09/28 Weekly NCAA FB Report


NCAA Football

Weekly 1A FB Report

Rankings

    R  Team                  Conf ( W- L)    Mod Str  Sched  Rank     Off Ave      Def Ave
    1  Baylor                 B12 ( 3- 0) 186.27  3W 124.02 (107)  69.67 (  1)   7.67 (  2)
    2  Stanford               P12 ( 4- 0) 178.87  4W 135.42 ( 45)  41.25 ( 22)  19.50 ( 34)
    3  Oregon                 P12 ( 4- 0) 175.94  4W 128.43 ( 91)  59.75 (  2)  10.75 (  4)
    4  Washington             P12 ( 4- 0) 170.47  4W 136.90 ( 36)  39.75 ( 27)  10.75 (  5)
    5  Florida St             ACC ( 4- 0) 169.56  4W 134.30 ( 56)  51.25 (  4)  15.00 ( 17)
    6  Alabama                SEC ( 4- 0) 169.10  4W 145.36 (  9)  35.00 ( 42)  14.50 ( 14)
    7  UCLA                   P12 ( 3- 0) 165.17  3W 122.08 (115)  52.67 (  3)  18.00 ( 29)
    8  Illinois               B10 ( 3- 1) 164.42  1W 135.55 ( 44)  40.25 ( 25)  24.75 ( 62)
    9  Maryland               ACC ( 4- 0) 164.21  4W 121.52 (117)  39.75 ( 29)  10.25 (  3)
   10  Louisville            Amer ( 4- 0) 161.30  4W 123.94 (108)  48.00 (  7)   6.75 (  1)
   11  LSU                    SEC ( 4- 1) 161.28  1L 141.02 ( 22)  42.80 ( 17)  24.40 ( 61)
   12  Georgia                SEC ( 3- 1) 160.86  3W 150.84 (  3)  41.25 ( 21)  32.50 ( 96)
   13  Missouri               SEC ( 4- 0) 160.20  4W 131.34 ( 76)  45.50 (  8)  21.00 ( 41)
   14  Ohio State             B10 ( 5- 0) 159.78  5W 129.19 ( 87)  48.20 (  6)  17.00 ( 23)
   15  Wisconsin              B10 ( 3- 2) 158.76  1L 131.61 ( 75)  37.60 ( 34)  14.60 ( 15)
   16  Texas Tech             B12 ( 4- 0) 158.07  4W 127.73 ( 96)  38.75 ( 31)  13.25 ( 11)

Review

Top 16 results

Pre = pregame prediction
Post = postgame prediction
Act = actual game margin


09/28

Cl Rnk Visitor            Score Cl Rnk Home               Score    Pre   Post Act
1A  20 Arizona               13 1A   4 Washington            31   8.15  19.59  18
1A 107 Arkansas St           19 1A  13 Missouri              41  43.12  43.49  22
1A  95 California            16 1A   3 Oregon                55  49.26  52.94  39
1A   5 Florida St            48 1A  79 Boston College        34 -36.05 -33.02 -14
1A  11 LSU                   41 1A  12 Georgia               44   3.28   2.59   3
1A 111 Miami OH              14 1A   8 Illinois              50  42.41  48.86  36
1A  27 Mississippi            0 1A   6 Alabama               25  13.92  21.48  25
1A   2 Stanford              55 1A  51 Washington St         17  -8.16 -36.87 -38
1A  15 Wisconsin             24 1A  14 Ohio State            31   3.95   4.03   7

Preview

Top 16 games

Date  Cl  Rk (W-L) Visitor              Cl  Rk (W-L) Home                   Line Prob
10/03 1A   7 (3-0) UCLA                  1A  39 (3-1) Utah                 -14.06  72%
10/05 1A 122 (0-4) Georgia St            1A   6 (4-0) Alabama               66.82 100%
10/05 1A  68 (3-2) West Virginia         1A   1 (3-0) Baylor                51.93  99%
10/05 1A   3 (4-0) Oregon                1A  75 (2-1) Colorado             -37.81  95%
10/05 1A  16 (4-0) Texas Tech            1A 106 (2-1) Kansas               -34.43  93%
10/05 1A  11 (4-1) LSU                   1A  47 (2-2) Mississippi St       -15.44  74%
10/05 1A   8 (3-1) Illinois              1A  63 (3-1) Nebraska             -22.64  83%
10/05 1A  14 (5-0) Ohio State            1A  38 (4-0) Northwestern          -8.40  64%
10/05 1A  10 (4-0) Louisville            1A 105 (0-4) Temple               -36.76  94%
10/05 1A  12 (3-1) Georgia               1A  35 (3-2) Tennessee             -9.17  65%
10/05 1A  13 (4-0) Missouri              1A  50 (3-2) Vanderbilt           -14.86  74%

Notes

Comments are welcome

Rankings are unbiased.