09/21 Weekly NCAA FB Report

NCAA Football

Weekly 1A FB Report

Rankings

    R  Team                  Conf ( W- L)    Mod Str  Sched  Rank     Off Ave      Def Ave
    1  Oregon                 P12 ( 3- 0) 164.92  3W 120.52 ( 63)  61.33 (  2)   9.00 (  6)
    2  Baylor                 B12 ( 3- 0) 164.17  3W 109.52 (110)  69.67 (  1)   7.67 (  2)
    3  Florida St             ACC ( 3- 0) 159.30  3W 124.12 ( 42)  52.33 (  5)   8.67 (  3)
    4  Alabama                SEC ( 3- 0) 156.18  3W 131.79 ( 13)  38.33 ( 35)  19.33 ( 36)
    5  Oklahoma St            B12 ( 3- 0) 154.31  3W 121.66 ( 58)  45.33 ( 10)  13.67 ( 17)
    6  UCLA                   P12 ( 3- 0) 153.95  3W 113.27 (100)  52.67 (  3)  18.00 ( 31)
    7  Washington             P12 ( 3- 0) 151.04  3W 114.67 ( 89)  42.67 ( 18)  10.00 (  8)
    8  Missouri               SEC ( 3- 0) 147.97  3W 123.48 ( 45)  47.00 (  8)  21.67 ( 50)
    9  Georgia                SEC ( 2- 1) 146.52  2W 135.46 (  5)  40.33 ( 27)  29.67 ( 86)
   10  Georgia Tech           ACC ( 3- 0) 146.28  3W 117.83 ( 77)  45.33 ( 11)  11.33 ( 12)
   11  LSU                    SEC ( 4- 0) 146.00  4W 122.64 ( 51)  43.25 ( 16)  19.50 ( 38)
   12  Maryland               ACC ( 4- 0) 145.76  4W 108.53 (114)  39.75 ( 30)  10.25 (  9)
   13  Arizona                P12 ( 3- 0) 145.67  3W 114.18 ( 92)  43.67 ( 15)   8.67 (  4)
   14  Stanford               P12 ( 3- 0) 145.53  3W 115.41 ( 87)  36.67 ( 43)  20.33 ( 43)
   15  Texas A&M              SEC ( 3- 1) 145.19  1W 122.40 ( 53)  50.25 (  6)  30.25 ( 90)
   16  Mississippi            SEC ( 3- 0) 145.08  3W 114.56 ( 90)  38.00 ( 38)  23.67 ( 57)

Review

Top 16 results

Pre = pregame prediction
Post = postgame prediction
Act = actual game margin


09/21

Cl Rnk Visitor            Score Cl Rnk Home               Score    Pre   Post Act
1A  40 Arizona St            28 1A  14 Stanford              42  -3.29  13.64  14
1A  29 Auburn                21 1A  11 LSU                   35   7.56   9.85  14
1B  12 Bethune-Cookman        6 1A   3 Florida St            54  38.94  44.23  48
1A  85 Colorado St            6 1A   4 Alabama               31  42.34  41.02  25
1B  80 Idaho St               0 1A   7 Washington            56  69.12  63.77  56
1A  96 Louisiana-Monroe       7 1A   2 Baylor                70  51.64  53.31  63
1A   8 Missouri              45 1A  35 Indiana               28   3.51  -7.96 -17
1A 123 New Mexico St         13 1A   6 UCLA                  59  63.91  65.83  46
1A  42 North Carolina        20 1A  10 Georgia Tech          28  22.93  14.54   8
1A  73 North Texas           21 1A   9 Georgia               45  25.10  24.83  24
1A  93 SMU                   13 1A  15 Texas A&M             42  32.80  34.14  29
1A  88 West Virginia          0 1A  12 Maryland              37  11.67  29.34  37

Preview

Top 16 games

Date  Cl  Rk (W-L) Visitor              Cl  Rk (W-L) Home                   Line Prob
09/26 1A  48 (3-1) Virginia Tech         1A  10 (3-0) Georgia Tech          16.82  75%
09/28 1A  16 (3-0) Mississippi           1A   4 (3-0) Alabama               13.88  71%
09/28 1A  15 (3-1) Texas A&M             1A  60 (3-1) Arkansas             -14.89  73%
09/28 1A   3 (3-0) Florida St            1A  80 (2-1) Boston College       -36.03  93%
09/28 1A  11 (4-0) LSU                   1A   9 (2-1) Georgia                3.30  55%
09/28 1A 112 (2-2) Arkansas St           1A   8 (3-0) Missouri              43.11  96%
09/28 1A  83 (1-2) California            1A   1 (3-0) Oregon                49.24  98%
09/28 1A  13 (3-0) Arizona               1A   7 (3-0) Washington             8.15  63%
09/28 1A  14 (3-0) Stanford              1A  34 (3-1) Washington St         -8.16  63%
09/28 1A   5 (3-0) Oklahoma St           1A  88 (2-2) West Virginia        -35.12  92%

Notes

Comments are welcome

Rankings are biased with 2012 data.