now unbiased. Thus, many changes in the rankings have occurred now that last’s years information has been removed.

Accuracy:

Computer model is still gaining accuracy. Accuracy will increase until week 4 predictions are published.

Western Iowa:

Computer seems to have a fond affection for Western Iowa, with 4 teams from districts 1 or 2 in the top 10.

Creston moves up to #15 after a 13-point victory at #31 Atlantic. Creston had been a 22-point underdog. Creston next hosts #18 (3-0) ADM in a triller. Creston is a 1-point favorite.

Eastern Iowa:

#3 (3-0) Grinnell moves up from #7 after a 42-point win over now (1-2) #28 Pella.

(2-1) Williamsburg moves to #5 from #21 after a 53-0 win over #49 Fort Madison.

Game of the week:

#4 LeMars travels to #1 Sioux City Heelan in a battle of undefeated district 2 powers. Heelan enters as a 23-point home favorite.