09/29 Weekly 8 FB Report


Iowa High School Boys Football

Weekly 8 FB Report

Rankings

    R  Team                  Conf ( W- L)    Mod Str  Sched  Rank     Off Ave      Def Ave
    1  Murray                 8-6 ( 6- 0) 115.73  6W  45.76 ( 61)  62.00 (  2)  15.33 (  4)
    2  Elk Horn-Kimb-Exira    8-7 ( 6- 0) 115.10  6W  73.11 ( 10)  54.50 (  5)  18.17 ( 10)
    3  Sidney                 8-8 ( 6- 0) 110.72  6W  64.15 ( 39)  48.67 ( 17)  15.33 (  5)
    4  Tabor Fremont-Mills    8-8 ( 5- 1) 107.32  1L  65.29 ( 35)  54.00 (  9)  16.50 (  7)
    5  Glidden-Ralston        8-7 ( 5- 2) 107.19  1W  73.45 (  9)  54.29 (  7)  23.71 ( 16)
    6  Newell-Fonda           8-2 ( 6- 0) 103.45  6W  68.23 ( 25)  53.67 ( 10)  10.67 (  1)
    7  Don Bosco              8-3 ( 6- 0) 101.81  6W  69.59 ( 22)  45.67 ( 21)  21.00 ( 14)
    8  Marcus MMC             8-1 ( 6- 0)  98.49  6W  69.84 ( 20)  52.50 ( 13)  25.33 ( 19)
    9  North Iowa             8-2 ( 5- 1)  97.87  3W  62.22 ( 44)  35.33 ( 36)  14.67 (  3)
   10  West Bend-Mallard      8-2 ( 4- 3)  95.12  1W  73.11 ( 11)  37.71 ( 29)  19.00 ( 12)
   11  Clarksville            8-3 ( 6- 1)  94.41  5W  67.13 ( 29)  43.00 ( 23)  16.57 (  8)
   12  Adair-Casey            8-6 ( 6- 1)  90.86  1W  62.12 ( 45)  54.14 (  8)  25.71 ( 20)
   13  Remsen-Union           8-1 ( 3- 3)  89.85  2W  71.62 ( 15)  38.33 ( 28)  23.83 ( 17)
   14  Victor HLV             8-5 ( 6- 0)  89.83  6W  26.79 ( 66)  59.00 (  4)  11.83 (  2)
   15  Harris-Lake Park       8-1 ( 4- 2)  87.42  1W  74.89 (  5)  52.50 ( 14)  31.83 ( 29)
   16  Laurens-Marathon       8-2 ( 5- 1)  86.50  1W  59.30 ( 48)  40.50 ( 26)  18.17 ( 11)

Review

Top 16 results

Pre = pregame prediction
Post = postgame prediction
Act = actual game margin


09/28

Cl Rnk Visitor            Score Cl Rnk Home               Score    Pre   Post Act
 8  54 Charter Oak-Ute       12  8   5 Glidden-Ralston       62  67.94  69.64  50
 8   2 Elk Horn-Kimb-Exira   63  8  24 Coon Rapids-Bayard    34 -39.95 -38.89 -29
 8   4 Tabor Fremont-Mills   30  8   3 Sidney                31  11.23   4.17   1
 8  49 DM Grandview Park      6  8  12 Adair-Casey           64  46.11  48.58  58
 8  15 Harris-Lake Park      61  8  32 River Valley           8 -17.47 -18.68 -53
 8  16 Laurens-Marathon      69  8  63 Latimer CAL           12 -72.55 -71.03 -57
 8   8 Marcus MMC            70  8  55 Whiting                8 -61.86 -61.41 -62
 8  29 Melcher-Dallas         8  8  14 Victor HLV            33  -8.57  21.40  25
 8  64 Moravia                6  8   1 Murray                64 108.68 108.43  58
 8  47 Northeast Hamilton    12  8   9 North Iowa            41  51.46  52.38  29
 8  13 Remsen-Union          54  8  59 Clay Central-Everly   12 -66.46 -62.74 -42
 8  44 Rockford              16  8   7 Don Bosco             42  55.53  47.95  26
 8  45 Ruthven GTRA           8  8   6 Newell-Fonda          69  44.29  49.82  61
 8  46 Elgin Valley           8  8  11 Clarksville           59  41.69  47.98  51
 8  10 West Bend-Mallard     62  8  38 Corwith CWL           28 -27.50 -35.48 -34

Preview

Top 16 games

Date  Cl Rk (W-L) Visitor              Cl Rk (W-L) Home                   Line Prob
10/05  8  1 (6-0) Murray                8 30 (5-2) Colo NESCO           -45.87 100%
10/05  8  5 (5-2) Glidden-Ralston       8 24 (5-2) Coon Rapids-Bayard   -30.98  96%
10/05  8  6 (6-0) Newell-Fonda          8 38 (3-4) Corwith CWL          -43.81  99%
10/05  8 51 (1-5) Villisca              8  2 (6-0) Elk Horn-Kimb-Exira   75.32 100%
10/05  8  3 (6-0) Sidney                8 40 (3-4) Essex                -52.90 100%
10/05  8 59 (0-6) Clay Central-Everly   8 15 (4-2) Harris-Lake Park      61.85 100%
10/05  8 32 (2-4) River Valley          8  8 (6-0) Marcus MMC            31.30  97%
10/05  8 16 (5-1) Laurens-Marathon      8 47 (1-5) Northeast Hamilton   -39.47  99%
10/05  8 31 (3-3) Kingsley-Pierson      8 13 (3-3) Remsen-Union          22.23  90%
10/05  8  7 (6-0) Don Bosco             8 21 (5-1) Riceville            -19.66  87%
10/05  8 11 (6-1) Clarksville           8 44 (2-4) Rockford             -39.01  99%
10/05  8  9 (5-1) North Iowa            8 45 (1-5) Ruthven GTRA         -42.70  99%
10/05  8 14 (6-0) Victor HLV            8 62 (1-6) Seymour              -73.08 100%
10/05  8 57 (1-5) Nishnabotna           8  4 (5-1) Tabor Fremont-Mills   77.46 100%
10/05  8 63 (0-6) Latimer CAL           8 10 (4-3) West Bend-Mallard     81.19 100%

Notes

Comments are welcome.

Rankings are unbiased.

Escapes

#3 Sidney, pregame 11-point favorites, made a Houdini-like escape from #4 Fremont-Mills, 31-30.

Upsets

#14 Victor HLV was a 9-point home underdog to #29 Melcher-Dallas. HLV won big, 33-8.

Game of the Week

The reality is that the upcoming week 7 schedule is definitely below average: a lot of mismatches are scheduled. There definitely may be an upset, but it is believed to be impossible to know which one it will be.

There is one game of interest, not quite a game of the week, put worth mentioning nonetheless: #7 Don Bosco goes to #21 Riceville as a 20-point favorite.