09/22 Weekly 1A FB Report


Iowa High School Boys Football

Weekly 1A FB Report

Rankings

    R  Team                  Conf ( W- L)    Mod Str  Sched  Rank     Off Ave      Def Ave
    1  Emmetsburg            1A-1 ( 4- 1) 178.17  3W 147.44 (  7)  46.80 (  1)  19.00 ( 24)
    2  Iowa City Regina      1A-6 ( 5- 0) 171.26  5W 138.44 ( 19)  40.60 (  7)   6.80 (  2)
    3  Fort Dodge St Edmond  1A-2 ( 5- 0) 170.84  5W 140.78 ( 14)  41.00 (  5)   8.20 (  4)
    4  Pella Christian       1A-7 ( 5- 0) 165.04  5W 134.39 ( 27)  39.00 (  8)  14.40 ( 11)
    5  Dike-New Hartford     1A-3 ( 5- 0) 165.01  5W 126.98 ( 41)  42.00 (  3)   5.20 (  1)
    6  IKM-Manning           1A-2 ( 5- 0) 163.34  5W 146.95 (  8)  30.80 ( 18)  15.00 ( 13)
    7  CB St Albert          1A-8 ( 4- 1) 160.28  3W 138.46 ( 18)  36.40 ( 13)  17.80 ( 20)
    8  South Winneshiek      1A-4 ( 5- 0) 160.00  5W 139.60 ( 16)  36.80 ( 11)  16.60 ( 15)
    9  Aplington AP          1A-3 ( 4- 1) 158.65  3W 139.33 ( 17)  40.80 (  6)  18.80 ( 22)
   10  South O'Brien         1A-1 ( 4- 1) 155.14  1W 134.99 ( 25)  28.40 ( 19)  12.40 (  9)
   11  West Branch           1A-6 ( 3- 2) 153.33  1W 143.88 ( 13)  27.80 ( 20)  16.60 ( 16)
   12  Western Christian     1A-1 ( 2- 3) 152.36  2W 154.16 (  2)  21.00 ( 36)  24.80 ( 35)
   13  Saint Ansgar          1A-4 ( 4- 1) 152.28  1L 147.53 (  6)  23.40 ( 27)  17.20 ( 18)
   14  Manson NW Webster     1A-2 ( 2- 3) 150.92  2L 152.96 (  4)  19.60 ( 41)  21.40 ( 28)
   15  Holstein Ridge View   1A-2 ( 1- 4) 149.48  1L 153.68 (  3)  17.60 ( 48)  22.80 ( 30)
   16  SumnerFredericksburg  1A-4 ( 4- 1) 148.85  2W 120.81 ( 47)  34.00 ( 14)   7.40 (  3)

Review

Top 16 results

Pre = pregame prediction
Post = postgame prediction
Act = actual game margin


09/21

Cl Rnk Visitor            Score Cl Rnk Home               Score    Pre   Post Act
1A   9 Aplington AP          49 1A  41 North Fayette          7 -22.65 -29.13 -42
1A   5 Dike-New Hartford     42 1A  33 Nashua-Plainfield     19 -34.80 -29.41 -23
1A   1 Emmetsburg            43 1A  14 Manson NW Webster     21 -28.37 -26.54 -22
1A   2 Iowa City Regina      58 1A  54 Eldon Cardinal         0 -69.19 -68.37 -58
1A  37 Sigourney-Keota       13 1A   4 Pella Christian       33  39.60  33.87  20
1A  26 Sioux Central          6 1A   6 IKM-Manning           35  23.91  24.66  29
1A  10 South O'Brien         52 1A  49 Milford Okoboji        7 -38.64 -44.02 -45
1A   8 South Winneshiek      28 1A  13 Saint Ansgar          12   0.51  -7.01 -16
1A   7 CB St Albert          38 1A  21 Neola Tri-Center      27 -22.79 -14.33 -11
1A   3 Fort Dodge St Edmond  26 1A  15 Holstein Ridge View    7 -23.92 -20.64 -19
1A  16 SumnerFredericksburg  33 1A  52 Jesup                  6 -40.41 -42.50 -27
1A  36 Wapello                6 1A  11 West Branch           42  32.12  22.08  36
1A  12 Western Christian     39 1A  23 Hartley HMS           21  19.44  -8.35 -18

Preview

Top 16 games

Date  Cl Rk (W-L) Visitor              Cl Rk (W-L) Home                   Line Prob
09/28 1A 28 (3-2) South Hamilton       1A  9 (4-1) Aplington AP          22.90  92%
09/28 1A 45 (3-2) Treynor              1A  7 (4-1) CB St Albert          43.67 100%
09/28 1A 12 (2-3) Western Christian    1A  1 (4-1) Emmetsburg            26.52  95%
09/28 1A  6 (5-0) IKM-Manning          1A  3 (5-0) Fort Dodge St Edmond   8.21  70%
09/28 1A 38 (3-2) Mapleton MVAO        1A 15 (1-4) Holstein Ridge View   18.82  88%
09/28 1A 30 (3-2) Alburnett            1A  2 (5-0) Iowa City Regina      36.05  99%
09/28 1A 13 (4-1) Saint Ansgar         1A 56 (1-4) Monona MFL-MarMac    -54.01 100%
09/28 1A  4 (5-0) Pella Christian      1A 39 (3-2) Ogden                -33.78  98%
09/28 1A 11 (3-2) West Branch          1A 37 (2-3) Sigourney-Keota      -20.73  90%
09/28 1A 14 (2-3) Manson NW Webster    1A 26 (2-3) Sioux Central        -10.80  75%
09/28 1A 23 (4-1) Hartley HMS          1A 10 (4-1) South O'Brien         12.56  78%
09/28 1A 41 (2-3) North Fayette        1A  8 (5-0) South Winneshiek      31.91  98%
09/28 1A  5 (5-0) Dike-New Hartford    1A 16 (4-1) SumnerFredericksburg -15.45  83%

Notes

Rankings are unbiased.

Upsets

#8 South Winneshiek, half-point road underdogs, won at #13 Saint Ansgar 28-12.

#12 Western Christian won 39-21 over #23 Hartley HMS. Western Christian had been a 19-point underdog.

Championship Contenders

The top 5 teams in week 5 of the BCMoore Rankings win 86% of the championships, 2000-2011.

Please welcome 2012 contenders.

R  Team                  Conf ( W- L)    Mod Str
1  Emmetsburg            1A-1 ( 4- 1) 178.17  3W
2  Iowa City Regina      1A-6 ( 5- 0) 171.26  5W
3  Fort Dodge St Edmond  1A-2 ( 5- 0) 170.84  5W
4  Pella Christian       1A-7 ( 5- 0) 165.04  5W
5  Dike-New Hartford     1A-3 ( 5- 0) 165.01  5W

Teams of Interest

#6 IKM-Manning and #8 South Winneshiek are both undefeated.

Game of the Week

#6 IKM-Manning travels to #3 Fort Dodge St Edmond for a district 2 battle of undefeated teams. St Edmond is a 8-point favorite.

Comments are welcome