09/07 Weekly NCAA FB Report

NCAA Football

Weekly 1A FB Report

Rankings

    R  Team                  Conf ( W- L)    Mod Str  Sched  Rank     Off Ave      Def Ave
    1  Oregon                 P12 ( 2- 0) 174.16  2W 127.50 ( 59)  62.50 (  3)   6.50 (  8)
    2  Baylor                 B12 ( 2- 0) 167.35  2W 114.49 ( 98)  69.50 (  2)   8.00 ( 13)
    3  Alabama                SEC ( 1- 0) 167.30  1W 139.96 ( 19)  35.00 ( 48)  10.00 ( 18)
    4  Washington             P12 ( 1- 0) 163.34  1W 131.34 ( 52)  38.00 ( 39)   6.00 (  7)
    5  Florida St             ACC ( 1- 0) 157.52  1W 134.98 ( 28)  41.00 ( 32)  13.00 ( 24)
    6  Arizona St             P12 ( 1- 0) 155.39  1W 107.01 (112)  55.00 (  6)   0.00 (  4)
    7  UCLA                   P12 ( 1- 0) 154.78  1W 124.69 ( 68)  58.00 (  5)  20.00 ( 46)
    8  Michigan               B10 ( 2- 0) 154.23  2W 126.56 ( 61)  50.00 ( 12)  19.50 ( 45)
    9  Texas A&M              SEC ( 2- 0) 154.05  2W 120.82 ( 77)  58.50 (  4)  29.50 ( 85)
   10  Georgia Tech           ACC ( 1- 0) 154.01  1W  98.16 (122)  70.00 (  1)   0.00 (  1)
   11  LSU                    SEC ( 2- 0) 153.69  2W 131.46 ( 51)  46.50 ( 16)  22.00 ( 53)
   12  Oklahoma St            B12 ( 2- 0) 153.18  2W 134.32 ( 33)  38.50 ( 37)  19.00 ( 43)
   13  Georgia                SEC ( 1- 1) 152.74  1W 149.82 (  5)  38.00 ( 38)  34.00 ( 95)
   14  Stanford               P12 ( 1- 0) 152.16  1W 131.72 ( 49)  34.00 ( 53)  13.00 ( 25)
   15  Utah                   P12 ( 2- 0) 152.11  2W 125.94 ( 63)  50.00 ( 11)  16.50 ( 34)
   16  Utah St               MntW ( 1- 1) 152.05  1W 141.03 ( 16)  39.00 ( 35)  25.00 ( 65)

Review

Top 16 results

Pre = pregame prediction
Post = postgame prediction
Act = actual game margin


09/05

Cl Rnk Visitor            Score Cl Rnk Home               Score    Pre   Post Act
1B  47 Sacramento St          0 1A   6 Arizona St            55  33.93  48.38  55

09/07

Cl Rnk Visitor            Score Cl Rnk Home               Score    Pre   Post Act
1A  87 Alabama-Birmingham    17 1A  11 LSU                   56  31.91  34.46  39
1A  99 Buffalo               13 1A   2 Baylor                70  41.62  51.40  57
1A  26 Notre Dame            30 1A   8 Michigan              41   4.04  11.00  11
1A  12 Oklahoma St           56 1A  74 Texas-San Antonio     35 -30.48 -19.73 -21
1A   1 Oregon                59 1A  45 Virginia              10 -25.30 -32.27 -49
1B  35 Sam Houston St        28 1A   9 Texas A&M             65  44.23  41.36  37
1A  55 San Jose St           13 1A  14 Stanford              34  14.65  20.44  21
1A  22 South Carolina        30 1A  13 Georgia               41   5.32   7.69  11
1A  16 Utah St               52 1A  91 Air Force             20 -16.64 -26.05 -32
1B  55 Weber St               7 1A  15 Utah                  70  30.45  48.33  63

Preview

Top 16 games

Date  Cl  Rk (W-L) Visitor              Cl  Rk (W-L) Home                   Line Prob
09/14 1A  24 (2-0) Wisconsin             1A   6 (1-0) Arizona St             8.34  66%
09/14 1A  14 (1-0) Stanford              1A 115 (1-1) Army                 -40.93  98%
09/14 1A  10 (1-0) Georgia Tech          1A  60 (2-0) Duke                 -19.16  83%
09/14 1A  76 (1-1) Nevada                1A   5 (1-0) Florida St            29.88  93%
09/14 1A   4 (1-0) Washington            1A  35 (2-0) Illinois             -19.11  83%
09/14 1A  98 (1-1) Kent St               1A  11 (2-0) LSU                   34.48  96%
09/14 1A 102 (1-1) Akron                 1A   8 (2-0) Michigan              38.77  97%
09/14 1A   7 (1-0) UCLA                  1A  59 (2-0) Nebraska             -19.01  83%
09/14 1B  38 (1-1) Lamar                 1A  12 (2-0) Oklahoma St           39.67  98%
09/14 1A  37 (2-0) Tennessee             1A   1 (2-0) Oregon                31.54  94%
09/14 1A  69 (1-1) Oregon St             1A  15 (2-0) Utah                  22.12  87%
09/14 1B  55 (1-1) Weber St              1A  16 (1-1) Utah St               45.33  99%

Notes

Comments are welcome

Rankings are biased with 2012 data.