1A Substate Championship probabilities
Substate 1 Sd Rnk Team Prob 1 7 Harris-Lake Park 0.168 16 Bye 0.000 8 63 Sibley-Ocheyedan 0.000 9 157 Clay Central-Everly 0.000 4 36 Hull Trinity 0.000 13 Bye 0.000 5 84 Ruthven GTRA 0.000 12 Bye 0.000 2 5 Inwood West Lyon 0.203 15 Bye 0.000 7 58 George-Little Rock 0.000 10 Bye 0.000 3 10 Rock Valley 0.016 14 Bye 0.000 6 14 Central Lyon 0.004 11 Bye 0.000 1 2 Boyden-Hull 0.548 16 Bye 0.000 8 119 Hawarden West Sioux 0.000 9 132 Akron-Westfield 0.000 4 24 Remsen-Union 0.003 13 Bye 0.000 5 30 Hinton 0.000 12 Bye 0.000 2 9 LeMars Gehlen 0.057 15 Bye 0.000 7 67 Granville Spalding 0.000 10 111 Remsen St Mary 0.000 3 35 Marcus MMC 0.000 14 Bye 0.000 6 98 Kingsley-Pierson 0.000 11 Bye 0.000Substate 2 Sd Rnk Team Prob 1 17 Belmond-Klemme 0.270 16 Bye 0.000 8 68 Britt West Hancock 0.000 9 136 Corwith CWL 0.000 4 27 Algona Garrigan 0.049 13 Bye 0.000 5 42 Lake Mills 0.006 12 Bye 0.000 2 18 North Iowa 0.293 15 Bye 0.000 7 75 Northwood-Kensett 0.000 10 41 Mason City Newman 0.010 3 78 Rockford 0.001 14 Bye 0.000 6 101 Riceville 0.000 11 Bye 0.000 1 25 Wapsie Valley 0.360 16 Bye 0.000 8 109 Janesville 0.000 9 151 Clarksville 0.000 4 97 Tripoli 0.000 13 Bye 0.000 5 77 North Butler 0.002 12 Bye 0.000 2 74 Postville 0.004 15 Bye 0.000 7 113 Elgin Valley 0.000 10 124 Turkey Valley 0.000 3 65 West Central 0.005 14 Bye 0.000 6 99 Lansing Kee 0.000 11 Bye 0.000Substate 3 Sd Rnk Team Prob 1 19 Dunkerton 0.155 16 Bye 0.000 8 135 Waterloo Christian 0.000 9 146 East Buchanan 0.000 4 87 Don Bosco 0.000 13 Bye 0.000 5 31 Jesup 0.021 12 Bye 0.000 2 43 North Linn 0.014 15 Bye 0.000 7 133 Elkader Central 0.000 10 137 Edgewood-Colesburg 0.000 3 85 Arlington Starmont 0.000 14 Bye 0.000 6 106 Central City 0.000 11 Bye 0.000 1 6 Preston 0.427 16 Bye 0.000 8 56 Calamus-Wheatland 0.000 9 91 Prince of Peace 0.000 4 29 Wyoming Midland 0.002 13 Bye 0.000 5 22 Bellevue Marquette 0.019 12 Bye 0.000 2 8 Lone Tree 0.361 15 Bye 0.000 7 45 Springville 0.001 10 82 Lisbon 0.000 3 60 Riverside Highland 0.000 14 Bye 0.000 6 66 Cedar V Christian 0.000 11 Bye 0.000Substate 4 Sd Rnk Team Prob 1 21 Iowa Mennonite 0.313 16 Bye 0.000 8 125 Victor HLV 0.000 9 156 English Valleys 0.000 4 55 Brooklyn BGM 0.004 13 Bye 0.000 5 112 Marengo Iowa Valley 0.000 12 Bye 0.000 2 34 Lynnville-Sully 0.094 15 Bye 0.000 7 123 Belle Plaine 0.000 10 148 Thornburg Tri-County 0.000 3 88 Montezuma 0.001 14 Bye 0.000 6 108 Tama Meskwaki 0.000 11 Bye 0.000 1 23 Gladbrook-Reinbeck 0.147 16 Bye 0.000 8 73 Grundy Center 0.000 9 150 Latimer CAL 0.000 4 28 Ackley AGWSR 0.048 13 Bye 0.000 5 122 Northeast Hamilton 0.000 12 Bye 0.000 2 16 Traer North Tama 0.394 15 Bye 0.000 7 69 Conrad BCLUW 0.000 10 128 Valley Lutheran 0.000 3 71 Colo NESCO 0.000 14 Bye 0.000 6 94 Garwin GMG 0.000 11 Bye 0.000Substate 5 Sd Rnk Team Prob 1 1 Danville 0.995 16 Bye 0.000 8 138 New London 0.000 9 153 Farmington Harmony 0.000 4 39 Fort Madison Trinity 0.001 13 Bye 0.000 5 86 Keosauqua Van Buren 0.000 12 Bye 0.000 2 53 Keota 0.000 15 Bye 0.000 7 107 Winfield-Mt Union 0.000 10 155 Fairfield Maharishi 0.000 3 49 Packwood Pekin 0.000 14 Bye 0.000 6 90 Wayland WACO 0.000 11 Bye 0.000 1 33 Sigourney 0.003 16 Bye 0.000 8 158 Moravia 0.000 9 159 Seymour 0.000 4 64 Bussey Twin Cedars 0.000 13 Bye 0.000 5 100 North Mahaska 0.000 12 Bye 0.000 2 51 Pleasantville 0.000 15 Bye 0.000 7 96 Melcher-Dallas 0.000 10 140 Southeast Warren 0.000 3 48 Moulton-Udell 0.000 14 Bye 0.000 6 93 Corydon Wayne 0.000 11 Bye 0.000Substate 6 Sd Rnk Team Prob 1 26 Ankeny Christian 0.140 16 Bye 0.000 8 105 Madrid 0.000 9 95 Coon Rapids-Bayard 0.000 4 57 Earlham 0.002 13 Bye 0.000 5 54 Adair-Casey 0.002 12 Bye 0.000 2 46 DM Grandview Park 0.006 15 Bye 0.000 7 142 WDM Iowa Christian 0.000 10 70 Woodward Academy 0.000 3 32 Guthrie Center 0.079 14 Bye 0.000 6 102 Woodward-Granger 0.000 11 Bye 0.000 1 11 Murray 0.460 16 Bye 0.000 8 154 Corning 0.000 9 152 Orient-Macksburg 0.000 4 83 Lenox 0.000 13 Bye 0.000 5 61 Martensdale M-SM 0.000 12 Bye 0.000 2 13 Lamoni 0.304 15 Bye 0.000 7 144 Afton East Union 0.000 10 134 Mormon Trail 0.000 3 40 Mount Ayr 0.007 14 Bye 0.000 6 103 Diagonal 0.000 11 Bye 0.000Substate 7 Sd Rnk Team Prob 1 44 Villisca 0.123 16 Bye 0.000 8 110 Bedford 0.000 9 143 Essex 0.000 4 120 South Page 0.000 13 Bye 0.000 5 126 Stanton 0.000 12 Bye 0.000 2 50 Sidney 0.047 15 Bye 0.000 7 130 Nishnabotna 0.000 10 141 Heartland Christian 0.000 3 79 Malvern East Mills 0.003 14 Bye 0.000 6 80 Tabor Fremont-Mills 0.002 11 Bye 0.000 1 52 Underwood 0.041 16 Bye 0.000 8 115 Woodbine 0.000 9 104 Logan-Magnolia 0.000 4 92 West Harrison 0.002 13 Bye 0.000 5 127 Exira-Elk Horn-Kimb 0.000 12 Bye 0.000 2 15 Oakland Riverside 0.774 15 Bye 0.000 7 62 Griswold 0.006 10 147 Audubon 0.000 3 89 Avoca AHST 0.002 14 Bye 0.000 6 116 Anita CAM 0.000 11 Bye 0.000Substate 8 Sd Rnk Team Prob 1 20 Woodbury Central 0.020 16 Bye 0.000 8 131 Whiting 0.000 9 139 Charter Oak-Ute 0.000 4 37 Onawa West Monona 0.001 13 Bye 0.000 5 81 Dunlap Boyer Valley 0.000 12 Bye 0.000 2 4 Lawton-Bronson 0.478 15 Bye 0.000 7 121 Siouxland Christian 0.000 10 145 Sloan Westwood 0.000 3 76 Westside Ar-We-Va 0.000 14 Bye 0.000 6 117 River Valley 0.000 11 Bye 0.000 1 3 Storm Lake St Mary 0.443 16 Bye 0.000 8 114 Glidden-Ralston 0.000 9 129 Paton-Churdan 0.000 4 47 Laurens-Marathon 0.000 13 Bye 0.000 5 59 Alta-Aurelia 0.000 12 Bye 0.000 2 12 Newell-Fonda 0.057 15 Bye 0.000 7 118 Prairie Valley 0.000 10 149 Southeast Webster 0.000 3 38 Pocahontas Area 0.000 14 Bye 0.000 6 72 West Bend-Mallard 0.000 11 Bye 0.000