10/19 Weekly 4A FB Report


Iowa High School Boys Football

Rankings

    R  Team                  Conf ( W- L)    Mod Str  Sched  Rank     Off Ave      Def Ave
    1  WDM Dowling           4A-3 ( 8- 0) 202.01  8W 168.06 (  3)  42.75 (  3)  13.38 (  8)
    2  Urbandale             4A-1 ( 6- 2) 192.07  2W 167.91 (  5)  45.62 (  2)  23.12 ( 22)
    3  Pleasant Valley        MAC ( 8- 0) 191.01  8W 158.29 ( 33)  40.88 (  4)   9.38 (  3)
    4  WDM Valley            4A-1 ( 6- 2) 190.99  5W 171.04 (  1)  40.62 (  6)  19.25 ( 12)
    5  Waukee                4A-4 ( 7- 1) 188.01  7W 160.42 ( 24)  40.25 (  7)  11.12 (  5)
    6  Davenport Assumption   MAC ( 7- 1) 185.40  6W 161.11 ( 20)  30.12 ( 16)   9.38 (  2)
    7  Sioux City East       4A-1 ( 6- 2) 182.71  1W 158.94 ( 28)  38.62 (  8)  11.12 (  4)
    8  Ames                  4A-2 ( 8- 0) 181.76  8W 150.66 ( 46)  50.00 (  1)  22.50 ( 21)
    9  Bettendorf             MAC ( 6- 2) 181.69  1L 157.94 ( 36)  35.75 ( 11)  13.38 (  7)
   10  Southeast Polk        4A-4 ( 5- 3) 180.62  2W 167.77 (  6)  35.38 ( 12)  19.50 ( 13)
   11  CR Xavier              MVC ( 7- 1) 180.29  2W 158.98 ( 26)  28.50 ( 18)   5.88 (  1)
   12  Iowa City West         MVC ( 7- 1) 179.37  1W 160.53 ( 23)  37.88 (  9)  17.50 ( 10)
   13  Johnston              4A-2 ( 5- 3) 175.33  4W 158.56 ( 30)  40.75 (  5)  24.75 ( 26)
   14  Ankeny Centennial     4A-3 ( 5- 3) 172.81  2W 168.01 (  4)  32.75 ( 15)  27.50 ( 29)
   15  Iowa City High         MVC ( 7- 1) 172.22  7W 156.56 ( 40)  32.88 ( 14)  19.12 ( 11)
   16  Cedar Falls            MVC ( 5- 3) 168.74  1L 157.76 ( 37)  22.88 ( 25)  13.12 (  6)

Review

Top 16 results

Pre = pregame prediction
Post = postgame prediction
Act = actual game margin


10/18

Cl Rnk Visitor            Score Cl Rnk Home               Score    Pre   Post Act
4A   8 Ames                  52 4A  28 Sioux City North      42 -33.40 -24.30 -10
4A  16 Cedar Falls            0 4A  11 CR Xavier             14  11.94  12.63  14
4A  30 Clinton                0 4A   3 Pleasant Valley       49  38.17  38.65  49
4A  21 CB Lincoln            14 4A   5 Waukee                23  33.11  24.60   9
4A   6 Davenport Assumption   9 4A   9 Bettendorf             3  -0.99  -2.63  -6
4A  43 Des Moines Hoover      7 4A   1 WDM Dowling           62  70.31  66.96  55
4A  36 Des Moines Roosevelt   0 4A  10 Southeast Polk        49  41.37  39.93  49
4A  12 Iowa City West        47 4A  35 CR Jefferson           7 -28.58 -28.99 -40
4A  13 Johnston              66 4A  48 Des Moines North      12 -71.00 -70.81 -54
4A  33 Marion Linn-Mar       28 4A  15 Iowa City High        42  24.25  22.35  14
4A  32 Ottumwa               29 4A  14 Ankeny Centennial     31  28.78  20.89   2
4A   7 Sioux City East       42 4A  38 Des Moines Lincoln     0 -39.97 -41.04 -42
4A   2 Urbandale             51 4A  19 Indianola             20 -23.27 -25.19 -31
4A   4 WDM Valley            88 4A  47 CB Jefferson           0 -65.84 -63.51 -88

Preview

Top 16 games

Date  Cl Rk (W-L) Visitor              Cl Rk (W-L) Home                   Line Prob
10/24 4A 24 (4-4) Dubuque Hempstead    4A 16 (5-3) Cedar Falls            8.22  74%
10/24 4A  5 (7-1) Waukee               4A 42 (2-6) Sioux City West      -50.10 100%
10/25 4A 13 (5-3) Johnston             4A  8 (8-0) Ames                   7.51  72%
10/25 4A 31 (2-6) Mason City           4A 14 (5-3) Ankeny Centennial     20.56  95%
10/25 4A 30 (4-4) Clinton              4A  9 (6-2) Bettendorf            29.33  99%
10/25 4A 10 (5-3) Southeast Polk       4A 21 (5-3) CB Lincoln           -15.03  88%
10/25 4A 15 (7-1) Iowa City High       4A 22 (5-3) CR Kennedy            -8.12  74%
10/25 4A 46 (1-7) Davenport North      4A  6 (7-1) Davenport Assumption  59.96 100%
10/25 4A 45 (0-8) Waterloo East        4A 12 (7-1) Iowa City West        51.04 100%
10/25 4A 11 (7-1) CR Xavier            4A 33 (2-6) Marion Linn-Mar      -28.25  99%
10/25 4A 37 (2-6) Burlington           4A  3 (8-0) Pleasant Valley       50.75 100%
10/25 4A  4 (6-2) WDM Valley           4A  7 (6-2) Sioux City East       -7.20  71%
10/25 4A 47 (1-7) CB Jefferson         4A  2 (6-2) Urbandale             66.76 100%
10/25 4A 40 (1-7) Marshalltown         4A  1 (8-0) WDM Dowling           63.74 100%

Notes

Rankings have regional-parity bias: average of all teams in 4A Western Iowa = average of all teams in MAC = average of all teams in MVC.

Comments are welcome.