11/30 Weekly NCAA FB Report

NCAA Football

Weekly 1A FB Report

Rankings

    R  Team                  Conf ( W- L)    Mod Str  Sched  Rank     Off Ave      Def Ave
    1  Florida St             ACC (12- 0) 174.43 12W 121.42 ( 68)  53.67 (  2)  11.00 (  1)
    2  Alabama                SEC (11- 1) 153.03  1L 126.21 ( 45)  38.75 ( 14)  11.33 (  2)
    3  Oregon                 P12 (10- 2) 151.75  1W 128.73 ( 25)  46.75 (  5)  21.58 ( 25)
    4  Arizona St             P12 ( 9- 2) 150.14  6W 134.74 (  3)  41.91 (  9)  25.18 ( 54)
    5  Oklahoma St            B12 (10- 1) 149.16  7W 125.96 ( 49)  41.18 ( 10)  18.82 ( 12)
    6  Stanford               P12 (10- 2) 148.75  2W 133.25 (  5)  32.83 ( 46)  19.00 ( 13)
    7  Ohio State             B10 (12- 0) 148.33 12W 121.70 ( 67)  48.17 (  3)  20.25 ( 18)
    8  Wisconsin              B10 ( 9- 3) 148.32  1L 124.58 ( 57)  35.75 ( 26)  14.83 (  6)
    9  Washington             P12 ( 8- 4) 147.95  2W 131.31 ( 12)  38.50 ( 17)  23.42 ( 39)
   10  Missouri               SEC (11- 1) 147.59  4W 127.04 ( 39)  38.75 ( 15)  19.42 ( 14)
   11  UCLA                   P12 ( 9- 3) 146.51  1W 132.27 (  8)  36.50 ( 24)  24.08 ( 43)
   12  Baylor                 B12 (10- 1) 145.85  1W 124.50 ( 58)  55.36 (  1)  22.18 ( 28)
   13  Clemson                ACC (10- 2) 145.48  1L 126.66 ( 42)  40.17 ( 12)  21.08 ( 19)
   14  Michigan St            B10 (11- 1) 144.60  8W 121.34 ( 70)  29.42 ( 63)  11.75 (  4)
   15  LSU                    SEC ( 9- 3) 143.72  2W 128.06 ( 27)  37.00 ( 22)  22.67 ( 34)
   16  Auburn                 SEC (11- 1) 143.66  8W 127.92 ( 28)  38.58 ( 16)  22.50 ( 32)

Review

Top 16 results

Pre = pregame prediction
Post = postgame prediction
Act = actual game margin


11/29

Cl Rnk Visitor            Score Cl Rnk Home               Score    Pre   Post Act
1A  77 Arkansas              27 1A  15 LSU                   31  29.44  25.90   4
1A  32 Oregon St             35 1A   3 Oregon                36  21.99  19.62   1
1A  45 Washington St         17 1A   9 Washington            27  17.51  18.63  10

11/30

Cl Rnk Visitor            Score Cl Rnk Home               Score    Pre   Post Act
1A   2 Alabama               28 1A  16 Auburn                34 -10.17  -6.74   6
1A  12 Baylor                41 1A  46 TCU                   38 -16.50 -12.12  -3
1A  13 Clemson               17 1A  18 South Carolina        31  -2.35  -1.47  14
1A   1 Florida St            37 1A  47 Florida                7 -42.62 -41.81 -30
1A  52 Minnesota              3 1A  14 Michigan St           14  21.79  17.90  11
1A  34 Notre Dame            20 1A   6 Stanford              27  20.96  17.09   7
1A   7 Ohio State            42 1A  36 Michigan              41 -15.25 -11.80  -1
1A  57 Penn State            31 1A   8 Wisconsin             24  30.69  23.77  -7
1A  20 Texas A&M             21 1A  10 Missouri              28  11.26  10.08   7
1A  11 UCLA                  35 1A  21 Southern Cal          14  -0.58  -3.75 -21

Preview

Top 16 games

Date  Cl  Rk (W-L) Visitor              Cl  Rk (W-L) Home                   Line Prob
12/07 1A  33 (8-3) Texas                 1A  12 (10-1) Baylor                13.86  87%
12/07 1A  24 (9-2) Oklahoma              1A   5 (10-1) Oklahoma St           15.07  88%

Notes

Comments are welcome

Rankings are unbiased.