NCAA Football
Weekly 1A FB Report
Rankings
R Team Conf ( W- L) Mod Str Sched Rank Off Ave Def Ave
1 Oregon P12 ( 5- 0) 175.52 5W 120.15 (113) 52.40 ( 4) 19.80 ( 34)
2 Texas B12 ( 4- 0) 169.77 4W 135.92 ( 22) 47.25 ( 9) 21.00 ( 41)
3 Alabama SEC ( 5- 0) 167.09 5W 131.05 ( 57) 40.20 ( 20) 7.00 ( 1)
4 Georgia SEC ( 5- 0) 165.57 5W 130.03 ( 65) 48.20 ( 8) 22.00 ( 48)
5 Florida SEC ( 4- 0) 165.36 4W 138.19 ( 15) 30.50 ( 51) 12.75 ( 11)
6 Kansas St B12 ( 4- 0) 164.02 4W 126.61 ( 85) 40.50 ( 19) 15.50 ( 22)
7 Texas Tech B12 ( 4- 0) 159.81 4W 132.32 ( 41) 43.75 ( 11) 10.75 ( 5)
8 Texas A&M SEC ( 3- 1) 159.26 3W 133.78 ( 33) 48.25 ( 7) 11.75 ( 8)
9 LSU SEC ( 5- 0) 157.72 5W 123.56 (102) 39.00 ( 24) 12.60 ( 9)
10 South Carolina SEC ( 5- 0) 155.91 5W 136.04 ( 21) 36.60 ( 34) 11.20 ( 6)
11 Baylor B12 ( 3- 1) 154.30 1L 136.74 ( 19) 54.25 ( 2) 39.75 (115)
12 Arizona St P12 ( 4- 1) 153.44 2W 132.17 ( 42) 38.40 ( 26) 13.60 ( 15)
13 Notre Dame Ind ( 4- 0) 152.32 4W 134.78 ( 29) 25.75 ( 77) 9.00 ( 3)
14 Oklahoma St B12 ( 2- 2) 152.20 1L 129.81 ( 68) 55.75 ( 1) 31.00 ( 91)
15 Florida St ACC ( 5- 0) 151.97 5W 117.40 (120) 51.00 ( 6) 11.40 ( 7)
16 Oregon St P12 ( 3- 0) 148.60 3W 143.15 ( 4) 25.00 ( 85) 20.67 ( 39)
Review
Top 16 results
Pre = pregame prediction
Post = postgame prediction
Act = actual game margin
09/29 Cl Rnk Visitor Score Cl Rnk Home Score Pre Post Act 1A 12 Arizona St 27 1A 55 California 17 -18.25 -14.90 -10 1A 86 Arkansas 10 1A 8 Texas A&M 58 34.77 33.47 48 1A 11 Baylor 63 1A 17 West Virginia 70 2.14 -3.88 7 1A 15 Florida St 30 1A 71 South Florida 17 -29.17 -17.49 -13 1A 46 Mississippi 14 1A 3 Alabama 33 25.71 30.89 19 1A 16 Oregon St 38 1A 35 Arizona 35 -5.07 -5.43 -3 1A 1 Oregon 51 1A 103 Washington St 26 -57.65 -54.60 -25 1A 10 South Carolina 38 1A 50 Kentucky 17 -18.11 -15.86 -21 1A 26 Tennessee 44 1A 4 Georgia 51 26.02 22.64 7 1A 2 Texas 41 1A 14 Oklahoma St 36 -30.07 -15.42 -5 1A 7 Texas Tech 24 1A 22 Iowa St 13 -13.17 -11.03 -11 1B 41 Towson 22 1A 9 LSU 38 37.54 47.77 16
Preview
Top 16 games
Date Cl Rk (W-L) Visitor Cl Rk (W-L) Home Line Prob 10/06 1A 96 (1-3) Kansas 1A 6 (4-0) Kansas St 41.08 95% 10/06 1A 8 (3-1) Texas A&M 1A 46 (3-2) Mississippi -18.75 78% 10/06 1A 15 (5-0) Florida St 1A 57 (3-2) North Carolina St -13.72 71% 10/06 1A 61 (4-1) Miami FL 1A 13 (4-0) Notre Dame 16.93 75% 10/06 1A 62 (3-1) Washington 1A 1 (5-0) Oregon 42.83 96% 10/06 1A 103 (2-3) Washington St 1A 16 (3-0) Oregon St 29.83 89% 10/06 1A 4 (5-0) Georgia 1A 10 (5-0) South Carolina -7.50 62% 10/06 1A 17 (4-0) West Virginia 1A 2 (4-0) Texas 23.66 83% 10/06 1A 24 (2-1) Oklahoma 1A 7 (4-0) Texas Tech 15.97 74%
Notes
Rankings are unbiased.
Escapes
#2 Texas was a 30-point road favorite over #14 Oklahoma St. They escaped 41-36.
#4 Georgia, pregame 26-point home favorite over #26 Tennesee, won 51-44.
#16 Oregon St barely surpassed #35 Arizona, 38-35. Oregon State was a slight 5-point favorite.
Upsets/Escape
#17 West Virginia, pregame 2-point home favorites, beat the #11 Baylor Bears 70-63. The post-game analysis thinks Baylor is a 4-point favorite in a rematch in Morgantown.
Game of the Week
#4 Georgia travels to #10 South Carolina as a 7.5-point favorite.
State of Iowa
#22 Iowa State lost 24-13 to #7 Texas Tech. Iowa State was a 13-point underdog. Iowa State climbs to #22 in week 6 after having been ranked #30 in week 5. The Cyclones next face #29 (4-0) TCU at Fort Worth as slight 2-point road favorites.
#67 Iowa beat #68 Minnesota 31-13 in Iowa City to reclaim the Floyd of Rosedale trophy. Iowa’s season has been a collection of alternating wins and losses. The Hawkeyes hope to avoid the alternating loss when they travel to East Lansing, Michigan to face Michigan St. Iowa enters as a 6.5-point underdog against the (3-2) Spartans.
FCS #6 Northern Iowa lost 21-33 to North Dakota St on Saturday in a home game at the UNI-Dome. Looking ahead, Northern Iowa is scheduled to be favorites in all remaining games. A possible 6-game winning streak going into a possible playoff run could start with a win at FCS #62 Southern Illinois. Northern Iowa is a 22-point road favorite.
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