09/29 Weekly 4A FB Report


Iowa High School Boys Football

Weekly 4A FB Report

Rankings

    R  Team                  Conf ( W- L)    Mod Str  Sched  Rank     Off Ave      Def Ave
    1  Pleasant Valley        MAC ( 6- 0) 206.36  6W 158.69 ( 30)  42.50 (  5)   7.17 (  1)
    2  Ankeny                4A-2 ( 6- 0) 204.19  6W 176.38 (  5)  43.17 (  4)  19.00 (  7)
    3  WDM Dowling           4A-3 ( 4- 2) 195.17  1W 179.83 (  2)  32.17 ( 12)  19.00 (  8)
    4  Southeast Polk        4A-4 ( 4- 2) 194.87  2W 182.72 (  1)  31.17 ( 13)  17.50 (  5)
    5  Iowa City West         MVC ( 6- 0) 194.34  6W 157.92 ( 33)  53.67 (  1)  21.17 ( 13)
    6  CR Xavier              MVC ( 6- 0) 191.82  6W 149.15 ( 44)  44.67 (  3)   8.00 (  2)
    7  Urbandale             4A-1 ( 5- 1) 185.62  1L 162.64 ( 22)  39.17 (  8)  20.83 ( 12)
    8  Sioux City East       4A-1 ( 5- 1) 185.46  5W 157.28 ( 36)  50.00 (  2)  12.83 (  3)
    9  WDM Valley            4A-1 ( 4- 2) 184.38  2W 177.31 (  4)  28.17 ( 22)  19.67 ( 10)
   10  Muscatine              MAC ( 5- 1) 178.55  1L 158.97 ( 29)  38.67 (  9)  22.50 ( 16)
   11  Davenport Assumption   MAC ( 5- 1) 176.74  4W 161.80 ( 26)  30.67 ( 16)  15.83 (  4)
   12  Marshalltown          4A-3 ( 5- 2) 174.64  4W 160.75 ( 28)  39.86 (  7)  23.00 ( 17)
   13  Waukee                4A-4 ( 4- 2) 174.61  1L 165.13 ( 13)  34.33 ( 10)  29.00 ( 29)
   14  Cedar Falls            MVC ( 6- 0) 173.10  6W 161.82 ( 24)  29.00 ( 20)  17.67 (  6)
   15  Bettendorf             MAC ( 4- 2) 172.83  1W 161.81 ( 25)  31.00 ( 14)  20.33 ( 11)
   16  Johnston              4A-2 ( 2- 4) 170.90  1W 179.07 (  3)  24.83 ( 26)  31.17 ( 31)

Review

Top 16 results

Pre = pregame prediction
Post = postgame prediction
Act = actual game margin


09/27

Cl Rnk Visitor            Score Cl Rnk Home               Score    Pre   Post Act
4A  15 Bettendorf            54 4A  46 Davenport North        7 -53.31 -54.95 -47
4A   6 CR Xavier             35 4A  27 CR Washington         13 -37.17 -30.51 -22

09/28

Cl Rnk Visitor            Score Cl Rnk Home               Score    Pre   Post Act
4A   2 Ankeny                49 4A  18 Ames                  17 -34.85 -35.53 -32
4A  11 Davenport Assumption  35 4A  24 Davenport Central     24 -14.16 -14.00 -11
4A  14 Cedar Falls           41 4A  25 CR Prairie            30  -9.36 -10.56 -11
4A  45 Des Moines Hoover      7 4A  12 Marshalltown          61  55.54  56.91  54
4A   5 Iowa City West        76 4A  39 Dubuque Hempstead     28 -41.75 -52.94 -48
4A   1 Pleasant Valley       41 4A  10 Muscatine             20 -26.45 -27.04 -21
4A   8 Sioux City East       43 4A  23 Indianola              0 -30.26 -22.69 -43
4A  29 Sioux City North      20 4A  16 Johnston              41  -0.45  13.17  21
4A   4 Southeast Polk        41 4A  13 Waukee                 8 -11.88 -19.48 -33
4A   7 Urbandale             25 4A   9 WDM Valley            28  -0.10  -0.47   3

Preview

Top 16 games

Date  Cl Rk (W-L) Visitor              Cl Rk (W-L) Home                   Line Prob
10/04 4A 10 (5-1) Muscatine            4A 11 (5-1) Davenport Assumption  -1.04  52%
10/04 4A  7 (5-1) Urbandale            4A  8 (5-1) Sioux City East        0.61  51%
10/05 4A 35 (2-4) Burlington           4A 15 (4-2) Bettendorf            25.56  93%
10/05 4A 26 (2-4) Waterloo West        4A  6 (6-0) CR Xavier             31.50  97%
10/05 4A 42 (1-5) Dubuque Wahlert      4A 14 (6-0) Cedar Falls           37.68  99%
10/05 4A 13 (4-2) Waukee               4A 17 (4-2) Des Moines East       -5.33  62%
10/05 4A  9 (4-2) WDM Valley           4A 31 (2-4) Des Moines Lincoln   -27.29  94%
10/05 4A 16 (2-4) Johnston             4A 33 (2-4) Fort Dodge           -19.58  87%
10/05 4A 19 (4-2) Iowa City High       4A  5 (6-0) Iowa City West        29.47  96%
10/05 4A 24 (3-3) Davenport Central    4A  1 (6-0) Pleasant Valley       45.17 100%
10/05 4A  2 (6-0) Ankeny               4A 29 (2-4) Sioux City North     -44.92 100%
10/05 4A 43 (3-3) Sioux City West      4A  4 (4-2) Southeast Polk        60.31 100%
10/05 4A 32 (3-4) Ottumwa              4A  3 (4-2) WDM Dowling           44.35 100%

Notes

Comments are welcome

Rankings are biased

Rankings are biased by this assumption: average of all teams in Western Iowa = average of all teams in MVC = average of all teams in MAC.

Big Wins

#16 Johnston, pregame half-point underdogs, won 41-20 over #29 Sioux City North.

#4 Southeast Polk was a 12-point favorite over #13 Waukee. They won big, 41-8.

Upsets

#9 WDM Valley, -0.10 point underdog, won 28-25 over #7 Urbandale in the most mild of upsets.

Rankings Notes

CR Xavier moves from #3 to #6.

Game of the Week

A top 10 game will be played in Sioux City as #7 Urbandale travels to #8 Sioux City East. The Black Raiders are a slight 1-point favorite.