09/20 Weekly 4A FB Report

Iowa High School Boys Football

Rankings

    R  Team                  Conf ( W- L)    Mod Str  Sched  Rank     Off Ave      Def Ave
    1  WDM Dowling           4A-3 ( 4- 0) 209.09  4W 187.96 (  3)  36.75 (  7)  18.50 ( 16)
    2  Pleasant Valley        MAC ( 4- 0) 200.50  4W 163.88 ( 30)  39.75 (  4)   8.25 (  2)
    3  CR Xavier              MVC ( 4- 0) 197.84  4W 165.13 ( 29)  35.00 (  9)   1.75 (  1)
    4  Urbandale             4A-1 ( 3- 1) 197.80  1L 174.01 ( 13)  47.25 (  1)  25.50 ( 24)
    5  WDM Valley            4A-1 ( 2- 2) 196.00  1W 192.92 (  1)  27.75 ( 20)  24.75 ( 22)
    6  Waukee                4A-4 ( 3- 1) 192.60  3W 168.09 ( 22)  38.75 (  6)  14.00 (  8)
    7  Bettendorf             MAC ( 3- 1) 191.75  1L 170.50 ( 19)  39.50 (  5)  15.25 ( 11)
    8  Ames                  4A-2 ( 4- 0) 189.63  4W 161.33 ( 36)  42.00 (  3)  24.75 ( 21)
    9  Southeast Polk        4A-4 ( 2- 2) 189.49  2W 189.68 (  2)  28.75 ( 19)  28.25 ( 26)
   10  Sioux City East       4A-1 ( 3- 1) 189.23  3W 166.44 ( 26)  35.50 (  8)  10.25 (  3)
   11  Iowa City West         MVC ( 4- 0) 188.19  4W 165.95 ( 28)  44.50 (  2)  16.00 ( 13)
   12  Davenport Assumption   MAC ( 3- 1) 184.75  2W 167.31 ( 23)  31.75 ( 13)  14.50 (  9)
   13  Ankeny Centennial     4A-3 ( 2- 2) 182.76  2L 182.91 (  5)  29.75 ( 18)  30.25 ( 30)
   14  Johnston              4A-2 ( 1- 3) 179.73  3L 182.25 (  6)  33.75 ( 11)  31.75 ( 35)
   15  Indianola             4A-1 ( 4- 0) 176.75  4W 161.44 ( 35)  29.75 ( 17)  13.75 (  7)
   16  Dubuque Hempstead      MVC ( 3- 1) 175.09  3W 162.76 ( 33)  24.00 ( 26)  15.25 ( 12)

Review

Top 16 results

Pre = pregame prediction
Post = postgame prediction
Act = actual game margin


09/19

Cl Rnk Visitor            Score Cl Rnk Home               Score    Pre   Post Act
4A  12 Davenport Assumption  34 4A  41 Davenport West         0 -36.79 -38.26 -34
4A  10 Sioux City East       42 4A  42 Sioux City West        0 -37.01 -43.66 -42

09/20

Cl Rnk Visitor            Score Cl Rnk Home               Score    Pre   Post Act
4A   8 Ames                  42 4A  43 Marshalltown           7 -49.99 -45.73 -35
4A  13 Ankeny Centennial     21 4A   5 WDM Valley            41   7.53  14.38  20
4A  23 Ankeny                10 4A   9 Southeast Polk        42  13.50  24.36  32
4A   7 Bettendorf            14 4A   2 Pleasant Valley       35 -13.14   9.89  21
4A   3 CR Xavier             38 4A  34 Dubuque Wahlert        0 -45.77 -40.06 -38
4A  15 Indianola             34 4A  38 Ottumwa                7 -18.40 -24.00 -27
4A  11 Iowa City West        21 4A  17 CR Prairie            14 -25.47 -12.94  -7
4A  14 Johnston               7 4A   6 Waukee                20  14.98  14.01  13
4A  44 Waterloo East          0 4A  16 Dubuque Hempstead     27  37.57  34.36  27
4A   1 WDM Dowling           31 4A   4 Urbandale             27 -16.39 -10.15  -4

Preview

Top 16 games

Date  Cl Rk (W-L) Visitor              Cl Rk (W-L) Home                   Line Prob
09/27 4A 30 (2-2) Fort Dodge           4A  8 (4-0) Ames                  31.58  91%
09/27 4A 40 (2-2) Des Moines Hoover    4A 13 (2-2) Ankeny Centennial     35.86  93%
09/27 4A  3 (4-0) CR Xavier            4A 20 (3-1) CR Kennedy           -27.23  87%
09/27 4A 12 (3-1) Davenport Assumption 4A 28 (2-2) Clinton              -23.90  84%
09/27 4A  9 (2-2) Southeast Polk       4A 47 (1-3) Des Moines East      -58.04  99%
09/27 4A  4 (3-1) Urbandale            4A 35 (1-3) Des Moines Lincoln   -40.83  96%
09/27 4A  6 (3-1) Waukee               4A 29 (3-1) Des Moines Roosevelt -32.14  91%
09/27 4A 11 (4-0) Iowa City West       4A 32 (1-3) Dubuque Senior       -28.85  89%
09/27 4A  2 (4-0) Pleasant Valley      4A 18 (2-2) Eldridge North Scott -27.50  88%
09/27 4A  5 (2-2) WDM Valley           4A 15 (4-0) Indianola            -18.11  78%
09/27 4A 16 (3-1) Dubuque Hempstead    4A 19 (3-1) Iowa City High        -3.59  56%
09/27 4A 23 (1-3) Ankeny               4A 14 (1-3) Johnston              14.60  73%
09/27 4A  7 (3-1) Bettendorf           4A 24 (3-1) Muscatine            -25.34  86%
09/27 4A 46 (1-3) CB Jefferson         4A 10 (3-1) Sioux City East       59.29  99%
09/27 4A 37 (0-4) Mason City           4A  1 (4-0) WDM Dowling           56.35  99%

Notes

Rankings have regional-parity bias: average of all teams in 4A Western Iowa = average of all teams in MAC = average of all teams in MVC.
Comments are welcome.