10/12 Weekly 3A FB Report


Iowa High School Boys Football

Rankings

    R  Team                  Conf ( W- L)    Mod Str  Sched  Rank     Off Ave      Def Ave
    1  Decorah               3A-5 ( 8- 0) 187.69  8W 139.64 ( 51)  44.12 (  1)   7.00 (  1)
    2  Sioux City Heelan     3A-2 ( 8- 0) 184.61  8W 150.01 ( 25)  41.12 (  3)   9.00 (  2)
    3  Grinnell              3A-4 ( 8- 0) 182.28  8W 147.12 ( 32)  43.62 (  2)   9.38 (  3)
    4  CB Lewis Central      3A-1 ( 6- 2) 170.38  1W 156.37 (  5)  28.38 ( 15)  14.00 ( 11)
    5  Williamsburg          3A-7 ( 7- 1) 167.94  7W 142.26 ( 47)  38.88 (  4)  14.25 ( 13)
    6  Adel ADM              3A-1 ( 6- 2) 167.41  1W 155.68 (  6)  31.50 (  9)  18.62 ( 24)
    7  Harlan                3A-1 ( 7- 1) 167.31  2W 155.45 (  8)  28.12 ( 17)  15.38 ( 18)
    8  Norwalk               3A-8 ( 6- 1) 166.84  1L 146.55 ( 34)  35.57 (  6)  17.71 ( 22)
    9  Creston COM           3A-1 ( 7- 1) 166.23  4W 146.62 ( 33)  29.88 ( 14)  14.12 ( 12)
   10  Boone                 3A-4 ( 6- 2) 165.99  2L 149.95 ( 26)  32.12 (  8)  17.62 ( 21)
   11  Atlantic              3A-1 ( 5- 3) 165.92  1L 153.18 ( 13)  30.25 ( 12)  19.75 ( 28)
   12  Clear Lake            3A-3 ( 6- 2) 165.02  3W 151.36 ( 20)  26.12 ( 22)  12.25 (  6)
   13  West Delaware         3A-5 ( 6- 2) 164.91  3W 151.75 ( 19)  27.12 ( 20)  13.25 (  9)
   14  Humboldt              3A-3 ( 5- 3) 163.60  5W 152.43 ( 18)  25.50 ( 23)  14.38 ( 14)
   15  Carroll               3A-2 ( 3- 5) 162.87  1W 158.37 (  4)  22.88 ( 28)  19.00 ( 25)
   16  Pella                 3A-8 ( 6- 2) 162.15  5W 155.57 (  7)  18.88 ( 38)  12.88 (  7)

Review

Top 16 results

Pre = pregame prediction
Post = postgame prediction
Act = actual game margin


10/12

Cl Rnk Visitor            Score Cl Rnk Home               Score    Pre   Post Act
3A   2 Sioux City Heelan     53 3A  41 Denison-Schleswig      7 -40.45 -42.80 -46
3A  10 Boone                 29 3A   3 Grinnell              39  19.29  16.87  10
3A  15 Carroll               34 3A  47 Sergeant Bluff-Luton  12 -40.36 -39.37 -22
3A  12 Clear Lake            19 3A  23 Iowa Falls-Alden       7  -2.92  -5.47 -12
3A   9 Creston COM           20 3A  27 Winterset             19 -16.31 -12.56  -1
3A   1 Decorah               63 3A  55 Oelwein                0 -85.34 -78.47 -63
3A  37 Glenwood               7 3A   4 CB Lewis Central      20  29.84  24.87  13
3A   7 Harlan                28 3A  11 Atlantic              21   1.45  -0.80  -7
3A  43 Oskaloosa              0 3A  16 Pella                 17  25.48  23.40  17
3A  33 Perry                 13 3A   6 Adel ADM              28  22.90  20.63  15
3A  28 Webster City          24 3A  14 Humboldt              28  15.94  11.47   4
3A  13 West Delaware         27 3A  34 Cresco Crestwood       8 -16.43 -17.13 -19
3A   5 Williamsburg          58 3A  42 Vinton-Shellsburg     12 -17.77 -27.52 -46

Preview

Top 16 games

Date  Cl Rk (W-L) Visitor              Cl Rk (W-L) Home                   Line Prob
10/19 3A 37 (2-6) Glenwood             3A 11 (5-3) Atlantic              20.41  95%
10/19 3A 38 (3-5) Dallas Center-Grimes 3A 10 (6-2) Boone                 20.70  95%
10/19 3A 21 (6-2) LeMars               3A 15 (3-5) Carroll                3.89  62%
10/19 3A 32 (3-5) Algona               3A 12 (6-2) Clear Lake            17.45  92%
10/19 3A  4 (6-2) CB Lewis Central     3A  9 (7-1) Creston COM           -3.56  61%
10/19 3A 35 (4-4) Western Dubuque      3A  1 (8-0) Decorah               41.78 100%
10/19 3A  6 (6-2) Adel ADM             3A  7 (7-1) Harlan                 0.49  52%
10/19 3A 45 (0-8) Charles City         3A 14 (5-3) Humboldt              31.94 100%
10/19 3A 29 (5-3) Carlisle             3A  8 (6-1) Norwalk               14.74  88%
10/19 3A 17 (5-3) Spencer              3A  2 (8-0) Sioux City Heelan     23.15  97%
10/19 3A  3 (8-0) Grinnell             3A 18 (7-1) Tama South Tama      -20.21  95%
10/19 3A 55 (0-8) Oelwein              3A 13 (6-2) West Delaware         56.86 100%
10/19 3A 52 (2-6) Mount Pleasant       3A  5 (7-1) Williamsburg          55.30 100%
10/19 3A 16 (6-2) Pella                3A 27 (5-3) Winterset             -8.48  75%

Notes

Rankings are unbiased.

Comments are welcome.

Big Wins

#12 Clear Lake, a pregame 3-point favorite, won 19-7 over #23 Iowa Falls-Alden.

Escapes

#9 Creston-Orient-Macksburg won 20-19 over #27 Winterset. Creston-O-M had been a 16-point favorite.

#14 Humboldt, a pregame 16-point favorite over #28 Webster City, escaped 28-24.

Upsets

#7 Harlan, a 1-point underdog, beat #11 Atlantic 28-21.

Rankings Notes

Top teams Decorah, Heelan, and Grinnell have separated themselves from the remaining 53 teams.

Game of the Week

And in the weekly Harlan game of the week, or so it seems:

#6 (6-2) Adel ADM visits #7 (7-1) Harlan. Harlan enters as a one-half point favorite.