11/23 Weekly NCAA FB Report


NCAA Football

Weekly 1A FB Report

Rankings

    R  Team                  Conf ( W- L)    Mod Str  Sched  Rank     Off Ave      Def Ave
    1  Florida St             ACC (11- 0) 175.69 11W 121.18 ( 72)  55.18 (  2)  11.36 (  3)
    2  Alabama                SEC (11- 0) 155.54 11W 124.99 ( 52)  39.73 ( 13)   9.27 (  1)
    3  Oregon                 P12 ( 9- 2) 152.98  1L 129.09 ( 26)  47.73 (  4)  20.36 ( 21)
    4  Wisconsin              B10 ( 9- 2) 152.47  6W 124.72 ( 55)  36.82 ( 23)  13.36 (  5)
    5  Stanford               P12 ( 9- 2) 152.12  1W 133.44 (  4)  33.36 ( 45)  18.91 ( 14)
    6  Arizona St             P12 ( 9- 2) 150.92  6W 135.68 (  3)  41.91 ( 10)  25.18 ( 54)
    7  Ohio State             B10 (11- 0) 150.00 11W 120.52 ( 75)  48.73 (  3)  18.36 (  8)
    8  Oklahoma St            B12 (10- 1) 149.62  7W 126.35 ( 45)  41.18 ( 12)  18.82 ( 11)
    9  Baylor                 B12 ( 9- 1) 149.11  1L 124.11 ( 59)  56.80 (  1)  20.60 ( 22)
   10  Missouri               SEC (10- 1) 148.35  3W 126.63 ( 43)  39.73 ( 14)  19.27 ( 15)
   11  Michigan St            B10 (10- 1) 147.94  7W 120.22 ( 79)  30.82 ( 56)  12.55 (  4)
   12  Washington             P12 ( 7- 4) 146.86  1W 132.15 (  7)  39.55 ( 15)  24.00 ( 41)
   13  LSU                    SEC ( 8- 3) 146.69  1W 129.19 ( 23)  37.55 ( 21)  22.27 ( 34)
   14  UCLA                   P12 ( 8- 3) 145.39  1L 131.90 (  8)  36.64 ( 26)  25.00 ( 50)
   15  Clemson                ACC (10- 1) 145.28  4W 126.12 ( 47)  42.27 (  9)  20.18 ( 18)
   16  Auburn                 SEC (10- 1) 142.72  7W 126.34 ( 46)  39.00 ( 16)  22.00 ( 31)

Review

Top 16 results

Pre = pregame prediction
Post = postgame prediction
Act = actual game margin


11/23

Cl Rnk Visitor            Score Cl Rnk Home               Score    Pre   Post Act
1A   6 Arizona St            38 1A  14 UCLA                  33  -3.02  -2.87  -5
1A   9 Baylor                17 1A   8 Oklahoma St           49 -10.58   3.18  32
1A 102 California            13 1A   5 Stanford              63  45.65  44.75  50
1B  25 Chattanooga            0 1A   2 Alabama               49  49.13  48.61  49
1A 120 Idaho                 14 1A   1 Florida St            80  84.85  86.16  66
1A  54 Indiana               14 1A   7 Ohio State            42  24.14  24.35  28
1A  11 Michigan St           30 1A  62 Northwestern           6 -12.47 -19.21 -24
1A  10 Missouri              24 1A  25 Mississippi           10  -7.39  -8.39 -14
1A   3 Oregon                16 1A  17 Arizona               42 -18.42  -7.61  26
1A  22 Texas A&M             10 1A  13 LSU                   34   5.15   9.59  24
1B  48 The Citadel            6 1A  15 Clemson               52  46.68  46.59  46
1A  12 Washington            69 1A  37 Oregon St             27  -6.00 -10.55 -42
1A   4 Wisconsin             20 1A  53 Minnesota              7 -24.31 -21.00 -13

Preview

Top 16 games

Date  Cl  Rk (W-L) Visitor              Cl  Rk (W-L) Home                   Line Prob
11/29 1A  78 (3-8) Arkansas              1A  13 (8-3) LSU                   29.44  99%
11/29 1A  37 (6-5) Oregon St             1A   3 (9-2) Oregon                21.99  96%
11/29 1A  44 (6-5) Washington St         1A  12 (7-4) Washington            17.51  92%
11/30 1A  17 (7-4) Arizona               1A   6 (9-2) Arizona St            10.87  81%
11/30 1A  53 (8-3) Minnesota             1A  11 (10-1) Michigan St           21.79  96%
11/30 1A  22 (8-3) Texas A&M             1A  10 (10-1) Missouri              11.26  82%
11/30 1A  15 (10-1) Clemson               1   20 (9-2) South Carolina        -2.35  57%
11/30 1A  14 (8-3) UCLA                  1A  18 (9-3) Southern Cal          -0.58  52%
11/30 1A  36 (8-3) Notre Dame            1A   5 (9-2) Stanford              20.96  95%
11/30 1A   9 (9-1) Baylor                1A  51 (4-7) TCU                  -16.50  91%
11/30 1A  66 (6-5) Penn State            1A   4 (9-2) Wisconsin             30.69  99%

Notes

Comments are welcome

Rankings are unbiased.