09/15 Weekly 1A FB Report


Iowa High School Boys Football

Weekly 1A FB Report

Rankings

    R  Team                  Conf ( W- L)    Mod Str  Sched  Rank     Off Ave      Def Ave
    1  Emmetsburg            1A-1 ( 3- 1) 181.97  2W 151.13 (  5)  47.75 (  2)  18.50 ( 21)
    2  Fort Dodge St Edmond  1A-2 ( 4- 0) 176.24  4W 140.10 ( 19)  44.75 (  4)   8.50 (  4)
    3  Iowa City Regina      1A-6 ( 4- 0) 171.59  4W 144.65 ( 13)  36.25 ( 13)   8.50 (  5)
    4  CB St Albert          1A-8 ( 3- 1) 168.90  2W 137.34 ( 24)  36.00 ( 14)  15.50 ( 15)
    5  Dike-New Hartford     1A-3 ( 4- 0) 167.75  4W 124.92 ( 44)  42.00 (  7)   1.75 (  1)
    6  Hartley HMS           1A-1 ( 4- 0) 166.72  4W 125.36 ( 43)  42.75 (  6)   3.50 (  2)
    7  Pella Christian       1A-7 ( 4- 0) 164.75  4W 135.49 ( 27)  40.50 (  9)  14.75 ( 13)
    8  IKM-Manning           1A-2 ( 4- 0) 162.60  4W 149.47 (  7)  29.75 ( 17)  17.25 ( 19)
    9  Saint Ansgar          1A-4 ( 4- 0) 158.90  4W 144.80 ( 12)  26.25 ( 23)  14.50 ( 11)
   10  South Winneshiek      1A-4 ( 4- 0) 158.83  4W 137.56 ( 23)  39.00 ( 10)  17.75 ( 20)
   11  South O'Brien         1A-1 ( 3- 1) 156.84  1L 143.32 ( 15)  22.50 ( 33)  13.75 (  9)
   12  West Branch           1A-6 ( 2- 2) 155.36  2L 149.13 (  8)  24.25 ( 27)  19.25 ( 24)
   13  Aplington AP          1A-3 ( 3- 1) 154.94  2W 140.22 ( 18)  38.75 ( 11)  21.75 ( 30)
   14  Tipton                1A-5 ( 4- 0) 153.94  4W 131.41 ( 35)  26.25 ( 21)   9.00 (  7)
   15  Manson NW Webster     1A-2 ( 2- 2) 153.15  1L 149.77 (  6)  19.25 ( 41)  16.00 ( 17)
   16  Wilton                1A-6 ( 3- 1) 152.82  3W 138.87 ( 22)  34.25 ( 15)  18.75 ( 22)

Review

Top 16 results

Pre = pregame prediction
Post = postgame prediction
Act = actual game margin


09/14

Cl Rnk Visitor            Score Cl Rnk Home               Score    Pre   Post Act
1A  22 Denver                15 1A  10 South Winneshiek      36   3.19  14.74  21
1A  36 Des Moines Christian  20 1A   7 Pella Christian       43  29.13  34.86  23
1A  47 Eagle Grove            0 1A   5 Dike-New Hartford     56  47.44  51.32  56
1A  40 Eddyville EBF         14 1A   3 Iowa City Regina      52  45.35  44.39  38
1A   6 Hartley HMS           28 1A  29 LeMars Gehlen         14 -44.55 -30.58 -14
1A   8 IKM-Manning           20 1A  15 Manson NW Webster     16 -19.27  -9.01  -4
1A  33 North Fayette         13 1A   9 Saint Ansgar          35  31.35  27.49  22
1A  46 Milford Okoboji       13 1A   1 Emmetsburg            72  53.11  64.65  59
1A  27 Pocahontas Area        0 1A   2 Fort Dodge St Edmond  48  30.49  38.94  48
1A  11 South O'Brien         14 2A  19 Sioux Center          21 -24.73  -7.12   7
1A   4 CB St Albert          62 1A  51 West Central Valley    7 -44.48 -58.05 -55
1A  14 Tipton                35 1A  38 Bellevue               7   0.26 -23.52 -28
1A  12 West Branch           28 1A  16 Wilton                35 -22.42  -2.10   7
1A  42 Sheffield West Fork   22 1A  13 Aplington AP          49  19.37  29.75  27

Preview

Top 16 games

Date  Cl Rk (W-L) Visitor              Cl Rk (W-L) Home                   Line Prob
09/21 1A 16 (3-1) Wilton               1A 40 (2-2) Eddyville EBF        -24.75  84%
09/21 1A  3 (4-0) Iowa City Regina     1A 54 (3-1) Eldon Cardinal       -69.20 100%
09/21 1A 20 (1-3) Western Christian    1A  6 (4-0) Hartley HMS           19.43  78%
09/21 1A  2 (4-0) Fort Dodge St Edmond 1A 18 (1-3) Holstein Ridge View  -23.93  83%
09/21 1A 24 (2-2) Sioux Central        1A  8 (4-0) IKM-Manning           23.90  83%
09/21 1A  1 (3-1) Emmetsburg           1A 15 (2-2) Manson NW Webster    -28.38  87%
09/21 1A 11 (3-1) South O'Brien        1A 46 (0-4) Milford Okoboji      -38.64  94%
09/21 1A  5 (4-0) Dike-New Hartford    1A 32 (2-3) Nashua-Plainfield    -34.81  92%
09/21 1A  4 (3-1) CB St Albert         1A 21 (3-1) Neola Tri-Center     -22.80  82%
09/21 1A 13 (3-1) Aplington AP         1A 33 (2-2) North Fayette        -22.66  82%
09/21 1A 43 (2-2) Sigourney-Keota      1A  7 (4-0) Pella Christian       39.58  95%
09/21 1A 10 (4-0) South Winneshiek     1A  9 (4-0) Saint Ansgar           0.50  51%
09/21 2A 29 (3-1) Wellman Mid-Prairie  1A 14 (4-0) Tipton                19.74  79%
09/21 1A 44 (2-2) Wapello              1A 12 (2-2) West Branch           32.11  90%

Notes

Rankings are unbiased.

Big Wins

Pregame 3-point home favorites, #10 South Winneshiek won by 21 over #22 Denver, 36-15.

#14 Tipton and #38 Bellevue were predicted to have a coin-flip game at Bellevue. However, Tipton won big 35-7.

Upsets

#19 Sioux Center beat #11 South 0’Brien 21-14. Sioux Center had been a 25-point home underdog.

#12 West Branch scored 28 points to #16 Wilton’s 35 points. West Branch had been a 22-point road favorite. West Branch currently has a decidedly unfamiliar 0-2 record in district play.

Escapes

#8 IKM-Manning, pregame 19-point road favorites, escaped with a 4-point victory at #15 Manson NW Webster.

Championship Contenders Watch

Championship contenders will be announced 09/22. The top 5 teams in the week 5 BCMoore Rankings win 88% of the championships.

Game of the Week

#10 (4-0) South Winneshiek meets #9 (4-0) Saint Ansgar in Saint Ansgar. Saint Ansgar is a coin-flip-range, half-point favorite.