09/15 Weekly 4A FB Report

Iowa High School Boys Football

Weekly 4A FB Report

Rankings

    R  Team                  Conf ( W- L)    Mod Str  Sched  Rank     Off Ave      Def Ave
    1  Pleasant Valley        MAC ( 4- 0) 206.37  4W 151.86 ( 34)  46.50 (  5)   5.00 (  1)
    2  Ankeny                4A-2 ( 4- 0) 194.27  4W 168.77 ( 10)  42.00 (  8)  22.50 ( 15)
    3  Sioux City East       4A-1 ( 3- 1) 192.65  3W 163.27 ( 14)  50.50 (  3)  19.25 (  9)
    4  WDM Dowling           4A-3 ( 3- 2) 186.94  2L 180.38 (  1)  30.20 ( 16)  21.00 ( 12)
    5  Urbandale             4A-1 ( 4- 0) 186.21  4W 151.05 ( 36)  42.50 (  7)  19.25 ( 10)
    6  CR Xavier              MVC ( 4- 0) 184.57  4W 144.93 ( 42)  49.50 (  4)   8.75 (  2)
    7  Southeast Polk        4A-4 ( 2- 2) 180.97  1L 179.50 (  2)  27.00 ( 22)  24.25 ( 20)
    8  Iowa City West         MVC ( 4- 0) 179.05  4W 151.65 ( 35)  51.00 (  2)  23.00 ( 18)
    9  WDM Valley            4A-1 ( 2- 2) 176.38  2L 171.60 (  5)  24.00 ( 29)  19.00 (  8)
   10  Iowa City High         MVC ( 3- 1) 172.88  3W 157.71 ( 28)  34.75 ( 11)  18.25 (  6)
   11  Muscatine              MAC ( 4- 0) 172.34  4W 141.73 ( 43)  44.25 (  6)  18.25 (  7)
   12  Davenport Assumption   MAC ( 3- 1) 171.93  2W 158.15 ( 27)  28.50 ( 18)  16.00 (  4)
   13  Cedar Falls            MVC ( 4- 0) 171.73  4W 161.50 ( 20)  26.50 ( 24)  16.50 (  5)
   14  Waukee                4A-4 ( 3- 1) 170.89  3W 159.95 ( 24)  37.25 ( 10)  29.75 ( 30)
   15  Sioux City North      4A-2 ( 1- 3) 170.55  1W 173.26 (  4)  24.50 ( 28)  36.50 ( 41)
   16  Bettendorf             MAC ( 3- 1) 169.63  1L 163.35 ( 13)  27.75 ( 19)  20.00 ( 11)

Review

Top 16 results

Pre = pregame prediction
Post = postgame prediction
Act = actual game margin


09/13

Cl Rnk Visitor            Score Cl Rnk Home               Score    Pre   Post Act
4A  41 Davenport West        12 4A  12 Davenport Assumption  44  34.22  35.61  32

09/14

Cl Rnk Visitor            Score Cl Rnk Home               Score    Pre   Post Act
4A  10 Iowa City High        38 4A  39 CR Jefferson           0 -30.10 -32.67 -38
4A  11 Muscatine             37 4A  32 Clinton               21 -31.72 -25.43 -16
4A   1 Pleasant Valley       38 4A  16 Bettendorf             0 -11.46 -36.30 -38
4A  23 CR Prairie            27 4A   8 Iowa City West        58  20.03  22.17  31
4A  15 Sioux City North      20 4A  26 CB Lincoln            13  -9.51 -14.61  -7
4A  35 Sioux City West        6 4A   3 Sioux City East       42  52.09  50.41  36
4A   7 Southeast Polk        21 4A   2 Ankeny                28  19.02  13.74   7
4A   5 Urbandale             35 4A   4 WDM Dowling           27  15.68   1.16  -8
4A  36 Dubuque Wahlert       14 4A   6 CR Xavier             53  46.83  42.83  39
4A  24 Waterloo West         16 4A  13 Cedar Falls           17  30.36  15.03   1
4A  14 Waukee                45 4A  18 Johnston              29   5.06  -5.96 -16

Preview

Top 16 games

Date  Cl Rk (W-L) Visitor              Cl Rk (W-L) Home                   Line Prob
09/20 4A 32 (1-3) Clinton              4A 12 (3-1) Davenport Assumption  25.90  85%
09/21 4A 18 (1-3) Johnston             4A  2 (4-0) Ankeny                30.22  89%
09/21 4A 11 (4-0) Muscatine            4A 16 (3-1) Bettendorf            -2.27  54%
09/21 4A  3 (3-1) Sioux City East      4A 34 (3-1) CB Jefferson         -48.38  98%
09/21 4A 33 (0-4) CR Kennedy           4A  6 (4-0) CR Xavier             39.97  95%
09/21 4A 10 (3-1) Iowa City High       4A 38 (0-4) Dubuque Hempstead    -31.98  90%
09/21 4A 29 (4-0) Dubuque Senior       4A  8 (4-0) Iowa City West        26.07  85%
09/21 4A 13 (4-0) Cedar Falls          4A 30 (1-3) Marion Linn-Mar      -20.79  80%
09/21 4A  4 (3-2) WDM Dowling          4A 43 (0-5) Mason City           -53.91  99%
09/21 4A 27 (2-2) Eldridge North Scott 4A  1 (4-0) Pleasant Valley       52.60  98%
09/21 4A 47 (1-3) Des Moines North     4A 15 (1-3) Sioux City North      60.44  99%
09/21 4A 21 (3-1) Des Moines East      4A  7 (2-2) Southeast Polk        21.67  81%
09/21 4A 37 (1-3) Des Moines Lincoln   4A  5 (4-0) Urbandale             44.95  97%
09/21 4A 20 (4-1) Indianola            4A  9 (2-2) WDM Valley            16.03  74%
09/21 4A 45 (1-3) Des Moines Roosevelt 4A 14 (3-1) Waukee                42.19  96%

Notes

Rankings are biased: average of all team in Western Iowa = average of all teams in MVC = average of all teams in MAC

Big Wins

Newly #1 Pleasant Valley, a pregame 11-point favorite, blows out #16 Bettendorf, 38-0.

Escapes

#2 Ankeny escaped with a 28-21 win over #7 Southeast Polk. Ankeny had been a 19-point home favorite.

#13 Cedar Falls, pregame 30-point home favorites, win 17-16 over #24 Waterloo West.

Upsets

#5 Urbandale stays undefeated after a 35-27 upset win over #4 WDM Dowling. Urbandale entered the contest as a large 16-point underdog.

#14 Waukee, a pregame 5-point underdog, defeated #18 Johnston 45-29

Championship Contenders Watch

Championship contenders will be announced 09/22. The top 5 teams in the week 5 BCMoore Rankings win 88% of the championships.

MVC

#13 Cedar Falls championship watch may have ended on Friday night. A one-point victory over #24 Waterloo West is just not the story of a championship season. Computer drops them to 4th place in the MVC behind #6 Xavier, #8 Iowa City West, and #10 Iowa City High.

Much anticipation will continue to build for the 10/05 Battle of the Boot. West is current a 7-point favorite over City.

MAC

Considerable human doubt surrounded Pleasant Valley’s double digit road favorite status in the 09/14 battle against Bettendorf. Postgame, there is no doubt: Pleasant is the new leader of the MAC. #11 Muscatine remains undefeated and will host Pleasant Valley on 9/28. BCMoore Rankings currently projects Pleasant Valley as a 34-point favorite.

Western Iowa

Ankeny retains its spot on top of the Western Iowa rankings.

Sioux City East, undefeated in 4A play, follows closely behind at #3. East has two important games upcoming: a 10/04 home game against #5 (4-0) Urbandale and a 10/19 road game against #9 WDM Valley.

#5 Urbandale is definitely the newcomer to the Western Iowa spotlight, after wins over #18 Johnston in week 3 and #4 Dowling in week 4. Urbandale has two big tests in the future, both away: 09/28 at WDM Valley and 10/04 at Sioux City East.

Game of the Week

#11 Muscatine travels to #16 Bettendorf as a slight 2-point favorite. Undoubtedly, Bettendorf does not wish to lose twice consecutively at home …