09/29 Weekly 3A FB Report

Iowa High School Boys Football

Weekly 3A FB Report

Rankings

    R  Team                  Conf ( W- L)    Mod Str  Sched  Rank     Off Ave      Def Ave
    1  Decorah               3A-5 ( 6- 0) 195.47  6W 144.12 ( 46)  42.50 (  3)   6.83 (  2)
    2  Sioux City Heelan     3A-2 ( 6- 0) 194.69  6W 151.84 ( 26)  43.17 (  2)   8.50 (  3)
    3  Grinnell              3A-4 ( 6- 0) 189.52  6W 144.00 ( 47)  45.83 (  1)   5.33 (  1)
    4  CB Lewis Central      3A-1 ( 5- 1) 183.73  1W 161.96 (  6)  32.83 ( 12)  11.67 (  7)
    5  Adel ADM              3A-1 ( 5- 1) 176.67  1L 162.95 (  4)  35.17 (  8)  19.83 ( 26)
    6  Norwalk               3A-8 ( 6- 0) 176.17  6W 146.35 ( 40)  41.50 (  4)  16.17 ( 17)
    7  Creston COM           3A-1 ( 5- 1) 174.76  2W 148.54 ( 33)  34.17 (  9)  15.67 ( 16)
    8  Boone                 3A-4 ( 6- 0) 173.70  6W 145.15 ( 43)  35.67 (  6)  10.83 (  4)
    9  Atlantic              3A-1 ( 4- 2) 168.98  2W 156.82 ( 14)  30.00 ( 14)  20.67 ( 31)
   10  Williamsburg          3A-7 ( 5- 1) 168.44  5W 144.82 ( 44)  36.67 (  5)  12.50 (  9)
   11  West Delaware         3A-5 ( 4- 2) 167.29  1W 157.95 ( 12)  26.00 ( 21)  16.33 ( 18)
   12  Harlan                3A-1 ( 5- 1) 164.99  1L 154.34 ( 17)  27.00 ( 19)  15.33 ( 15)
   13  Humboldt              3A-3 ( 3- 3) 164.58  3W 151.82 ( 27)  25.83 ( 22)  13.17 ( 10)
   14  Iowa Falls-Alden      3A-3 ( 3- 3) 164.13  1L 156.59 ( 15)  28.00 ( 17)  20.00 ( 27)
   15  Maquoketa             3A-6 ( 3- 3) 163.58  2L 151.65 ( 28)  22.17 ( 30)  11.83 (  8)
   16  Clear Lake            3A-3 ( 4- 2) 163.51  1W 152.85 ( 22)  24.33 ( 25)  14.00 ( 12)

Review

Top 16 results

Pre = pregame prediction
Post = postgame prediction
Act = actual game margin


09/28

Cl Rnk Visitor            Score Cl Rnk Home               Score    Pre   Post Act
3A   5 Adel ADM              27 3A   9 Atlantic              28 -26.56  -6.92   1
3A  16 Clear Lake            24 3A  27 Webster City           7  -3.81  -8.18 -17
3A   3 Grinnell              76 3A  56 Saydel                 8 -88.15 -93.78 -68
3A  12 Harlan                14 3A   7 Creston COM           34   2.37  10.54  20
3A  13 Humboldt              28 3A  42 Waverly-Shell Rock    14 -24.12 -21.54 -14
3A  14 Iowa Falls-Alden      28 3A   8 Boone                 35  10.37  10.34   7
3A   6 Norwalk               37 3A  29 Winterset             22 -25.37 -21.80 -15
3A  31 Perry                  0 3A   4 CB Lewis Central      21  31.76  32.01  21
3A  39 Storm Lake             0 3A   2 Sioux City Heelan     45  57.52  51.46  45
3A  41 Vinton-Shellsburg      7 3A   1 Decorah               50  49.33  53.67  43
3A  24 Washington             7 3A  10 Williamsburg          20  13.27  10.72  13
3A  11 West Delaware         21 3A  15 Maquoketa             18  -4.99  -2.94  -3

Preview

Top 16 games

Date  Cl Rk (W-L) Visitor              Cl Rk (W-L) Home                   Line Prob
10/05 3A 34 (2-4) Newton               3A  5 (5-1) Adel ADM              28.06  95%
10/05 3A  2 (6-0) Sioux City Heelan    3A 20 (2-4) Carroll              -34.40  98%
10/05 3A 46 (0-6) Charles City         3A 16 (4-2) Clear Lake            28.84  95%
10/05 3A  1 (6-0) Decorah              3A 32 (3-3) Cresco Crestwood     -43.82  99%
10/05 3A  7 (5-1) Creston COM          3A 37 (2-4) Glenwood             -26.47  94%
10/05 3A 26 (2-4) Huxley Ballard       3A  3 (6-0) Grinnell              32.50  97%
10/05 3A  4 (5-1) CB Lewis Central     3A 12 (5-1) Harlan               -17.98  85%
10/05 3A 33 (3-3) Algona               3A 14 (3-3) Iowa Falls-Alden      14.66  80%
10/05 3A 10 (5-1) Williamsburg         3A 43 (3-3) Keokuk               -25.55  93%
10/05 3A 13 (3-3) Humboldt             3A 19 (5-1) LeMars                -4.25  60%
10/05 3A 48 (1-5) Van Horne Benton     3A 15 (3-3) Maquoketa             38.60  99%
10/05 3A 22 (4-2) Pella                3A  6 (6-0) Norwalk               18.29  86%
10/05 3A  9 (4-2) Atlantic             3A 31 (2-4) Perry                -15.72  82%
10/05 3A  8 (6-0) Boone                3A 21 (5-1) Tama South Tama      -13.49  78%
10/05 3A 41 (3-3) Vinton-Shellsburg    3A 11 (4-2) West Delaware         25.50  93%

Notes

Comments are welcome

Rankings are unbiased.

Big Wins

#16 Clear Lake, 4-point road favorites, won big over #27 Webster City 24-7.
#7 Creston-Orient-Macksburg was a 2-point home favorite over #12 Harlan. Creston-O-M won big, 34-14.

Escapes

#11 West Delaware was scheduled to win by 5 points over #15 Maquoketa. West Delaware completed the assignment, 21-18.

Upsets

#9 Atlantic hosted #5 Adel ADM in a top-10 district 1 matchup. Pregame 27-point underdogs, Atlantic prevailed 28-27.

Rankings Notes

Last week’s #1 Heelan and #2 Decorah swap spots in the week 6 rankings. After that note, there are a bunch of district 1 moves: ADM moves from #3 to #5; Creston moves from #10 to #7; Atlantic moves from #17 to #9. Surprisingly, and despite the loss, Harlan holds steady at #12.

Game of the Week

#4 CB Lewis Central travels to #12 Harlan for a top 12 matchup. Lewis Central enters as a 18-point favorite.

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