11/03 Weekly NCAA FB Report


NCAA Football

Weekly 1A FB Report

Rankings

    R  Team                  Conf ( W- L)    Mod Str  Sched  Rank     Off Ave      Def Ave
    1  Oregon                 P12 ( 9- 0) 166.87  9W 127.81 ( 57)  54.33 (  1)  22.89 ( 40)
    2  Kansas St              B12 ( 9- 0) 166.10  9W 135.32 ( 23)  44.33 (  5)  18.56 ( 21)
    3  Alabama                SEC ( 9- 0) 164.86  9W 136.32 ( 17)  38.44 ( 17)   9.11 (  1)
    4  Oklahoma               B12 ( 6- 2) 160.48  1W 136.47 ( 16)  39.50 ( 15)  17.75 ( 17)
    5  Texas A&M              SEC ( 7- 2) 158.04  2W 134.57 ( 28)  44.67 (  4)  21.00 ( 28)
    6  Florida                SEC ( 8- 1) 155.32  1W 139.59 (  3)  26.00 ( 80)  12.11 (  4)
    7  LSU                    SEC ( 7- 2) 153.70  1L 135.22 ( 24)  29.44 ( 59)  15.33 ( 10)
    8  Notre Dame             Ind ( 9- 0) 152.47  9W 138.02 (  9)  26.67 ( 72)  11.67 (  2)
    9  Georgia                SEC ( 8- 1) 150.72  3W 132.81 ( 34)  36.78 ( 25)  20.89 ( 26)
   10  South Carolina         SEC ( 7- 2) 148.17  1W 136.88 ( 14)  32.00 ( 46)  18.33 ( 20)
   11  Texas Tech             B12 ( 6- 3) 148.12  2L 136.26 ( 18)  38.44 ( 18)  26.33 ( 59)
   12  UCLA                   P12 ( 7- 2) 147.77  3W 133.33 ( 32)  37.00 ( 22)  23.44 ( 43)
   13  Oregon St              P12 ( 7- 1) 147.58  1W 138.88 (  7)  26.25 ( 77)  18.12 ( 19)
   14  Florida St             ACC ( 8- 1) 147.55  3W 119.29 (116)  44.78 (  3)  12.00 (  3)
   15  Oklahoma St            B12 ( 5- 3) 146.58  1L 130.88 ( 40)  42.50 (  8)  25.75 ( 56)
   16  Clemson                ACC ( 8- 1) 145.93  5W 126.18 ( 69)  42.67 (  7)  23.78 ( 44)

Review

Top 16 results

Pre = pregame prediction
Post = postgame prediction
Act = actual game margin


11/03

Cl Rnk Visitor            Score Cl Rnk Home               Score    Pre   Post Act
1A   3 Alabama               21 1A   7 LSU                   17 -12.99  -8.88  -4
1A  19 Arizona St            26 1A  13 Oregon St             36   4.73   5.03  10
1A  40 Arizona               10 1A  12 UCLA                  66  -1.28  12.47  56
1A  16 Clemson               56 1A  80 Duke                  20 -14.69 -19.13 -36
1A  39 Mississippi           10 1A   9 Georgia               37  11.76  15.41  27
1A  38 Missouri               7 1A   6 Florida               14  22.97  19.97   7
1A   4 Oklahoma              35 1A  25 Iowa St               20 -16.54 -15.41 -15
1A  15 Oklahoma St           30 1A   2 Kansas St             44  24.03  21.81  14
1A   1 Oregon                62 1A  17 Southern Cal          51 -22.51 -19.16 -11
1A  62 Pittsburgh            26 1A   8 Notre Dame            29  31.58  25.01   3
1A   5 Texas A&M             38 1A  30 Mississippi St        13 -13.44 -16.25 -25
1A  18 Texas                 31 1A  11 Texas Tech            22   9.55   5.35  -9

Preview

Top 16 games

Date  Cl  Rk (W-L) Visitor              Cl  Rk (W-L) Home                   Line Prob
11/08 1A  14 (8-1) Florida St            1A  58 (4-5) Virginia Tech        -14.46  88%
11/10 1A   9 (8-1) Georgia               1A  67 (2-7) Auburn               -19.91  95%
11/10 1A   8 (9-0) Notre Dame            1A  91 (2-7) Boston College       -28.99  99%
11/10 1A   1 (9-0) Oregon                1A  51 (3-7) California           -31.09  99%
11/10 1A  94 (4-5) Maryland              1A  16 (8-1) Clemson               28.22  99%
11/10 1A  74 (5-3) Louisiana-Lafayette   1A   6 (8-1) Florida               30.32  99%
11/10 1A  30 (7-2) Mississippi St        1A   7 (7-2) LSU                   16.49  91%
11/10 1A  29 (4-4) Baylor                1A   4 (6-2) Oklahoma              23.02  97%
11/10 1A  46 (5-3) West Virginia         1A  15 (5-3) Oklahoma St           13.20  86%
11/10 1A  50 (4-5) Arkansas              1A  10 (7-2) South Carolina        16.55  91%
11/10 1A  13 (7-1) Oregon St             1A  21 (7-2) Stanford              -1.55  55%
11/10 1A   2 (9-0) Kansas St             1A  28 (6-3) TCU                  -23.25  97%
11/10 1A  69 (1-8) Kansas                1A  11 (6-3) Texas Tech            22.33  96%
11/10 1A  12 (7-2) UCLA                  1A  86 (2-7) Washington St        -23.41  97%

Notes

Comments are welcome

Rankings are unbiased.