09/08 Weekly A FB Report


Iowa High School Boys Football

Weekly A FB Report

Rankings

    R  Team                  Conf ( W- L)    Mod Str  Sched  Rank     Off Ave      Def Ave
    1  Wapsie Valley          A-3 ( 3- 0) 188.04  3W 136.67 ( 25)  54.00 (  1)   2.33 (  1)
    2  Hinton                 A-1 ( 2- 1) 177.44  1W 161.88 (  4)  30.00 ( 16)  18.00 ( 24)
    3  Lawton-Bronson         A-1 ( 3- 0) 172.27  3W 146.96 ( 18)  36.67 (  8)  11.33 (  9)
    4  Britt West Hancock     A-2 ( 2- 1) 171.92  1W 158.97 (  5)  23.67 ( 26)  15.67 ( 15)
    5  Inwood West Lyon       A-1 ( 2- 1) 169.57  1L 165.07 (  3)  24.33 ( 25)  17.67 ( 21)
    6  Akron-Westfield        A-1 ( 3- 0) 167.02  3W 147.96 ( 13)  31.33 ( 14)  18.67 ( 25)
    7  Woodward-Granger       A-7 ( 3- 0) 166.68  3W 127.11 ( 41)  47.33 (  3)   6.67 (  3)
    8  Woodbury Central       A-1 ( 2- 1) 164.12  1L 147.40 ( 14)  39.00 (  7)  19.67 ( 28)
    9  Logan-Magnolia         A-8 ( 2- 1) 162.35  1W 136.80 ( 24)  40.67 (  5)  11.00 (  8)
   10  Mason City Newman      A-2 ( 1- 2) 156.91  1W 166.05 (  2)  24.67 ( 24)  34.33 ( 50)
   11  Algona Garrigan        A-2 ( 1- 2) 152.59  1L 156.17 (  7)  13.67 ( 44)  18.67 ( 26)
   12  Prairie Valley         A-2 ( 2- 1) 151.63  1W 145.25 ( 20)  18.00 ( 38)  11.00 (  7)
   13  Packwood Pekin         A-6 ( 3- 0) 147.86  3W 112.08 ( 55)  49.00 (  2)  15.33 ( 13)
   14  Brooklyn BGM           A-6 ( 2- 1) 145.36  1W 120.13 ( 50)  34.00 ( 10)   9.33 (  6)
   15  Traer North Tama       A-4 ( 3- 1) 145.16  2W 131.29 ( 32)  27.00 ( 18)  22.50 ( 32)
   16  Alta-Aurelia           A-1 ( 1- 2) 144.71  1W 148.04 ( 11)  13.33 ( 46)  15.67 ( 14)

Review

Top 16 results

Pre = pregame prediction
Post = postgame prediction
Act = actual game margin


09/07

Cl Rnk Visitor            Score Cl Rnk Home               Score    Pre   Post Act
 A  25 Ackley AGWSR          19  A   4 Britt West Hancock    41  36.05  33.81  22
 A  16 Alta-Aurelia          14  A  24 Sibley-Ocheyedan       0  10.11  -6.72 -14
 A  21 Belmond-Klemme        28  A  10 Mason City Newman     47   3.92  16.03  19
 A   2 Hinton                28  A   5 Inwood West Lyon      12  21.04  -8.30 -16
 A   3 Lawton-Bronson        50  A  17 Hawarden West Sioux    7 -31.13 -28.56 -43
 A   9 Logan-Magnolia        60  A  56 Onawa West Monona      0 -64.45 -61.54 -60
 A  18 Lynnville-Sully       27  A  13 Packwood Pekin        34  -9.36   4.45   7
 A  15 Traer North Tama      36  A  55 Garwin GMG             7 -55.11 -44.33 -29
 A  12 Prairie Valley        17  A  11 Algona Garrigan        6   7.11   0.52 -11
 A  58 Southeast Warren       0  A  14 Brooklyn BGM          54  36.59  56.57  54
 A   1 Wapsie Valley         61  A  35 East Buchanan          0 -49.11 -58.61 -61
 A   8 Woodbury Central      35  A   6 Akron-Westfield       38  12.89   2.47   3
 A   7 Woodward-Granger      46  A  52 Guthrie Center         0 -74.66 -61.63 -46

Preview

Top 16 games

Date  Cl Rk (W-L) Visitor              Cl Rk (W-L) Home                   Line Prob
09/14  A 11 (1-2) Algona Garrigan       A 25 (3-1) Ackley AGWSR         -15.35  77%
09/14  A  4 (2-1) Britt West Hancock    A 21 (2-1) Belmond-Klemme       -31.90  93%
09/14  A  5 (2-1) Inwood West Lyon      A 17 (0-3) Hawarden West Sioux  -25.87  89%
09/14  A  6 (3-0) Akron-Westfield       A  2 (2-1) Hinton                 9.98  68%
09/14  A 10 (1-2) Mason City Newman     A 37 (2-1) Lake Mills           -28.79  91%
09/14  A 24 (1-2) Sibley-Ocheyedan      A  3 (3-0) Lawton-Bronson        33.40  94%
09/14  A 46 (1-2) Oakland Riverside     A  9 (2-1) Logan-Magnolia        47.44  99%
09/14  A 14 (2-1) Brooklyn BGM          A 18 (1-2) Lynnville-Sully       -2.82  55%
09/14  A 13 (3-0) Packwood Pekin        A 54 (0-3) Pleasantville        -45.25  98%
09/14  A 50 (2-1) Burnside SE Webster   A 12 (2-1) Prairie Valley        39.42  97%
09/14  A 41 (3-1) Marengo Iowa Valley   A 15 (3-1) Traer North Tama      19.93  83%
09/14  A 57 (0-3) Edgewood-Colesburg    A  1 (3-0) Wapsie Valley         93.11 100%
09/14  A 16 (1-2) Alta-Aurelia          A  8 (2-1) Woodbury Central      18.97  82%
09/14  A 42 (1-2) Audubon               A  7 (3-0) Woodward-Granger      42.01  98%

Notes

Unbiased Rankings:

Rankings are now unbiased. Thus, many changes in the rankings have occurred now that last year’s information has been removed.

Accuracy:

Computer model is still gaining accuracy. Accuracy will increase until week 4 predictions are published.

Big Wins:

#2 Hinton wins a big 28-12 contest on the road at #5 West Lyon. West Lyon was a 21-point favorite.

#16 Alta Aurelia, 10-point underdogs, won by 14-0 at #24 Sibley-Ocheyedan.

#13 Pekin, 9-point home underdogs, beat #18 Lynnville-Sully 34-27.

#12 Prairie Valley wins a big 17-6 decision over #11 Algona Garrigan. Garrigan had been a 7-point favorite.

Regional analysis:

Districts 1 and 2 found favor with the computer with 9 of the top 12 teams. District 1 has a (10-6) non-district record while district 2 is (11-6). No other district has a winning record.

Game of the week:

#6 (3-0) Akron-Westfield travels to #2 (2-1) Hinton for a district 1 showdown. Hinton is a 10-point favorite.