09/14 Weekly NCAA FB Report

NCAA Football

Weekly 1A FB Report

Rankings

    R  Team                  Conf ( W- L)    Mod Str  Sched  Rank     Off Ave      Def Ave
    1  Oregon                 P12 ( 3- 0) 168.80  3W 125.83 ( 45)  61.33 (  2)   9.00 (  7)
    2  Baylor                 B12 ( 2- 0) 165.64  2W 117.10 ( 82)  69.50 (  1)   8.00 (  3)
    3  Florida St             ACC ( 2- 0) 160.67  2W 128.79 ( 32)  51.50 (  5)  10.00 (  9)
    4  Alabama                SEC ( 2- 0) 160.63  2W 144.22 (  3)  42.00 ( 24)  26.00 ( 73)
    5  Washington             P12 ( 2- 0) 156.08  2W 134.19 ( 18)  36.00 ( 47)  15.00 ( 21)
    6  UCLA                   P12 ( 2- 0) 154.45  2W 125.88 ( 44)  49.50 (  7)  20.50 ( 47)
    7  Georgia Tech           ACC ( 2- 0) 152.70  2W 114.33 (101)  54.00 (  3)   7.00 (  2)
    8  Oklahoma St            B12 ( 3- 0) 151.19  3W 121.30 ( 66)  45.33 ( 15)  13.67 ( 20)
    9  Texas A&M              SEC ( 2- 1) 150.81  1L 130.29 ( 26)  53.00 (  4)  36.00 (108)
   10  LSU                    SEC ( 3- 0) 148.39  3W 120.71 ( 67)  46.00 ( 13)  19.00 ( 39)
   11  Georgia                SEC ( 1- 1) 148.14  1W 144.83 (  2)  38.00 ( 37)  34.00 (102)
   12  Clemson                ACC ( 2- 0) 147.59  2W 123.20 ( 61)  45.00 ( 16)  24.00 ( 62)
   13  Wisconsin              B10 ( 2- 1) 146.83  1L 113.69 (106)  41.00 ( 28)  10.67 ( 11)
   14  Mississippi            SEC ( 3- 0) 146.13  3W 115.24 ( 96)  38.00 ( 36)  23.67 ( 60)
   15  Arizona St             P12 ( 2- 0) 146.01  2W 119.85 ( 72)  43.50 ( 20)  15.00 ( 22)
   16  Arizona                P12 ( 3- 0) 145.71  3W 114.14 (102)  43.67 ( 19)   8.67 (  4)

Review

Top 16 results

Pre = pregame prediction
Post = postgame prediction
Act = actual game margin


09/14

Cl Rnk Visitor            Score Cl Rnk Home               Score    Pre   Post Act
1A   4 Alabama               49 1A   9 Texas A&M             42 -12.25  -7.00  -7
1A   7 Georgia Tech          38 1A  63 Duke                  14 -19.16 -22.16 -24
1A 106 Kent St               13 1A  10 LSU                   45  34.48  39.36  32
1B  53 Lamar                  3 1A   8 Oklahoma St           59  39.67  49.99  56
1A  14 Mississippi           44 1A  92 Texas                 23  -0.24 -25.84 -21
1A  75 Nevada                 7 1A   3 Florida St            62  29.88  39.49  55
1A  37 Tennessee             14 1A   1 Oregon                59  31.54  31.17  45
1A  72 Texas-San Antonio     13 1A  16 Arizona               38  22.03  23.71  25
1A   6 UCLA                  41 1A  62 Nebraska              21 -19.01 -23.86 -20
1A   5 Washington            34 1A  25 Illinois              24 -19.11 -13.74 -10
1A  13 Wisconsin             30 1A  15 Arizona St            32   8.34   2.00   2

Preview

Top 16 games

Date  Cl  Rk (W-L) Visitor              Cl  Rk (W-L) Home                   Line Prob
09/19 1A  12 (2-0) Clemson               1A  79 (2-0) North Carolina St    -23.61  88%
09/21 1A  84 (1-2) Colorado St           1A   4 (2-0) Alabama               42.34  98%
09/21 1A  99 (2-1) Louisiana-Monroe      1A   2 (2-0) Baylor                51.58 100%
09/21 1A  74 (2-1) North Texas           1A  11 (1-1) Georgia               25.10  90%
09/21 1A  54 (1-1) North Carolina        1A   7 (2-0) Georgia Tech          22.93  87%
09/21 1A  29 (3-0) Auburn                1A  10 (3-0) LSU                    7.41  64%
09/21 1A  15 (2-0) Arizona St            1A  31 (2-0) Stanford              -3.29  57%
09/21 1A  85 (1-1) SMU                   1A   9 (2-1) Texas A&M             32.79  95%
09/21 1A 123 (0-3) New Mexico St         1A   6 (2-0) UCLA                  63.91 100%
09/21 1A  78 (1-2) Purdue                1A  13 (2-1) Wisconsin             24.42  89%

Notes

Comments are welcome

Rankings are biased with 2012 data.