10/06 Weekly NCAA FB Report


NCAA Football

Weekly 1A FB Report

Rankings

    R  Team                  Conf ( W- L)    Mod Str  Sched  Rank     Off Ave      Def Ave
    1  Oregon                 P12 ( 6- 0) 167.57  6W 120.15 (101)  52.33 (  4)  20.00 ( 32)
    2  Alabama                SEC ( 5- 0) 164.19  5W 130.60 ( 30)  40.20 ( 17)   7.00 (  1)
    3  Kansas St              B12 ( 5- 0) 161.25  5W 122.66 ( 83)  43.60 ( 11)  15.60 ( 16)
    4  Texas                  B12 ( 4- 1) 158.85  1L 137.61 (  5)  46.80 (  6)  26.40 ( 66)
    5  South Carolina         SEC ( 6- 0) 158.53  6W 133.76 ( 16)  36.33 ( 33)  10.50 (  4)
    6  West Virginia          B12 ( 5- 0) 158.20  5W 133.95 ( 15)  52.00 (  5)  35.00 (104)
    7  Florida                SEC ( 5- 0) 158.09  5W 136.54 (  7)  27.20 ( 69)  11.40 (  6)
    8  Oklahoma               B12 ( 3- 1) 157.19  1W 129.33 ( 38)  38.25 ( 24)  16.00 ( 21)
    9  Texas A&M              SEC ( 4- 1) 156.42  4W 129.73 ( 37)  44.60 (  8)  14.80 ( 14)
   10  Georgia                SEC ( 5- 1) 153.66  1L 131.39 ( 27)  41.33 ( 13)  24.17 ( 53)
   11  Notre Dame             Ind ( 5- 0) 151.94  5W 132.23 ( 23)  28.80 ( 62)   7.80 (  2)
   12  Baylor                 B12 ( 3- 1) 151.81  1L 135.51 (  9)  54.25 (  2)  39.75 (119)
   13  LSU                    SEC ( 5- 1) 149.21  1L 125.46 ( 61)  33.50 ( 42)  12.83 (  8)
   14  Arizona St             P12 ( 4- 1) 148.94  2W 129.02 ( 40)  38.40 ( 23)  13.60 ( 12)
   15  Ohio State             B10 ( 6- 0) 146.06  6W 129.92 ( 36)  38.50 ( 22)  20.50 ( 36)
   16  Oklahoma St            B12 ( 2- 2) 145.43  1L 121.35 ( 93)  55.75 (  1)  31.00 ( 95)

Review

Top 16 results

Pre = pregame prediction
Post = postgame prediction
Act = actual game margin


10/06

Cl Rnk Visitor            Score Cl Rnk Home               Score    Pre   Post Act
1A  10 Georgia                7 1A   5 South Carolina        35  -7.50   6.95  28
1A  94 Kansas                16 1A   3 Kansas St             56  41.08  43.72  40
1A  13 LSU                    6 1A   7 Florida               14   9.79  10.96   8
1A  73 Miami FL               3 1A  11 Notre Dame            41  16.93  24.60  38
1A  38 Nebraska              38 1A  15 Ohio State            63   4.99  12.99  25
1A   8 Oklahoma              41 1A  21 Texas Tech            20  15.97 -13.83 -21
1A   9 Texas A&M             30 1A  27 Mississippi           27 -18.75 -15.10  -3
1A  49 Washington            21 1A   1 Oregon                52  42.83  36.39  31
1A   6 West Virginia         48 1A   4 Texas                 45  23.66   2.74  -3

Preview

Top 16 games

Date  Cl  Rk (W-L) Visitor              Cl  Rk (W-L) Home                   Line Prob
10/11 1A  14 (4-1) Arizona St            1A 119 (1-4) Colorado             -38.55  99%
10/13 1A  44 (4-1) TCU                   1A  12 (3-1) Baylor                20.01  89%
10/13 1A  15 (6-0) Ohio State            1A  82 (2-3) Indiana              -18.99  88%
10/13 1A   3 (5-0) Kansas St             1A  20 (4-1) Iowa St              -16.78  85%
10/13 1A  16 (2-2) Oklahoma St           1A  94 (1-4) Kansas               -23.74  93%
10/13 1A   5 (6-0) South Carolina        1A  13 (5-1) LSU                   -7.23  67%
10/13 1A   9 (4-1) Texas A&M             1A  45 (5-0) Louisiana Tech       -22.55  92%
10/13 1A   2 (5-0) Alabama               1A  26 (3-3) Missouri             -22.77  92%
10/13 1A  18 (4-1) Stanford              1A  11 (5-0) Notre Dame             9.35  72%
10/13 1A   6 (5-0) West Virginia         1A  21 (4-1) Texas Tech           -14.84  82%
10/13 1A   7 (5-0) Florida               1A  51 (2-3) Vanderbilt           -22.83  92%

Notes

Comments are welcome

Rankings are unbiased.

Big Wins

#15 Ohio State was a 5-point home favorite over #38 Nebraska. The Buckeyes won big 63-38.

Escapes

#9 Texas A&M was a big 19-point road favorite at #27 Mississippi. A&M escaped with a 3-point victory, 30-27.

Upsets

#5 South Carolina, a 7-point home underdog, beat Georgia 35-7.

#6 West Virginia was a 24-point road underdog. They traveled to Austin and beat #4 Texas 48-45.

#8 Oklahoma, pregame 16-point underdog, beat #21 Texas Tech 41-20.

Game of the Week

#5 (6-0) South Carolina travels to #13 (5-1) LSU. South Carolina is a pregame 7-point road favorite.

State of Iowa

#20 Iowa State traveled to #44 TCU and returned with a 14-point road win, 37-23. Iowa State had been a 2-point road underdog. The road gets tougher this weekend as Kansas St comes to town as a 17-point favorite.

#62 Iowa had the weekend off. Iowa next takes its (3-2) record into East Lansing to face Michigan St. Iowa enters as a 10.5-point underdog.

#5 Northern Iowa, owner of the fifth-toughest schedule in FCS, travels to #41 Southern Illinois. Northern Iowa enters as a 15-point favorite.