10/05 Weekly 3A FB Report


Iowa High School Boys Football

Rankings

    R  Team                  Conf ( W- L)    Mod Str  Sched  Rank     Off Ave      Def Ave
    1  Decorah               3A-5 ( 7- 0) 198.49  7W 148.74 ( 40)  41.43 (  2)   8.00 (  2)
    2  Grinnell              3A-4 ( 7- 0) 188.11  7W 147.60 ( 46)  44.29 (  1)   6.57 (  1)
    3  Sioux City Heelan     3A-2 ( 7- 0) 187.37  7W 153.85 ( 23)  39.43 (  3)   9.29 (  3)
    4  CB Lewis Central      3A-1 ( 5- 2) 176.59  1L 162.62 (  5)  29.57 ( 14)  15.00 ( 17)
    5  Adel ADM              3A-1 ( 5- 2) 172.66  2L 161.19 (  8)  32.00 (  8)  19.43 ( 27)
    6  Creston COM           3A-1 ( 6- 1) 172.54  3W 149.86 ( 33)  31.29 ( 11)  13.43 ( 10)
    7  Atlantic              3A-1 ( 5- 2) 171.87  3W 156.32 ( 15)  31.57 ( 10)  18.57 ( 23)
    8  Harlan                3A-1 ( 6- 1) 171.11  1W 158.27 ( 10)  28.14 ( 16)  14.57 ( 13)
    9  Norwalk               3A-8 ( 6- 1) 170.82  1L 150.24 ( 32)  35.57 (  6)  17.71 ( 21)
   10  West Delaware         3A-5 ( 5- 2) 170.43  2W 158.90 (  9)  27.14 ( 18)  14.00 ( 11)
   11  Boone                 3A-4 ( 6- 1) 169.50  1L 149.45 ( 34)  32.57 (  7)  14.57 ( 12)
   12  Clear Lake            3A-3 ( 5- 2) 168.38  2W 152.91 ( 27)  27.14 ( 19)  13.00 (  7)
   13  Humboldt              3A-3 ( 4- 3) 168.11  4W 155.62 ( 18)  25.14 ( 24)  13.00 (  8)
   14  Williamsburg          3A-7 ( 6- 1) 166.73  6W 146.17 ( 50)  36.14 (  4)  14.57 ( 14)
   15  Carroll               3A-2 ( 2- 5) 166.50  1L 166.89 (  3)  21.29 ( 34)  20.00 ( 29)
   16  Pella                 3A-8 ( 5- 2) 166.40  4W 161.60 (  7)  19.14 ( 38)  14.71 ( 15)

Review

Top 16 results

Pre = pregame prediction
Post = postgame prediction
Act = actual game margin


10/05

Cl Rnk Visitor            Score Cl Rnk Home               Score    Pre   Post Act
3A   7 Atlantic              41 3A  36 Perry                  6 -15.72 -20.74 -35
3A  26 Huxley Ballard        14 3A   2 Grinnell              35  32.48  29.89  21
3A   3 Sioux City Heelan     17 3A  15 Carroll               14 -34.38 -20.19  -3
3A  11 Boone                 14 3A  17 Tama South Tama       37 -13.49  -2.54  23
3A  45 Charles City           7 3A  12 Clear Lake            44  28.85  32.92  37
3A   6 Creston COM           14 3A  39 Glenwood               0 -26.48 -24.43 -14
3A   1 Decorah               35 3A  30 Cresco Crestwood      15 -43.82 -44.49 -20
3A  13 Humboldt              21 3A  25 LeMars                12  -4.26  -7.69  -9
3A   4 CB Lewis Central      10 3A   8 Harlan                35 -17.96  -4.80  25
3A  29 Newton                17 3A   5 Adel ADM              13  28.07  18.58  -4
3A  16 Pella                 27 3A   9 Norwalk                0  18.33   5.10 -27
3A  38 Vinton-Shellsburg      0 3A  10 West Delaware         34  25.52  22.83  34
3A  14 Williamsburg          33 3A  40 Keokuk                27 -25.64 -19.76  -6

Preview

Top 16 games

Date  Cl Rk (W-L) Visitor              Cl Rk (W-L) Home                   Line Prob
10/12 3A 36 (2-5) Perry                3A  5 (5-2) Adel ADM              22.90  97%
10/12 3A  8 (6-1) Harlan               3A  7 (5-2) Atlantic               1.45  55%
10/12 3A 39 (2-5) Glenwood             3A  4 (5-2) CB Lewis Central      29.84  99%
10/12 3A 10 (5-2) West Delaware        3A 30 (3-4) Cresco Crestwood     -16.43  92%
10/12 3A  3 (7-0) Sioux City Heelan    3A 41 (1-6) Denison-Schleswig    -40.45 100%
10/12 3A 11 (6-1) Boone                3A  2 (7-0) Grinnell              19.29  95%
10/12 3A 31 (4-3) Webster City         3A 13 (4-3) Humboldt              15.94  91%
10/12 3A 12 (5-2) Clear Lake           3A 19 (4-3) Iowa Falls-Alden      -2.92  60%
10/12 3A  9 (6-1) Norwalk              3A 34 (3-4) Knoxville            -17.85  94%
10/12 3A  1 (7-0) Decorah              3A 55 (0-7) Oelwein              -85.34 100%
10/12 3A 43 (1-6) Oskaloosa            3A 16 (5-2) Pella                 25.48  99%
10/12 3A 15 (2-5) Carroll              3A 48 (0-7) Sergeant Bluff-Luton -40.36 100%
10/12 3A 14 (6-1) Williamsburg         3A 38 (3-4) Vinton-Shellsburg    -17.77  94%
10/12 3A  6 (6-1) Creston COM          3A 27 (5-2) Winterset            -16.31  92%

Notes

Rankings are unbiased.

Comments are welcome.

Big Wins

There were no big wins in top 3A games this week, only escapes and upsets much to the annoyance of favorites.

Escapes

#3 Sioux City Heelan, a pregame 34-point favorite, won 17-14 over #15 Carroll.

#14 Williamsburg escaped Keokuk with a 33-27 road win. Williamsburg had been a 26-point favorite.

Upsets

And what a night of upsets it was …

#17 South Tama won a 37-14 game over #11 Boone. South Tama entered as a 13-point underdog.

#8 Harlan, a pregame 18-point underdog, won by 25 over #4 CB Lewis Central.

#29 Newton traveled to #5 ADM as a 28-point underdog. Newton left with a 3-4 record and a 17-13 win.

#16 Pella, a 18-point underdog, won 27-0 over #9 Norwalk.

Game of the Week

#8 Harlan (6-1) travels to #7 Atlantic (5-2). Atlantic is the pregame 1.5 point favorite.