1A Substate Championship probabilities
Substate 1 Sd Rnk Team Prob 1 6 Harris-Lake Park 0.189 16 Bye 0.000 8 62 Sibley-Ocheyedan 0.000 9 159 Clay Central-Everly 0.000 4 37 Hull Trinity 0.000 13 Bye 0.000 5 86 Ruthven GTRA 0.000 12 Bye 0.000 2 5 Inwood West Lyon 0.158 15 Bye 0.000 7 59 George-Little Rock 0.000 10 Bye 0.000 3 10 Rock Valley 0.021 14 Bye 0.000 6 19 Central Lyon 0.003 11 Bye 0.000 1 2 Boyden-Hull 0.558 16 Bye 0.000 8 121 Hawarden West Sioux 0.000 9 132 Akron-Westfield 0.000 4 28 Remsen-Union 0.001 13 Bye 0.000 5 33 Hinton 0.000 12 Bye 0.000 2 9 LeMars Gehlen 0.069 15 Bye 0.000 7 79 Granville Spalding 0.000 10 105 Remsen St Mary 0.000 3 39 Marcus MMC 0.001 14 Bye 0.000 6 95 Kingsley-Pierson 0.000 11 Bye 0.000Substate 2 Sd Rnk Team Prob 1 16 Belmond-Klemme 0.262 16 Bye 0.000 8 67 Britt West Hancock 0.000 9 137 Corwith CWL 0.000 4 24 Algona Garrigan 0.058 13 Bye 0.000 5 43 Lake Mills 0.003 12 Bye 0.000 2 15 North Iowa 0.362 15 Bye 0.000 7 82 Northwood-Kensett 0.000 10 38 Mason City Newman 0.011 3 78 Rockford 0.000 14 Bye 0.000 6 100 Riceville 0.000 11 Bye 0.000 1 25 Wapsie Valley 0.296 16 Bye 0.000 8 112 Janesville 0.000 9 151 Clarksville 0.000 4 97 Tripoli 0.000 13 Bye 0.000 5 80 North Butler 0.001 12 Bye 0.000 2 81 Postville 0.003 15 Bye 0.000 7 107 Elgin Valley 0.000 10 128 Turkey Valley 0.000 3 68 West Central 0.004 14 Bye 0.000 6 108 Lansing Kee 0.000 11 Bye 0.000Substate 3 Sd Rnk Team Prob 1 17 Dunkerton 0.207 16 Bye 0.000 8 136 Waterloo Christian 0.000 9 144 East Buchanan 0.000 4 91 Don Bosco 0.000 13 Bye 0.000 5 27 Jesup 0.039 12 Bye 0.000 2 42 North Linn 0.018 15 Bye 0.000 7 133 Elkader Central 0.000 10 139 Edgewood-Colesburg 0.000 3 87 Arlington Starmont 0.000 14 Bye 0.000 6 106 Central City 0.000 11 Bye 0.000 1 7 Preston 0.361 16 Bye 0.000 8 61 Calamus-Wheatland 0.000 9 96 Prince of Peace 0.000 4 29 Wyoming Midland 0.004 13 Bye 0.000 5 22 Bellevue Marquette 0.014 12 Bye 0.000 2 8 Lone Tree 0.355 15 Bye 0.000 7 46 Springville 0.001 10 89 Lisbon 0.000 3 73 Riverside Highland 0.000 14 Bye 0.000 6 69 Cedar V Christian 0.000 11 Bye 0.000Substate 4 Sd Rnk Team Prob 1 23 Iowa Mennonite 0.227 16 Bye 0.000 8 124 Victor HLV 0.000 9 155 English Valleys 0.000 4 53 Brooklyn BGM 0.006 13 Bye 0.000 5 115 Marengo Iowa Valley 0.000 12 Bye 0.000 2 32 Lynnville-Sully 0.141 15 Bye 0.000 7 123 Belle Plaine 0.000 10 147 Thornburg Tri-County 0.000 3 85 Montezuma 0.001 14 Bye 0.000 6 113 Tama Meskwaki 0.000 11 Bye 0.000 1 21 Gladbrook-Reinbeck 0.209 16 Bye 0.000 8 77 Grundy Center 0.000 9 150 Latimer CAL 0.000 4 31 Ackley AGWSR 0.061 13 Bye 0.000 5 120 Northeast Hamilton 0.000 12 Bye 0.000 2 20 Traer North Tama 0.353 15 Bye 0.000 7 76 Conrad BCLUW 0.000 10 131 Valley Lutheran 0.000 3 72 Colo NESCO 0.001 14 Bye 0.000 6 92 Garwin GMG 0.000 11 Bye 0.000Substate 5 Sd Rnk Team Prob 1 1 Danville 0.996 16 Bye 0.000 8 134 New London 0.000 9 154 Farmington Harmony 0.000 4 40 Fort Madison Trinity 0.001 13 Bye 0.000 5 88 Keosauqua Van Buren 0.000 12 Bye 0.000 2 51 Keota 0.000 15 Bye 0.000 7 119 Winfield-Mt Union 0.000 10 156 Fairfield Maharishi 0.000 3 57 Packwood Pekin 0.000 14 Bye 0.000 6 94 Wayland WACO 0.000 11 Bye 0.000 1 35 Sigourney 0.002 16 Bye 0.000 8 157 Moravia 0.000 9 158 Seymour 0.000 4 64 Bussey Twin Cedars 0.000 13 Bye 0.000 5 102 North Mahaska 0.000 12 Bye 0.000 2 47 Pleasantville 0.000 15 Bye 0.000 7 98 Melcher-Dallas 0.000 10 148 Southeast Warren 0.000 3 50 Moulton-Udell 0.000 14 Bye 0.000 6 84 Corydon Wayne 0.000 11 Bye 0.000Substate 6 Sd Rnk Team Prob 1 26 Ankeny Christian 0.134 16 Bye 0.000 8 103 Madrid 0.000 9 93 Coon Rapids-Bayard 0.000 4 56 Earlham 0.002 13 Bye 0.000 5 55 Adair-Casey 0.001 12 Bye 0.000 2 49 DM Grandview Park 0.009 15 Bye 0.000 7 141 WDM Iowa Christian 0.000 10 71 Woodward Academy 0.000 3 30 Guthrie Center 0.079 14 Bye 0.000 6 101 Woodward-Granger 0.000 11 Bye 0.000 1 11 Murray 0.402 16 Bye 0.000 8 152 Corning 0.000 9 153 Orient-Macksburg 0.000 4 74 Lenox 0.000 13 Bye 0.000 5 54 Martensdale M-SM 0.001 12 Bye 0.000 2 13 Lamoni 0.363 15 Bye 0.000 7 146 Afton East Union 0.000 10 135 Mormon Trail 0.000 3 45 Mount Ayr 0.008 14 Bye 0.000 6 99 Diagonal 0.000 11 Bye 0.000Substate 7 Sd Rnk Team Prob 1 41 Villisca 0.127 16 Bye 0.000 8 109 Bedford 0.000 9 142 Essex 0.000 4 116 South Page 0.000 13 Bye 0.000 5 122 Stanton 0.000 12 Bye 0.000 2 48 Sidney 0.052 15 Bye 0.000 7 130 Nishnabotna 0.000 10 140 Heartland Christian 0.000 3 70 Malvern East Mills 0.003 14 Bye 0.000 6 63 Tabor Fremont-Mills 0.003 11 Bye 0.000 1 44 Underwood 0.078 16 Bye 0.000 8 111 Woodbine 0.000 9 104 Logan-Magnolia 0.000 4 90 West Harrison 0.001 13 Bye 0.000 5 126 Exira-Elk Horn-Kimb 0.000 12 Bye 0.000 2 12 Oakland Riverside 0.733 15 Bye 0.000 7 60 Griswold 0.002 10 145 Audubon 0.000 3 83 Avoca AHST 0.002 14 Bye 0.000 6 118 Anita CAM 0.000 11 Bye 0.000Substate 8 Sd Rnk Team Prob 1 18 Woodbury Central 0.035 16 Bye 0.000 8 129 Whiting 0.000 9 138 Charter Oak-Ute 0.000 4 34 Onawa West Monona 0.001 13 Bye 0.000 5 75 Dunlap Boyer Valley 0.000 12 Bye 0.000 2 3 Lawton-Bronson 0.509 15 Bye 0.000 7 117 Siouxland Christian 0.000 10 143 Sloan Westwood 0.000 3 65 Westside Ar-We-Va 0.000 14 Bye 0.000 6 114 River Valley 0.000 11 Bye 0.000 1 4 Storm Lake St Mary 0.398 16 Bye 0.000 8 110 Glidden-Ralston 0.000 9 127 Paton-Churdan 0.000 4 52 Laurens-Marathon 0.000 13 Bye 0.000 5 58 Alta-Aurelia 0.000 12 Bye 0.000 2 14 Newell-Fonda 0.056 15 Bye 0.000 7 125 Prairie Valley 0.000 10 149 Southeast Webster 0.000 3 36 Pocahontas Area 0.001 14 Bye 0.000 6 66 West Bend-Mallard 0.000 11 Bye 0.000