08/31 Weekly NCAA FB Report

NCAA Football

Weekly 1A FB Report

Rankings

    R  Team                  Conf ( W- L)    Mod Str  Sched  Rank     Off Ave      Def Ave
    1  Alabama                SEC ( 1- 0) 167.22  1W 139.45 ( 38)  35.00 ( 41)  10.00 ( 35)
    2  Baylor                 B12 ( 1- 0) 163.14  1W 109.20 ( 97)  69.00 (  3)   3.00 ( 16)
    3  Oregon                 P12 ( 1- 0) 163.05  1W  93.84 (109)  66.00 (  4)   3.00 ( 18)
    4  Oklahoma St            B12 ( 1- 0) 157.53  1W 139.53 ( 36)  21.00 ( 82)   3.00 ( 17)
    5  Oklahoma               B12 ( 1- 0) 157.51  1W 125.48 ( 67)  34.00 ( 51)   0.00 (  8)
    6  Texas A&M              SEC ( 1- 0) 156.92  1W 129.99 ( 60)  52.00 ( 11)  31.00 ( 82)
    7  Georgia                SEC ( 0- 1) 155.59  1L 158.59 (  4)  35.00 ( 43)  38.00 (103)
    8  LSU                    SEC ( 1- 0) 154.38  1W 144.38 ( 28)  37.00 ( 38)  27.00 ( 73)
    9  Clemson                ACC ( 1- 0) 153.49  1W 150.49 ( 17)  38.00 ( 36)  35.00 ( 93)
   10  Michigan               B10 ( 1- 0) 153.31  1W 108.89 ( 99)  59.00 (  7)   9.00 ( 31)
   11  UCLA                   P12 ( 1- 0) 152.76  1W 120.30 ( 76)  58.00 (  9)  20.00 ( 54)
   12  Texas Tech             B12 ( 1- 0) 152.46  1W 134.46 ( 52)  41.00 ( 29)  23.00 ( 61)
   13  Florida St             ACC ( 0- 0) 152.39  0    0.00 (124)   0.00 (124)   0.00 (  2)
   14  Stanford               P12 ( 0- 0) 151.95  0    0.00 (120)   0.00 (119)   0.00 ( 11)
   15  Georgia Tech           ACC ( 1- 0) 151.90  1W  93.60 (110)  70.00 (  2)   0.00 (  4)
   16  Florida                SEC ( 1- 0) 151.03  1W 129.28 ( 62)  24.00 ( 70)   6.00 ( 22)

Review

Top 16 results

Pre = pregame prediction
Post = postgame prediction
Act = actual game margin


08/30

Cl Rnk Visitor            Score Cl Rnk Home               Score    Pre   Post Act
1A  12 Texas Tech            41 1A  77 SMU                   23  -6.84 -18.00 -18

08/31

Cl Rnk Visitor            Score Cl Rnk Home               Score    Pre   Post Act
1A 112 Central Michigan       9 1A  10 Michigan              59  29.16  44.42  50
1B  85 Elon                   0 1A  15 Georgia Tech          70  30.81  58.30  70
1A   7 Georgia               35 1A   9 Clemson               38  -7.73   3.00   3
1A  72 Louisiana-Monroe       0 1A   5 Oklahoma              34  23.99  32.03  34
1A   8 LSU                   37 1A  34 TCU                   27  -6.36 -10.00 -10
1A  44 Mississippi St         3 1A   4 Oklahoma St           21  14.10  18.00  18
1A  91 Nevada                20 1A  11 UCLA                  58  17.27  32.46  38
1B  84 Nicholls St            3 1A   3 Oregon                66  77.54  69.21  63
1A  58 Rice                  31 1A   6 Texas A&M             52  34.70  26.93  21
1A  62 Toledo                 6 1A  16 Florida               24  25.14  21.75  18
1A  45 Virginia Tech         10 1A   1 Alabama               35  33.30  27.77  25
1B  36 Wofford                3 1A   2 Baylor                69  25.71  53.94  66

Preview

Top 16 games

Date  Cl  Rk (W-L) Visitor              Cl  Rk (W-L) Home                   Line Prob
09/02 1A  13 (0-0) Florida St            1A  54 (0-0) Pittsburgh           -14.54  77%
09/07 1A  97 (0-1) Buffalo               1A   2 (1-0) Baylor                41.42  98%
09/07 1A  17 (1-0) South Carolina        1A   7 (0-1) Georgia                5.58  61%
09/07 1A  93 (0-1) Alabama-Birmingham    1A   8 (1-0) LSU                   31.76  94%
09/07 1A  16 (1-0) Florida               1A  48 (1-0) Miami FL             -11.05  71%
09/07 1A  18 (1-0) Notre Dame            1A  10 (1-0) Michigan               4.04  58%
09/07 1A  40 (1-0) West Virginia         1A   5 (1-0) Oklahoma              16.21  79%
09/07 1A  51 (1-0) San Jose St           1A  14 (0-0) Stanford              14.75  77%
09/07 1B  53 (0-1) Stephen F. Austin     1A  12 (1-0) Texas Tech            44.44  99%
09/07 1A   4 (1-0) Oklahoma St           1A  88 (1-0) Texas-San Antonio    -30.33  94%
09/07 1A   3 (1-0) Oregon                1A  55 (1-0) Virginia             -25.35  90%

Notes

Comments are welcome

Rankings are biased with 2012 data