11/17 Weekly NCAA FB Report


NCAA Football

Weekly 1A FB Report

Rankings

    R  Team                  Conf ( W- L)    Mod Str  Sched  Rank     Off Ave      Def Ave
    1  Oregon                 P12 (10- 1) 162.25  1L 127.64 ( 42)  51.09 (  2)  21.82 ( 27)
    2  Alabama                SEC (10- 1) 161.47  1W 129.81 ( 32)  38.09 ( 19)  10.09 (  1)
    3  Kansas St              B12 (10- 1) 155.56  1L 133.57 ( 16)  40.55 ( 10)  20.82 ( 25)
    4  Texas A&M              SEC ( 9- 2) 154.00  4W 132.13 ( 21)  43.45 (  6)  21.91 ( 28)
    5  Oklahoma               B12 ( 8- 2) 153.52  3W 132.91 ( 19)  40.80 (  9)  22.50 ( 29)
    6  Georgia                SEC (10- 1) 148.60  5W 127.10 ( 45)  37.64 ( 21)  18.36 ( 18)
    7  Oklahoma St            B12 ( 7- 3) 148.11  2W 129.13 ( 35)  45.40 (  3)  26.10 ( 57)
    8  LSU                    SEC ( 9- 2) 148.08  2W 131.98 ( 22)  31.18 ( 46)  17.27 ( 12)
    9  Notre Dame             Ind (11- 0) 147.86 11W 131.38 ( 25)  27.18 ( 74)  10.09 (  2)
   10  Florida                SEC (10- 1) 147.45  3W 131.85 ( 24)  25.82 ( 80)  11.73 (  3)
   11  Oregon St              P12 ( 8- 2) 147.28  1W 135.98 (  4)  29.50 ( 60)  18.60 ( 21)
   12  Florida St             ACC (10- 1) 146.37  5W 118.20 (110)  42.91 (  7)  13.09 (  5)
   13  Southern Cal           P12 ( 7- 4) 144.30  1L 133.15 ( 18)  36.09 ( 27)  24.82 ( 49)
   14  Stanford               P12 ( 9- 2) 144.07  5W 134.65 ( 10)  28.00 ( 70)  16.91 ( 11)
   15  Clemson                ACC (10- 1) 143.88  7W 123.20 ( 70)  44.64 (  4)  24.73 ( 47)
   16  UCLA                   P12 ( 9- 2) 143.59  5W 130.11 ( 30)  37.73 ( 20)  25.00 ( 50)

Review

Top 16 results

Pre = pregame prediction
Post = postgame prediction
Act = actual game margin


11/17

Cl Rnk Visitor            Score Cl Rnk Home               Score    Pre   Post Act
1A  62 California            14 1A  11 Oregon St             62  17.68  23.15  48
1A  12 Florida St            41 1A  92 Maryland              14 -26.31 -26.10 -27
1B   8 Georgia Southern      14 1A   6 Georgia               45  34.47  33.15  31
1B  46 Jacksonville St        0 1A  10 Florida               23  45.23  44.87  23
1A   3 Kansas St             24 1A  19 Baylor                52 -20.22 -11.04  28
1A  41 Mississippi           35 1A   8 LSU                   41  19.15  16.30   6
1A  60 North Carolina St     48 1A  15 Clemson               62  19.90  18.97  14
1A   5 Oklahoma              50 1A  42 West Virginia         49 -21.83 -17.41  -1
1B   2 Sam Houston St        28 1A   4 Texas A&M             47  32.77  28.20  19
1A  13 Southern Cal          28 1A  16 UCLA                  38  -0.60   1.79  10
1A  14 Stanford              17 1A   1 Oregon                14  26.91  20.69  -3
1A  26 Texas Tech            21 1A   7 Oklahoma St           59   4.31  11.09  38
1A  95 Wake Forest            0 1A   9 Notre Dame            38  33.85  33.82  38
1B  71 Western Carolina       0 1A   2 Alabama               49  71.45  70.13  49

Preview

Top 16 games

Date  Cl  Rk ( W-L) Visitor               Cl  Rk ( W-L) Home                   Line Prob
11/23 1A   8 ( 9-2) LSU                   1A  65 ( 4-7) Arkansas             -19.52  94%
11/24 1A  75 ( 3-8) Auburn                1A   2 (10-1) Alabama               40.85 100%
11/24 1A  18 ( 9-2) South Carolina        1A  15 (10-1) Clemson                3.85  62%
11/24 1A  10 (10-1) Florida               1A  12 (10-1) Florida St             1.42  55%
11/24 1A  49 ( 6-5) Georgia Tech          1A   6 (10-1) Georgia               19.55  94%
11/24 1A  47 ( 5-6) Missouri              1A   4 ( 9-2) Texas A&M             24.13  97%
11/24 1A  14 ( 9-2) Stanford              1A  16 ( 9-2) UCLA                   2.02  56%

Notes

Rankings are unbiased.

Comments are welcome.