09/15 Weekly NCAA FB Report


NCAA Football

Weekly 1A FB Report

Rankings

    R  Team                  Conf ( W- L)    Mod Str  Sched  Rank     Off Ave      Def Ave
    1  Arizona                P12 ( 3- 0) 183.86  3W 148.24 ( 14)  46.33 ( 12)  18.33 ( 38)
    2  Texas                  B12 ( 3- 0) 182.21  3W 149.07 ( 13)  49.33 (  8)  16.00 ( 29)
    3  Alabama                SEC ( 3- 0) 178.10  3W 140.68 ( 36)  42.67 ( 17)   4.67 (  3)
    4  LSU                    SEC ( 3- 0) 177.58  3W 138.66 ( 42)  48.33 (  9)  10.33 ( 12)
    5  West Virginia          B12 ( 2- 0) 173.28  2W 142.05 ( 30)  55.50 (  4)  23.00 ( 61)
    6  Florida St             ACC ( 3- 0) 170.18  3W 117.23 (114)  58.67 (  2)   1.00 (  1)
    7  Texas Tech             B12 ( 3- 0) 170.17  3W 130.31 ( 82)  50.33 (  7)  10.00 (  9)
    8  Toledo                 MAC ( 2- 1) 169.72  2W 165.08 (  2)  26.00 ( 85)  23.33 ( 64)
    9  Oklahoma St            B12 ( 2- 1) 168.72  1W 144.57 ( 23)  62.33 (  1)  27.67 ( 83)
   10  Florida                SEC ( 3- 0) 168.17  3W 152.54 (  5)  28.00 ( 70)  17.00 ( 32)
   11  Oklahoma               B12 ( 2- 0) 166.43  2W 130.02 ( 84)  46.50 ( 11)  10.00 (  8)
   12  Texas A&M              SEC ( 1- 1) 165.12  1W 151.69 (  6)  32.50 ( 54)  11.50 ( 14)
   13  Kansas St              B12 ( 3- 0) 164.85  3W 133.39 ( 70)  46.00 ( 13)  14.33 ( 21)
   14  Southern Cal           P12 ( 2- 1) 162.91  1L 151.17 (  9)  35.00 ( 40)  20.00 ( 42)
   15  Baylor                 B12 ( 2- 0) 162.61  2W 132.61 ( 75)  53.50 (  6)  23.50 ( 65)
   16  Georgia                SEC ( 3- 0) 162.02  3W 124.64 (102)  47.33 ( 10)  21.00 ( 47)

Review

Top 16 results

Pre = pregame prediction
Post = postgame prediction
Act = actual game margin


09/15

Cl Rnk Visitor            Score Cl Rnk Home               Score    Pre   Post Act
1A   3 Alabama               52 1A  90 Arkansas               0 -28.81 -45.76 -52
1A  34 Bowling Green         15 1A   8 Toledo                27  17.77  20.18  12
1A 121 Florida Atlantic      20 1A  16 Georgia               56  55.64  54.25  36
1A  10 Florida               37 1A  66 Tennessee             20  -1.40 -27.02 -17
1A  93 Idaho                 14 1A   4 LSU                   63  52.51  49.79  49
1B   6 James Madison         12 1A   5 West Virginia         42  22.38  30.54  30
1A  51 Louisiana-Lafayette   24 1A   9 Oklahoma St           65  13.23  24.75  41
1A  80 New Mexico            14 1A   7 Texas Tech            49  36.04  37.80  35
1A  54 North Texas           21 1A  13 Kansas St             35  33.80  23.28  14
1B  14 Sam Houston St        23 1A  15 Baylor                48  38.20  30.77  25
1B  64 South Carolina St      0 1A   1 Arizona               56  51.88  73.94  56
1A  14 Southern Cal          14 1A  17 Stanford              21  -1.78   0.86   7
1A  12 Texas A&M             48 1A  77 SMU                    3  -1.64 -28.10 -45
1A   2 Texas                 66 1A  22 Mississippi           31  -9.98 -23.74 -35
1A  89 Wake Forest            0 1A   6 Florida St            52  20.27  40.82  52

Preview

Top 16 games

Date  Cl  Rk (W-L) Visitor              Cl  Rk (W-L) Home                   Line Prob
09/21 1A  15 (2-0) Baylor                1A  82 (1-1) Louisiana-Monroe     -27.82  92%
09/22 1A 121 (1-2) Florida Atlantic      1A   3 (3-0) Alabama               69.52 100%
09/22 1A   4 (3-0) LSU                   1A  75 (1-2) Auburn               -41.06  98%
09/22 1A  72 (1-2) Kentucky              1A  10 (3-0) Florida               33.00  95%
09/22 1A  52 (3-0) Clemson               1A   6 (3-0) Florida St            26.21  90%
09/22 1A  35 (1-2) Vanderbilt            1A  16 (3-0) Georgia               12.37  73%
09/22 1A  13 (3-0) Kansas St             1A  11 (2-0) Oklahoma               2.58  55%
09/22 1A   1 (3-0) Arizona               1A  20 (3-0) Oregon               -25.68  90%
09/22 1A  60 (1-2) California            1A  14 (2-1) Southern Cal          21.32  86%
09/22 1B  64 (1-2) South Carolina St     1A  12 (1-1) Texas A&M             54.38 100%
09/22 1A 103 (2-1) Maryland              1A   5 (2-0) West Virginia         50.52  99%

Notes

Comments are welcome

Rankings are unbiased.

Big Wins

#10 Florida travelled to Neyland Stadium, Knoxville as a 1-point favorite in the early season rankings. Florida won big 37-20 over #66 Tennessee.

#12 Texas A&M, pregame 2-point road favorites, broke the SMU Mustangs, 48-3.

Upsets

#17 Stanford, 2-point home underdogs, beat #14 Southern Cal 21-17 in a Pac 12 battle.

Game of the Week

#13 Kansas St travels to Norman to meet to the Sooners. #11 Oklahoma is a 3-point favorite.

State of Iowa

The much anticipated battle in Iowa City was won by Iowa: Iowa 27, Northern Iowa 16.

#45 Iowa next hosts #123 Central Michigan as a 49-point favorite. This is the final non-conference game for the 2-1 Hawkeyes.

FCS #5 (1-2) Northern Iowa begins Missouri Valley Conference play with a road game at FCS #13 (3-0) Youngstown State. Now thoroughly battle tested with road trips to Big 10 foes Wisconsin and Iowa, Northern Iowa is a 8-point road favorite.

Let the good times roll in Ames, as #24 Iowa State beat FCS #43 Western Illinois, 37-3. Iowa State begins Big 12 conference play in two weeks with a home game against #7 (3-0) Texas Tech. Iowa State is a pregame 14-point underdog.

Big 10 conference teams went 10-2 for the weekend. Conference remains ranked at #4.

Big 12 conference went 7-0 and remains #1 in the conference rankings.