10/13 Weekly NCAA FB Report


NCAA Football

Weekly 1A FB Report

Rankings

    R  Team                  Conf ( W- L)    Mod Str  Sched  Rank     Off Ave      Def Ave
    1  Oklahoma               B12 ( 4- 1) 174.77  2W 139.80 (  7)  43.20 (  9)  17.00 ( 20)
    2  Alabama                SEC ( 6- 0) 170.13  6W 135.07 ( 28)  40.50 ( 17)   7.50 (  1)
    3  Oregon                 P12 ( 6- 0) 169.07  6W 122.78 (102)  52.33 (  2)  20.00 ( 32)
    4  Kansas St              B12 ( 6- 0) 165.44  6W 134.41 ( 30)  40.83 ( 15)  16.50 ( 19)
    5  Texas Tech             B12 ( 5- 1) 159.83  1W 135.99 ( 25)  40.67 ( 16)  16.33 ( 17)
    6  Texas A&M              SEC ( 5- 1) 158.54  5W 132.42 ( 37)  47.00 (  5)  21.83 ( 37)
    7  South Carolina         SEC ( 6- 1) 155.70  1L 137.07 ( 13)  34.14 ( 36)  12.29 (  5)
    8  Florida                SEC ( 6- 0) 155.43  6W 137.71 ( 10)  27.83 ( 65)  12.33 (  6)
    9  Notre Dame             Ind ( 6- 0) 153.72  6W 136.92 ( 17)  27.33 ( 69)   8.67 (  2)
   10  Georgia                SEC ( 5- 1) 153.20  1L 131.09 ( 45)  41.33 ( 11)  24.17 ( 52)
   11  LSU                    SEC ( 6- 1) 152.45  1W 130.24 ( 52)  32.00 ( 50)  14.00 (  8)
   12  Texas                  B12 ( 4- 2) 152.42  2L 141.20 (  4)  42.50 ( 10)  32.50 ( 97)
   13  Arizona St             P12 ( 5- 1) 151.00  3W 128.64 ( 60)  40.50 ( 18)  14.17 (  9)
   14  Iowa St                B12 ( 4- 2) 148.99  1L 140.77 (  5)  25.83 ( 78)  17.67 ( 24)
   15  Michigan               B10 ( 4- 2) 147.62  2W 135.03 ( 29)  33.83 ( 38)  17.50 ( 23)
   16  Southern Cal           P12 ( 5- 1) 146.78  3W 133.41 ( 32)  32.33 ( 49)  18.50 ( 27)

Review

Top 16 results

Pre = pregame prediction
Post = postgame prediction
Act = actual game margin


10/11

Cl Rnk Visitor            Score Cl Rnk Home               Score    Pre   Post Act
1A  13 Arizona St            51 1A 114 Colorado              17 -38.55 -36.08 -34

10/13

Cl Rnk Visitor            Score Cl Rnk Home               Score    Pre   Post Act
1A   2 Alabama               42 1A  40 Missouri              10 -22.77 -29.85 -32
1A   8 Florida               31 1A  61 Vanderbilt            17 -22.83 -19.35 -14
1A 101 Illinois               0 1A  15 Michigan              45  31.38  29.13  45
1A   4 Kansas St             27 1A  14 Iowa St               21 -16.78 -14.23  -6
1A   1 Oklahoma              63 1A  12 Texas                 21   1.66 -22.35 -42
1A   7 South Carolina        21 1A  11 LSU                   23  -7.23  -1.03   2
1A  16 Southern Cal          24 1A  56 Washington            14  -8.35  -8.94 -10
1A  17 Stanford              13 1A   9 Notre Dame            20   9.35   9.59   7
1A   6 Texas A&M             59 1A  24 Louisiana Tech        57 -22.55 -16.27  -2
1A  21 West Virginia         14 1A   5 Texas Tech            49 -14.84  17.77  35

Preview

Top 16 games

Date  Cl  Rk (W-L) Visitor              Cl  Rk (W-L) Home                   Line Prob
10/18 1A   3 (6-0) Oregon                1A  13 (5-1) Arizona St           -15.84  82%
10/20 1A  10 (5-1) Georgia               1A  89 (1-6) Kentucky             -26.26  94%
10/20 1A  37 (4-3) Michigan St           1A  15 (4-2) Michigan              10.50  73%
10/20 1A  39 (4-3) Brigham Young         1A   9 (6-0) Notre Dame            17.56  85%
10/20 1A  73 (1-5) Kansas                1A   1 (4-1) Oklahoma              48.38 100%
10/20 1A  14 (4-2) Iowa St               1A  25 (3-2) Oklahoma St           -4.56  60%
10/20 1A 114 (1-5) Colorado              1A  16 (5-1) Southern Cal          36.30  98%
10/20 1A   5 (5-1) Texas Tech            1A  20 (5-1) TCU                  -13.03  77%
10/20 1A   2 (6-0) Alabama               1A  38 (3-3) Tennessee            -29.49  96%
10/20 1A  30 (3-2) Baylor                1A  12 (4-2) Texas                 13.32  78%
10/20 1A  11 (6-1) LSU                   1A   6 (5-1) Texas A&M              8.32  68%
10/20 1A   4 (6-0) Kansas St             1A  21 (5-1) West Virginia        -18.93  86%

Notes

Comments are welcome

Rankings are unbiased.

Escapes

#4 Kansas St, a pregame 17-point favorite, won 27-21 at Iowa State.

#6 Texas A&M, barely escaped at #24 Louisiana Tech. A&M won in a shoot-out, 59-57.

Upsets

#1 Oklahoma, a 2-point underdog at #12 Texas, won big 63-21.

#11 LSU won at home 23-21 over #7 South Carolina. LSU had been a 7-point underdog.

#5 Texas Tech, a 15-point underdog, beat #21 West Virginia 49-14.

Game of the Week

#11 (6-1) LSU travels to #6 (5-1) Texas A&M. A&M is predicted to be a 8-point home favorite.

State of Iowa

#14 Iowa State actually improves in the rankings after performing about 10 points better than expected in the home loss to Kansas State. Iowa State enters the top 16 for the first time this season. (4-2) Iowa State next travels to #25 (3-2) Oklahoma St as a 5-point favorite.

#58 Iowa upset #37 Michigan State, 19-16, in East Lansing. (4-2) Iowa next hosts #49 (4-2) Penn State as a 1-point home favorite.

FCS #8 Northern Iowa lost 34-31 at FCS #34 Southern Illinois. Northern Iowa next faces FCS #11 South Dakota St in the UNI-Dome. The Panthers are a slight 3.5-point favorite.