09/22 Weekly NCAA FB Report


NCAA Football

Weekly 1A FB Report

Rankings

    R  Team                  Conf ( W- L)    Mod Str  Sched  Rank     Off Ave      Def Ave
    1  Oregon                 P12 ( 4- 0) 174.68  4W 121.33 ( 92)  52.75 (  4)  18.25 ( 37)
    2  Texas                  B12 ( 3- 0) 169.36  3W 127.39 ( 41)  49.33 (  7)  16.00 ( 28)
    3  Georgia                SEC ( 4- 0) 163.71  4W 123.63 ( 70)  47.50 (  9)  16.50 ( 30)
    4  Kansas St              B12 ( 4- 0) 162.74  4W 121.48 ( 90)  40.50 ( 17)  15.50 ( 26)
    5  Alabama                SEC ( 4- 0) 161.18  4W 123.58 ( 71)  42.00 ( 13)   5.25 (  2)
    6  Florida                SEC ( 4- 0) 157.85  4W 133.93 ( 16)  30.50 ( 54)  12.75 ( 16)
    7  Texas Tech             B12 ( 3- 0) 156.03  3W 118.08 (106)  50.33 (  6)  10.00 (  7)
    8  Florida St             ACC ( 4- 0) 154.24  4W 110.68 (118)  56.25 (  2)  10.00 (  6)
    9  South Carolina         SEC ( 4- 0) 152.83  4W 130.15 ( 34)  36.25 ( 32)   9.75 (  5)
   10  Texas A&M              SEC ( 2- 1) 152.59  2W 125.38 ( 57)  45.00 ( 11)  12.33 ( 12)
   11  Arizona St             P12 ( 3- 1) 151.90  1W 131.47 ( 27)  41.25 ( 15)  12.75 ( 15)
   12  Purdue                 B10 ( 2- 1) 148.70  1W 126.04 ( 51)  39.67 ( 19)  14.00 ( 19)
   13  Notre Dame             Ind ( 4- 0) 148.28  4W 130.28 ( 33)  25.75 ( 86)   9.00 (  4)
   14  Stanford               P12 ( 3- 0) 147.86  3W 140.81 (  4)  30.33 ( 55)  14.67 ( 22)
   15  West Virginia          B12 ( 3- 0) 147.73  3W 122.29 ( 80)  47.33 ( 10)  22.33 ( 53)
   16  Louisiana Tech         WAC ( 3- 0) 147.46  3W 118.39 (105)  54.67 (  3)  36.67 (114)

Review

Top 16 results

Pre = pregame prediction
Post = postgame prediction
Act = actual game margin


09/22

Cl Rnk Visitor            Score Cl Rnk Home               Score    Pre   Post Act
1A  37 Arizona                0 1A   1 Oregon                49 -25.68  37.33  49
1A  27 Clemson               37 1A   8 Florida St            49  26.20  12.33  12
1A 118 Florida Atlantic       7 1A   5 Alabama               40  69.50  56.07  33
1A   4 Kansas St             24 1A  25 Oklahoma              19   2.60 -16.45  -5
1A  58 Kentucky               0 1A   6 Florida               38  33.01  26.83  38
1A  16 Louisiana Tech        52 1A  74 Illinois              24  16.64 -19.15 -28
1A  90 Maryland              21 1A  15 West Virginia         31  50.52  27.89  10
1A  47 Michigan               6 1A  13 Notre Dame            13   7.63  14.74   7
1A  24 Missouri              10 1A   9 South Carolina        31  10.82  10.19  21
1B  63 South Carolina St     14 1A  10 Texas A&M             70  54.37  53.05  56
1A  48 Utah                   7 1A  11 Arizona St            37   3.91  18.38  30
1A  32 Vanderbilt             3 1A   3 Georgia               48  12.39  25.68  45

Preview

Top 16 games

Date  Cl  Rk (W-L) Visitor              Cl  Rk (W-L) Home                   Line Prob
09/27 1A  14 (3-0) Stanford              1A  50 (2-1) Washington           -11.25  69%
09/29 1A  40 (3-1) Mississippi           1A   5 (4-0) Alabama               25.62  88%
09/29 1A  11 (3-1) Arizona St            1A  61 (1-3) California           -18.26  80%
09/29 1A  35 (3-1) Tennessee             1A   3 (4-0) Georgia               26.01  88%
09/29 1A   7 (3-0) Texas Tech            1A  30 (3-0) Iowa St              -13.18  72%
09/29 1A   9 (4-0) South Carolina        1A  58 (1-3) Kentucky             -18.12  79%
09/29 1A   2 (3-0) Texas                 1A  39 (2-1) Oklahoma St          -30.11  91%
09/29 1A  68 (2-2) Marshall              1A  12 (2-1) Purdue                21.99  84%
09/29 1A   8 (4-0) Florida St            1A  86 (2-2) South Florida        -29.22  91%
09/29 1A  93 (1-3) Arkansas              1A  10 (2-1) Texas A&M             34.76  94%
09/29 1A  16 (3-0) Louisiana Tech        1A  91 (2-2) Virginia             -24.22  86%
09/29 1A   1 (4-0) Oregon                1A 102 (2-2) Washington St        -57.67 100%
09/29 1A  17 (3-0) Baylor                1A  15 (3-0) West Virginia          2.13  54%

Notes

Rankings are unbiased.

Big Wins

#11 Arizona State, pregame 4-point home favorites, won 37-7 over #48 Utah.

Upsets

#1 Oregon, pregame 26-point home underdogs to #37 Arizona, won 49-0.
#4 Kansas State won 24-19 at #25 Oklahoma. Kansas State was a 3-point underdog.
#16 Louisiana Tech, pregame 17-point underdogs, beat #74 Illinois 52-24.

Game of the Week

#17 (3-0) Baylor goes to Morgantown to face #15 (3-0) West Virginia in a Big 12 showdown. West Virginia is a 2-point favorite.

State of Iowa

#30 Iowa State had the weekend off, getting a chance to prepared for their big home game next Saturday against #7 (3-0) Texas Tech. Iowa State enters as a 13-point underdog.

#78 Iowa entertained #105 Central Michigan on Saturday. The Hawkeyes proved to be too hospitable and lost 32-31. Iowa begins Big 10 play next week by hosting #63 Minnesota. Iowa is a 3-point home underdog.

FCS #5 Northern Iowa travelled to #3 Youngstown State and lost a thrilling game, 42-35, to the home Penguins. The road does not get any easier as Northern Iowa next faces #1 (3-0) North Dakota State. Northern Iowa is a 8-point home underdog.

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