10/05 Weekly 1A FB Report


Iowa High School Boys Football

Rankings

    R  Team                  Conf ( W- L)    Mod Str  Sched  Rank     Off Ave      Def Ave
    1  Emmetsburg            1A-1 ( 6- 1) 179.57  5W 147.19 (  6)  45.14 (  2)  14.57 ( 11)
    2  Iowa City Regina      1A-6 ( 7- 0) 175.00  7W 137.65 ( 19)  43.86 (  3)  10.29 (  5)
    3  Fort Dodge St Edmond  1A-2 ( 6- 1) 169.22  1W 146.83 (  8)  33.14 ( 11)   7.86 (  2)
    4  Aplington AP          1A-3 ( 6- 1) 167.89  5W 136.55 ( 24)  43.86 (  4)  15.71 ( 16)
    5  IKM-Manning           1A-2 ( 7- 0) 166.27  7W 151.19 (  4)  29.00 ( 21)  11.57 (  8)
    6  Dike-New Hartford     1A-3 ( 7- 0) 165.84  7W 132.47 ( 37)  38.71 (  8)   5.57 (  1)
    7  CB St Albert          1A-8 ( 6- 1) 162.26  5W 136.35 ( 27)  41.14 (  5)  15.43 ( 15)
    8  South O'Brien         1A-1 ( 6- 1) 157.54  3W 129.96 ( 42)  31.00 ( 16)  10.86 (  6)
    9  West Branch           1A-6 ( 5- 2) 157.09  3W 137.76 ( 18)  35.71 (  9)  14.71 ( 12)
   10  Saint Ansgar          1A-4 ( 6- 1) 155.06  2W 136.67 ( 22)  30.86 ( 17)  15.00 ( 14)
   11  South Winneshiek      1A-4 ( 6- 1) 154.42  1L 147.16 (  7)  33.14 ( 12)  22.43 ( 27)
   12  Manson NW Webster     1A-2 ( 3- 4) 153.95  1L 156.10 (  1)  19.29 ( 44)  22.00 ( 26)
   13  SumnerFredericksburg  1A-4 ( 5- 2) 152.74  1W 131.00 ( 41)  28.14 ( 22)   8.86 (  3)
   14  Maquoketa Valley      1A-5 ( 6- 1) 150.42  2W 134.52 ( 32)  24.71 ( 26)  11.00 (  7)
   15  Neola Tri-Center      1A-8 ( 5- 2) 149.31  2W 128.73 ( 46)  46.00 (  1)  18.43 ( 19)
   16  Western Christian     1A-1 ( 3- 4) 148.89  1W 155.61 (  2)  20.14 ( 41)  24.43 ( 32)

Review

Top 16 results

Pre = pregame prediction
Post = postgame prediction
Act = actual game margin


10/05

Cl Rnk Visitor            Score Cl Rnk Home               Score    Pre   Post Act
1A  40 Bellevue              10 1A  14 Maquoketa Valley      28  23.57  22.26  18
1A  25 Denver                 6 1A  13 SumnerFredericksburg  20   7.72  10.72  14
1A  48 Eagle Grove           16 1A   4 Aplington AP          62  51.48  57.86  46
1A   1 Emmetsburg            42 1A  22 Hartley HMS            0 -37.63 -34.00 -42
1A  31 LeMars Gehlen          7 1A  16 Western Christian     29   8.57  12.50  22
1A  39 Hudson                 6 1A   6 Dike-New Hartford     42  35.75  37.02  36
1A   5 IKM-Manning           42 1A  33 Mapleton MVAO          0 -32.79 -30.75 -42
1A  53 Stanwood North Cedar   0 1A   9 West Branch           56  49.13  52.53  56
1A  46 North Union            0 1A   8 South O'Brien         38  38.61  36.85  38
1A  10 Saint Ansgar          56 1A  50 Jesup                 13 -42.80 -45.77 -43
1A  11 South Winneshiek       6 2A   2 Waukon                45  17.84  30.19  39
1A   7 CB St Albert          62 2A  46 Red Oak               13 -47.92 -48.43 -49
1A   3 Fort Dodge St Edmond  21 1A  12 Manson NW Webster      7 -16.95 -14.58 -14
1A  15 Neola Tri-Center      61 1A  52 Missouri Valley        6 -38.54 -42.64 -55
1A  18 Wilton                18 1A   2 Iowa City Regina      50  24.32  27.41  32

Preview

Top 16 games

Date  Cl Rk (W-L) Visitor              Cl Rk (W-L) Home                   Line Prob
10/12 1A 49 (1-6) Nodaway Valley       1A  7 (6-1) CB St Albert          53.13 100%
10/12 1A  8 (6-1) South O'Brien        1A  1 (6-1) Emmetsburg            22.71  97%
10/12 1A 26 (3-4) Sioux Central        1A  3 (6-1) Fort Dodge St Edmond  29.45  99%
10/12 1A 29 (4-3) Pocahontas Area      1A  5 (7-0) IKM-Manning           28.45  99%
10/12 1A 12 (3-4) Manson NW Webster    1A 33 (3-4) Mapleton MVAO        -18.44  94%
10/12 1A 16 (3-4) Western Christian    1A 54 (0-7) Milford Okoboji      -46.13 100%
10/12 1A  4 (6-1) Aplington AP         1A 27 (4-4) Nashua-Plainfield    -26.91  99%
10/12 1A 21 (5-2) Panora Panorama      1A 15 (5-2) Neola Tri-Center       4.03  63%
10/12 1A 13 (5-2) SumnerFredericksburg 1A 10 (6-1) Saint Ansgar           3.00  60%
10/12 1A  6 (7-0) Dike-New Hartford    1A 45 (2-5) Sheffield West Fork  -43.35 100%
10/12 1A 56 (1-6) Monona MFL-MarMac    1A 11 (6-1) South Winneshiek      54.43 100%
10/12 1A 14 (6-1) Maquoketa Valley     1A 24 (5-2) Tipton                -5.41  68%
10/12 1A  2 (7-0) Iowa City Regina     1A 37 (4-3) Wapello              -42.97 100%
10/12 1A 42 (2-5) Eddyville EBF        1A  9 (5-2) West Branch           33.25 100%

Notes

Rankings are unbiased.

Comments are welcome.

Big Wins

#16 Western Christian, pregame 9-point favorite, won 29-7 over Gehlen.

Rankings Notes

Games proceeded as predicted this week. No new insight was gained.

Game of the Week

#8 (6-1) South O’Brien travels to #1 (6-1) Emmetsburg. Emmetsburg enters as a big 23-point favorite.