10/05 Weekly NCAA FB Report


NCAA Football

Weekly 1A FB Report

Rankings

    R  Team                  Conf ( W- L)    Mod Str  Sched  Rank     Off Ave      Def Ave
    1  Baylor                 B12 ( 4- 0) 172.08  4W 117.39 (110)  70.50 (  1)  16.25 ( 14)
    2  Florida St             ACC ( 5- 0) 170.32  5W 129.74 ( 34)  53.60 (  3)  12.00 (  3)
    3  Oregon                 P12 ( 5- 0) 166.48  5W 120.87 ( 94)  59.20 (  2)  11.80 (  2)
    4  Stanford               P12 ( 5- 0) 163.06  5W 131.62 ( 25)  39.20 ( 24)  21.20 ( 36)
    5  Louisville            Amer ( 5- 0) 160.86  5W 117.92 (109)  44.40 ( 12)   6.80 (  1)
    6  Alabama                SEC ( 5- 0) 159.16  5W 126.85 ( 57)  37.00 ( 35)  12.20 (  5)
    7  Clemson                ACC ( 5- 0) 158.93  5W 125.64 ( 67)  44.20 ( 13)  16.60 ( 17)
    8  UCLA                   P12 ( 4- 0) 158.08  4W 122.99 ( 82)  48.00 (  5)  20.25 ( 30)
    9  LSU                    SEC ( 5- 1) 157.44  1W 133.29 ( 16)  45.50 (  9)  24.67 ( 52)
   10  Washington             P12 ( 4- 1) 157.11  1L 132.11 ( 23)  37.40 ( 34)  14.80 ( 11)
   11  Missouri               SEC ( 5- 0) 153.58  5W 125.00 ( 71)  46.60 (  8)  22.40 ( 41)
   12  Miami FL               ACC ( 5- 0) 153.01  5W 120.70 ( 97)  45.20 ( 10)  16.00 ( 12)
   13  Maryland               ACC ( 4- 1) 150.98  1L 125.48 ( 69)  31.80 ( 51)  20.80 ( 33)
   14  Georgia                SEC ( 4- 1) 150.55  4W 145.13 (  1)  39.80 ( 23)  32.20 ( 96)
   15  Florida                SEC ( 4- 1) 147.79  3W 137.24 (  6)  25.00 ( 92)  12.20 (  4)
   16  Wisconsin              B10 ( 3- 2) 145.88  1L 120.64 ( 98)  37.60 ( 33)  14.60 ( 10)

Review

Top 16 results

Pre = pregame prediction
Post = postgame prediction
Act = actual game margin


10/03

Cl Rnk Visitor            Score Cl Rnk Home               Score    Pre   Post Act
1A   8 UCLA                  34 1A  29 Utah                  27 -14.07 -14.75  -7

10/05

Cl Rnk Visitor            Score Cl Rnk Home               Score    Pre   Post Act
1A  53 Arkansas              10 1A  15 Florida               30  16.70  17.80  20
1A   7 Clemson               49 1A  69 Syracuse              14 -10.93 -27.58 -35
1A 122 Georgia St             3 1A   6 Alabama               45  66.81  63.28  42
1A  33 Georgia Tech          30 1A  12 Miami FL              45   5.66  15.76  15
1A  14 Georgia               34 1A  28 Tennessee             31  -9.17  -6.27  -3
1A   5 Louisville            30 1A 105 Temple                 7 -36.76 -44.40 -23
1A   9 LSU                   59 1A  37 Mississippi St        26 -15.45 -16.31 -33
1A  13 Maryland               0 1A   2 Florida St            63   8.37  22.00  63
1A  11 Missouri              51 1A  59 Vanderbilt            28 -14.86 -20.00 -23
1A   3 Oregon                57 1A  87 Colorado              16 -37.81 -41.90 -41
1A  10 Washington            28 1A   4 Stanford              31  11.43   8.61   3
1A  71 West Virginia         42 1A   1 Baylor                73  51.94  46.80  31

Preview

Top 16 games

Date  Cl  Rk (W-L) Visitor              Cl  Rk (W-L) Home                   Line Prob
10/10 1A  61 (4-1) Rutgers               1A   5 (5-0) Louisville            32.69  89%
10/12 1A  75 (3-2) Boston College        1A   7 (5-0) Clemson               33.98  90%
10/12 1A  11 (5-0) Missouri              1A  14 (4-1) Georgia               -0.38  51%
10/12 1A   1 (4-0) Baylor                1A  43 (2-3) Kansas St            -32.59  89%
10/12 1A   6 (5-0) Alabama               1A  62 (1-4) Kentucky             -25.82  84%
10/12 1A  15 (4-1) Florida               1A   9 (5-1) LSU                   12.31  68%
10/12 1A  78 (2-3) Virginia              1A  13 (4-1) Maryland              26.77  85%
10/12 1A  92 (1-4) California            1A   8 (4-0) UCLA                  42.25  95%
10/12 1A   4 (5-0) Stanford              1A  29 (3-2) Utah                 -19.73  77%
10/12 1A   3 (5-0) Oregon                1A  10 (4-1) Washington            -6.71  60%
10/12 1A  36 (4-1) Northwestern          1A  16 (3-2) Wisconsin              9.85  65%

Notes

Comments are welcome

Rankings are unbiased.