09/22 Weekly 3A FB Report


Iowa High School Boys Football

Weekly 3A FB Report

Rankings

    R  Team                  Conf ( W- L)    Mod Str  Sched  Rank     Off Ave      Def Ave
    1  Sioux City Heelan     3A-2 ( 5- 0) 201.63  5W 159.22 (  8)  42.80 (  1)  10.20 (  5)
    2  Decorah               3A-5 ( 5- 0) 191.18  5W 142.72 ( 44)  41.00 (  3)   6.80 (  2)
    3  Adel ADM              3A-1 ( 5- 0) 188.74  5W 155.94 ( 13)  36.80 (  6)  18.20 ( 24)
    4  Grinnell              3A-4 ( 5- 0) 181.49  5W 153.52 ( 18)  39.80 (  5)   4.80 (  1)
    5  CB Lewis Central      3A-1 ( 4- 1) 181.06  1L 164.43 (  5)  35.20 (  9)  14.00 ( 12)
    6  Norwalk               3A-8 ( 5- 0) 178.63  5W 144.78 ( 39)  42.40 (  2)  15.00 ( 14)
    7  Boone                 3A-4 ( 5- 0) 171.43  5W 139.44 ( 47)  35.80 (  7)   7.40 (  3)
    8  LeMars                3A-2 ( 4- 1) 168.09  1W 160.45 (  7)  29.40 ( 16)  19.40 ( 28)
    9  Williamsburg          3A-7 ( 4- 1) 167.91  4W 135.78 ( 51)  40.00 (  4)  13.60 ( 10)
   10  Spencer               3A-2 ( 3- 2) 167.62  1L 156.52 ( 12)  30.80 ( 12)  21.40 ( 31)
   11  Creston COM           3A-1 ( 4- 1) 167.46  1W 147.84 ( 30)  34.20 ( 10)  16.00 ( 16)
   12  Harlan                3A-1 ( 5- 0) 165.77  5W 143.69 ( 42)  29.60 ( 14)  11.60 (  7)
   13  West Delaware         3A-5 ( 3- 2) 164.84  1L 155.35 ( 14)  27.00 ( 21)  16.00 ( 18)
   14  Solon                 3A-6 ( 4- 1) 162.57  3W 147.12 ( 32)  29.40 ( 15)  13.80 ( 11)
   15  Humboldt              3A-3 ( 2- 3) 162.55  2W 150.57 ( 22)  25.40 ( 24)  13.00 (  8)
   16  Iowa Falls-Alden      3A-3 ( 3- 2) 161.92  1W 151.00 ( 20)  28.00 ( 19)  17.00 ( 21)

Review

Top 16 results

Pre = pregame prediction
Post = postgame prediction
Act = actual game margin


09/21

Cl Rnk Visitor            Score Cl Rnk Home               Score    Pre   Post Act
3A  19 Huxley Ballard         7 3A   7 Boone                 28   6.21  12.46  21
3A   1 Sioux City Heelan     42 3A  44 Sergeant Bluff-Luton   0 -62.38 -66.61 -42
3A  22 Central Clinton       14 3A  14 Solon                 18  -1.79   6.40   4
3A  20 Clear Lake            10 3A  15 Humboldt              26   4.91   3.65  16
3A  11 Creston COM           32 3A  31 Perry                 13 -10.43 -16.69 -19
3A   2 Decorah               37 3A  13 West Delaware         13  -6.02 -25.63 -24
3A  46 Glenwood              23 3A  12 Harlan                51  36.36  35.04  28
3A  16 Iowa Falls-Alden      39 3A  42 Charles City           8 -23.10 -26.33 -31
3A   5 CB Lewis Central      24 3A   3 Adel ADM              43 -15.08   8.40  19
3A  36 Newton                 7 3A   4 Grinnell              49  37.45  35.87  42
3A  34 Oskaloosa              6 3A   6 Norwalk               37  21.55  31.96  31
3A  10 Spencer               24 3A   8 LeMars                28   0.60   1.18   4
3A   9 Williamsburg          42 3A  47 Fairfield              7 -36.28 -38.24 -35

Preview

Top 16 games

Date  Cl Rk (W-L) Visitor              Cl Rk (W-L) Home                   Line Prob
09/28 3A 14 (4-1) Solon                3A 52 (0-5) Anamosa              -49.00 100%
09/28 3A  3 (5-0) Adel ADM             3A 17 (3-2) Atlantic             -26.49  95%
09/28 3A 16 (3-2) Iowa Falls-Alden     3A  7 (5-0) Boone                 10.23  74%
09/28 3A 31 (2-3) Perry                3A  5 (4-1) CB Lewis Central      31.71  98%
09/28 3A 10 (3-2) Spencer              3A 29 (1-4) Carroll              -16.09  84%
09/28 3A 12 (5-0) Harlan               3A 11 (4-1) Creston COM            2.40  56%
09/28 3A 39 (3-2) Vinton-Shellsburg    3A  2 (5-0) Decorah               49.48 100%
09/28 3A  8 (4-1) LeMars               3A 45 (1-4) Denison-Schleswig    -34.53  98%
09/28 3A 13 (3-2) West Delaware        3A 21 (3-2) Maquoketa             -4.93  62%
09/28 3A  4 (5-0) Grinnell             3A 56 (0-6) Saydel               -88.37 100%
09/28 3A 38 (2-3) Storm Lake           3A  1 (5-0) Sioux City Heelan     57.52 100%
09/28 3A 15 (2-3) Humboldt             3A 40 (2-3) Waverly-Shell Rock   -24.16  93%
09/28 3A 24 (3-2) Washington           3A  9 (4-1) Williamsburg          12.30  78%
09/28 3A  6 (5-0) Norwalk              3A 27 (4-1) Winterset            -25.30  94%

Notes

Rankings are unbiased.

Big Wins

#7 Boone, a pregame 6-point home favorite, wins 28-7 over #19 Huxley Ballard
#15 Humboldt won a 26-10 decision over #20 Clear Lake. Humboldt had been a 5-point home favorite.
#2 Decorah beat #13 West Delaware 37-13. Decorah was a 6-point road favorite.

Escapes

#8 LeMars, pregame 1-point favorites, won 28-24 over #10 Spencer.

Upsets

#14 Solon, pregame 2-point underdogs, won the coin-flip game over #22 Central Clinton 18-14.
#3 Adel ADM win the matchup of the week over #5 CB Lewis Central 43-24. ADM has been a 15-point home underdog.

Championship Contenders

The top 5 teams in week 5 of the BCMoore Rankings win 86% of the championships, 2000-2011.

Please welcome 2012 contenders.

    R  Team                  Conf ( W- L)    Mod Str
    1  Sioux City Heelan     3A-2 ( 5- 0) 201.63  5W
    2  Decorah               3A-5 ( 5- 0) 191.18  5W
    3  Adel ADM              3A-1 ( 5- 0) 188.74  5W
    4  Grinnell              3A-4 ( 5- 0) 181.49  5W
    5  CB Lewis Central      3A-1 ( 4- 1) 181.06  1L

Teams of Interest

#6 Norwalk and #7 Boone are both undefeated.

Game of the Week

#11 Creston faces undefeated #12 Harlan in a district 1 matchup. (4-1) Creston enters as a 2-point home favorite.

Comments are welcome