09/08 Weekly 8 FB Report


Iowa High School Boys Football

Weekly 8 FB Report

Rankings

    R  Team                  Conf ( W- L)    Mod Str  Sched  Rank     Off Ave      Def Ave
    1  Don Bosco              8-3 ( 3- 0) 127.45  3W  86.53 (  6)  44.00 ( 18)  15.00 (  7)
    2  Tabor Fremont-Mills    8-8 ( 3- 0) 112.64  3W  58.61 ( 53)  55.00 (  8)  13.33 (  5)
    3  Elk Horn-Kimb-Exira    8-7 ( 3- 0) 111.77  3W  77.04 ( 16)  52.33 ( 13)  15.67 (  9)
    4  Murray                 8-6 ( 4- 0) 110.06  4W  56.76 ( 55)  61.00 (  3)  15.00 (  8)
    5  Glidden-Ralston        8-7 ( 3- 1) 108.50  3W  82.25 ( 10)  57.50 (  4)  22.50 ( 21)
    6  Adair-Casey            8-6 ( 4- 0) 107.21  4W  65.27 ( 30)  55.25 (  7)  22.50 ( 19)
    7  Sidney                 8-8 ( 3- 0) 105.20  3W  63.15 ( 41)  54.33 (  9)  11.33 (  2)
    8  Janesville             8-3 ( 1- 2) 103.92  2L 100.51 (  1)  27.33 ( 47)  24.67 ( 22)
    9  Clarksville            8-3 ( 3- 1)  99.04  2W  98.72 (  2)  36.25 ( 30)  22.00 ( 18)
   10  Preston                8-4 ( 3- 0)  95.38  3W  76.92 ( 17)  76.67 (  1)  58.00 ( 62)
   11  Newell-Fonda           8-2 ( 3- 0)  95.26  3W  59.48 ( 51)  54.00 ( 10)  14.00 (  6)
   12  Woodbine               8-7 ( 1- 2)  90.11  2L  94.16 (  4)  33.00 ( 35)  39.00 ( 38)
   13  Maynard West Central   8-4 ( 3- 1)  90.08  1W  63.52 ( 38)  57.00 (  5)  32.25 ( 34)
   14  Lansing Kee            8-4 ( 3- 0)  89.13  3W  82.98 (  9)  33.33 ( 34)  28.00 ( 27)
   15  Wyoming Midland        8-4 ( 1- 3)  87.65  1L  79.52 ( 11)  50.25 ( 15)  47.00 ( 51)
   16  Riceville              8-3 ( 3- 1)  87.13  1L  67.60 ( 27)  44.00 ( 17)  20.50 ( 15)

Review

Top 16 results

Pre = pregame prediction
Post = postgame prediction
Act = actual game margin


09/07

Cl Rnk Visitor            Score Cl Rnk Home               Score    Pre   Post Act
 8   6 Adair-Casey           58  8  23 Lamoni                30 -34.01 -28.66 -28
 8   9 Clarksville           30  8   8 Janesville            14  15.30   4.44 -16
 8  44 Dunkerton              6  8   1 Don Bosco             50  72.65  70.83  44
 8   3 Elk Horn-Kimb-Exira   60  8  38 West Harrison         14 -40.99 -50.43 -46
 8   2 Tabor Fremont-Mills   49  8  19 Anita CAM             16 -15.01 -28.12 -33
 8   5 Glidden-Ralston       70  8  12 Woodbine              18 -19.25 -18.82 -52
 8  36 DM Grandview Park      8  8   4 Murray                68  39.44  43.68  60
 8  14 Lansing Kee           28  8  16 Riceville             20  16.99  -2.44  -8
 8  18 Lenox                  6  8   7 Sidney                49  -2.43  19.58  43
 8  15 Wyoming Midland       78  8  10 Preston               85  24.43   7.30   7
 8  11 Newell-Fonda          34  8  17 North Iowa            20 -39.82 -10.49 -14
 8  13 Maynard West Central  76  8  47 Elgin Valley          40 -37.86 -37.05 -36

Preview

Top 16 games

Date  Cl Rk (W-L) Visitor              Cl Rk (W-L) Home                   Line Prob
09/14  8 56 (1-2) Mormon Trail          8  6 (4-0) Adair-Casey           68.26 100%
09/14  8 12 (1-2) Woodbine              8 35 (3-1) Coon Rapids-Bayard   -23.74  87%
09/14  8  7 (3-0) Sidney                8 37 (1-2) Corning              -41.52  98%
09/14  8  9 (3-1) Clarksville           8 44 (1-2) Dunkerton            -43.29  98%
09/14  8 51 (1-2) Charter Oak-Ute       8  3 (3-0) Elk Horn-Kimb-Exira   63.84 100%
09/14  8 10 (3-0) Preston               8 29 (1-3) Elkader Central      -21.23  84%
09/14  8 38 (1-2) West Harrison         8  5 (3-1) Glidden-Ralston       46.29  99%
09/14  8 21 (3-0) Springville           8 14 (3-0) Lansing Kee            8.72  66%
09/14  8 67 (0-3) Cedar Valley Christi  8 13 (3-1) Maynard West Central  89.65 100%
09/14  8 54 (1-2) Northeast Hamilton    8 11 (3-0) Newell-Fonda          54.40 100%
09/14  8  8 (1-2) Janesville            8 27 (3-1) Northwood-Kensett    -28.93  91%
09/14  8 16 (3-1) Riceville             8 43 (2-2) Rockford             -29.18  92%
09/14  8 34 (3-1) Essex                 8  2 (3-0) Tabor Fremont-Mills   44.72  98%
09/14  8  1 (3-0) Don Bosco             8 33 (1-2) Tripoli              -57.63 100%
09/14  8 47 (1-3) Elgin Valley          8 15 (1-3) Wyoming Midland       33.74  95%

Notes

Unbiased Rankings:

Rankings are now unbiased. Thus, many changes in the rankings have occurred now that last year’s information has been removed.

Accuracy:

Computer model is still gaining accuracy. Accuracy will increase until week 4 predictions are published.

Big Wins:

#9 Clarksville, 15-point underdogs, win at Janesville 30-14.

#14 Kee wins 28-20 over #16 Riceville, who was thought to be a 17-point favorite.

#6 Sidney, a pre-game 2-point underdog, blows out #18 Lenox, 49-6

Escapes:

#11 Preston was a 24-point home favorite versus #15 Midland. However, the game was a super shootout, with Preston surviving 78-85.

Regional analysis:

Computer likes the district 7-8 region, placing 5 teams in the top 10.

Game of the week:

In a district 4 battle, #21 (3-0) Springville visits #14 (3-0) Lansing Kee. Kee is a 9-point favorite.