10/12 Weekly 4A FB Report


Iowa High School Boys Football

Rankings

    R  Team                  Conf ( W- L)    Mod Str  Sched  Rank     Off Ave      Def Ave
    1  Ankeny                4A-2 ( 8- 0) 200.16  8W 167.84 (  1)  47.12 (  2)  16.88 (  9)
    2  Pleasant Valley        MAC ( 8- 0) 198.42  8W 155.03 ( 36)  41.38 (  6)   6.88 (  1)
    3  CR Xavier              MVC ( 8- 0) 193.66  8W 150.50 ( 43)  42.62 (  4)   8.62 (  2)
    4  WDM Dowling           4A-3 ( 6- 2) 191.52  3W 165.97 (  7)  36.12 ( 12)  16.00 (  5)
    5  Southeast Polk        4A-4 ( 6- 2) 191.45  4W 166.98 (  2)  37.38 ( 11)  15.75 (  4)
    6  Iowa City West         MVC ( 8- 0) 189.77  8W 152.54 ( 41)  54.62 (  1)  17.62 ( 11)
    7  Urbandale             4A-1 ( 6- 2) 182.65  1W 160.91 ( 15)  39.88 (  7)  22.50 ( 13)
    8  WDM Valley            4A-1 ( 6- 2) 181.68  4W 166.43 (  4)  31.38 ( 17)  16.50 (  8)
    9  Sioux City East       4A-1 ( 7- 1) 179.42  7W 155.65 ( 34)  46.62 (  3)  14.88 (  3)
   10  Marshalltown          4A-3 ( 6- 2) 176.16  5W 156.39 ( 33)  42.12 (  5)  22.75 ( 14)
   11  Muscatine              MAC ( 6- 2) 175.46  1L 158.74 ( 23)  39.00 (  8)  25.38 ( 21)
   12  Waukee                4A-4 ( 6- 2) 175.31  2W 161.31 ( 14)  38.50 ( 10)  26.12 ( 24)
   13  Davenport Assumption   MAC ( 6- 2) 170.98  1W 162.02 ( 11)  26.50 ( 24)  17.38 ( 10)
   14  Bettendorf             MAC ( 5- 3) 170.06  1L 158.15 ( 27)  28.62 ( 19)  16.12 (  6)
   15  Johnston              4A-2 ( 4- 4) 169.42  3W 163.94 (  9)  28.75 ( 18)  23.38 ( 16)
   16  Cedar Falls            MVC ( 7- 1) 169.10  1L 158.82 ( 22)  27.00 ( 21)  16.25 (  7)

Review

Top 16 results

Pre = pregame prediction
Post = postgame prediction
Act = actual game margin


10/11

Cl Rnk Visitor            Score Cl Rnk Home               Score    Pre   Post Act
4A  14 Bettendorf             6 4A  13 Davenport Assumption   7   1.57   1.51   1
4A  30 Des Moines Lincoln    21 4A   9 Sioux City East       46  26.95  27.91  25

10/12

Cl Rnk Visitor            Score Cl Rnk Home               Score    Pre   Post Act
4A  42 CR Jefferson          14 4A   6 Iowa City West        71  56.18  56.78  57
4A  39 CB Jefferson           7 4A   8 WDM Valley            45  47.65  46.04  38
4A  46 Des Moines North       0 4A  15 Johnston              44  61.81  57.71  44
4A   4 WDM Dowling           55 4A  47 Des Moines Hoover      7 -82.46 -79.09 -48
4A  34 Fort Dodge             8 4A   1 Ankeny                55  54.15  55.33  47
4A  27 Indianola             28 4A   7 Urbandale             63  25.89  27.38  35
4A  10 Marshalltown          58 4A  35 Mason City            21 -31.02 -31.39 -37
4A  19 Eldridge North Scott  47 4A  11 Muscatine             42  15.35  11.76  -5
4A   2 Pleasant Valley       35 4A  32 Clinton                0 -47.88 -50.47 -35
4A   5 Southeast Polk        49 4A  44 Des Moines Roosevelt   7 -70.52 -67.29 -42
4A  12 Waukee                54 4A  37 CB Lincoln             7 -27.32 -31.24 -47
4A   3 CR Xavier             24 4A  16 Cedar Falls            7 -20.60 -23.97 -17

Preview

Top 16 games

Date  Cl Rk (W-L) Visitor              Cl Rk (W-L) Home                   Line Prob
10/19 4A  2 (8-0) Pleasant Valley      4A 36 (3-5) Burlington           -53.87 100%
10/19 4A  7 (6-2) Urbandale            4A 39 (3-5) CB Jefferson         -45.83 100%
10/19 4A 26 (3-5) Marion Linn-Mar      4A  3 (8-0) CR Xavier             37.48 100%
10/19 4A 14 (5-3) Bettendorf           4A 32 (2-6) Clinton              -22.11  96%
10/19 4A 13 (6-2) Davenport Assumption 4A 45 (0-8) Davenport North      -56.14 100%
10/19 4A  1 (8-0) Ankeny               4A 46 (1-7) Des Moines North     -87.28 100%
10/19 4A 16 (7-1) Cedar Falls          4A 41 (0-8) Dubuque Hempstead    -34.46 100%
10/19 4A 18 (5-3) Ames                 4A 15 (4-4) Johnston               4.28  64%
10/19 4A  4 (6-2) WDM Dowling          4A 10 (6-2) Marshalltown         -14.77  88%
10/19 4A 38 (1-7) Davenport West       4A 11 (6-2) Muscatine             38.81 100%
10/19 4A 37 (3-5) CB Lincoln           4A  5 (6-2) Southeast Polk        48.55 100%
10/19 4A  9 (7-1) Sioux City East      4A  8 (6-2) WDM Valley             2.85  59%
10/19 4A  6 (8-0) Iowa City West       4A 28 (5-3) Waterloo East        -33.97 100%
10/19 4A 40 (3-5) Sioux City West      4A 12 (6-2) Waukee                39.69 100%

Notes

Rankings are unbiased.

Comments are welcome.

Big Wins/Escapes

Computer brought its prediction A game in predicting #13 Assumption as a 1.50-point home favorite over #14 Bettendorf. Assumption won the Thursday-night game-of-the-week 7-6.

Upsets

#19 North Scott was a pregame 15-point underdog to #11 Muscatine. The Lancers won 47-42 in a shoot-out.

Rankings Notes

Computer had some good insight on the matchup of previously undefeated #3 CR Xavier and #16 Cedar Falls. Computer expected a 21-point victory for Xavier; final game margin was 17.

Some discomfort with the computer’s relatively low week 7 ranking of Dubuque Senior undoubtedly has ended, as Senior was upset by #28 Waterloo East. Computer makes a small adjustment, dropping Senior from #22 to #24.

Ankeny, Pleasant Valley, and CR Xavier lead the Class 4A rankings. Iowa City West is still undefeated and a team to watch at #6.

Game of the Week

#9 (7-1) Sioux City East travels to #8 (6-2) WDM Valley. Valley is a 3-point favorite.