11/09 Weekly NCAA FB Report


NCAA Football

Weekly 1A FB Report

Rankings

    R  Team                  Conf ( W- L)    Mod Str  Sched  Rank     Off Ave      Def Ave
    1  Florida St             ACC ( 9- 0) 172.69  9W 122.58 ( 56)  52.00 (  2)  12.00 (  4)
    2  Oregon                 P12 ( 8- 1) 159.72  1L 124.16 ( 45)  51.67 (  3)  17.89 ( 10)
    3  Baylor                 B12 ( 8- 0) 158.23  8W 118.79 ( 79)  61.00 (  1)  15.38 (  6)
    4  Alabama                SEC ( 9- 0) 156.48  9W 124.73 ( 39)  40.89 ( 12)  10.56 (  2)
    5  Stanford               P12 ( 8- 1) 152.42  3W 134.04 (  3)  31.89 ( 49)  19.44 ( 18)
    6  Wisconsin              B10 ( 7- 2) 149.54  4W 122.76 ( 54)  37.11 ( 26)  15.22 (  5)
    7  Arizona St             P12 ( 7- 2) 149.26  4W 132.59 (  4)  43.67 (  8)  25.22 ( 57)
    8  Ohio State             B10 ( 9- 0) 147.90  9W 117.98 ( 84)  48.22 (  5)  17.00 (  8)
    9  Missouri               SEC ( 9- 1) 146.88  2W 124.50 ( 41)  41.30 ( 11)  20.20 ( 21)
   10  Clemson                ACC ( 8- 1) 143.56  2W 125.30 ( 36)  39.78 ( 15)  20.56 ( 23)
   11  LSU                    SEC ( 7- 3) 142.69  1L 126.39 ( 28)  37.90 ( 21)  23.50 ( 46)
   12  Michigan St            B10 ( 8- 1) 142.21  5W 115.74 ( 97)  29.78 ( 62)  11.56 (  3)
   13  Washington             P12 ( 6- 3) 141.99  2W 129.70 ( 13)  37.22 ( 24)  21.78 ( 27)
   14  Kansas St              B12 ( 5- 4) 141.76  3W 126.77 ( 25)  34.00 ( 39)  22.44 ( 35)
   15  UCLA                   P12 ( 7- 2) 141.34  2W 128.92 ( 17)  36.56 ( 27)  22.89 ( 39)
   16  Brigham Young          Ind ( 6- 3) 141.01  1L 132.21 (  5)  30.67 ( 56)  21.89 ( 29)

Review

Top 16 results

Pre = pregame prediction
Post = postgame prediction
Act = actual game margin


11/07

Cl Rnk Visitor            Score Cl Rnk Home               Score    Pre   Post Act
1A  36 Oklahoma              12 1A   3 Baylor                41  26.86  28.55  29
1A   2 Oregon                20 1A   5 Stanford              26 -14.84  -4.70   6

11/09

Cl Rnk Visitor            Score Cl Rnk Home               Score    Pre   Post Act
1A   7 Arizona St            20 1A  23 Utah                  19 -10.61  -8.65  -1
1A  16 Brigham Young         17 1A   6 Wisconsin             27  11.37  11.13  10
1A  73 Colorado               7 1A  13 Washington            59  24.45  24.48  52
1A   1 Florida St            59 1A  75 Wake Forest            3 -50.17 -51.04 -56
1A  14 Kansas St             49 1A  41 Texas Tech            26  -5.02  -9.02 -23
1A  11 LSU                   17 1A   4 Alabama               38  15.70  16.40  21
1A   9 Missouri              48 1A  71 Kentucky              17 -22.65 -24.05 -31
1A  15 UCLA                  31 1A  22 Arizona               26   0.59  -0.06  -5

Preview

Top 16 games

Date  Cl  Rk (W-L) Visitor              Cl  Rk (W-L) Home                   Line Prob
11/14 1A  25 (6-3) Georgia Tech          1A  10 (8-1) Clemson                8.25  75%
11/15 1A  13 (6-3) Washington            1A  15 (7-2) UCLA                   1.96  56%
11/16 1A  30 (6-3) Oregon St             1A   7 (7-2) Arizona St            17.33  92%
11/16 1A  41 (7-3) Texas Tech            1A   3 (8-0) Baylor                28.10  99%
11/16 1B  65 (3-7) Idaho St              1A  16 (6-3) Brigham Young         50.55 100%
11/16 1A  70 (5-4) Syracuse              1A   1 (9-0) Florida St            54.72 100%
11/16 1A   8 (9-0) Ohio State            1A  72 (3-6) Illinois             -25.08  98%
11/16 1A  55 (4-6) TCU                   1A  14 (5-4) Kansas St             17.70  93%
11/16 1A   4 (9-0) Alabama               1A  46 (4-5) Mississippi St       -24.46  98%
11/16 1A  12 (8-1) Michigan St           1A  42 (7-2) Nebraska              -9.51  78%
11/16 1A  23 (4-5) Utah                  1A   2 (8-1) Oregon                24.32  98%
11/16 1A   5 (8-1) Stanford              1A  20 (7-3) Southern Cal          -9.62  78%
11/16 1A  48 (4-5) Indiana               1A   6 (7-2) Wisconsin             23.28  97%

Notes

Comments are welcome

Rankings are unbiased.