10/04 Weekly NCAA FB Report


NCAA Football

Weekly 1A FB Report

Rankings

    R  Team                  Conf ( W- L)    Mod Str  Sched  Rank     Off Ave      Def Ave
    1  Auburn                Sout ( 5- 0) 195.47  5W 161.77 (  9)  42.00 ( 15)  14.40 (  9)
    2  Mississippi St        Sout ( 5- 0) 188.57  5W 155.52 ( 28)  42.60 ( 13)  19.40 ( 23)
    3  Oklahoma               Big ( 4- 1) 188.46  1L 163.51 (  8)  42.40 ( 14)  20.60 ( 33)
    4  Mississippi           Sout ( 5- 0) 186.55  5W 155.88 ( 23)  35.80 ( 36)  10.20 (  2)
    5  TCU                    Big ( 4- 0) 186.43  4W 149.57 ( 79)  42.75 ( 12)  13.50 (  7)
    6  Baylor                 Big ( 5- 0) 184.91  5W 146.03 ( 98)  51.00 (  1)  12.40 (  5)
    7  Alabama               Sout ( 4- 1) 182.43  1L 160.11 ( 11)  37.00 ( 30)  15.80 ( 13)
    8  Texas A&M             Sout ( 5- 1) 179.61  1L 152.63 ( 50)  47.83 (  3)  20.50 ( 30)
    9  Georgia               Sout ( 4- 1) 178.22  3W 155.33 ( 29)  45.00 (  6)  21.60 ( 45)
   10  UCLA                  Paci ( 4- 1) 176.25  1L 165.82 (  5)  36.00 ( 34)  25.80 ( 73)
   11  Louisville            Atla ( 5- 1) 175.75  3W 148.84 ( 82)  33.33 ( 53)  12.67 (  6)
   12  Marshall              Conf ( 5- 0) 174.60  5W 133.76 (127)  47.60 (  4)  15.80 ( 12)
   13  Florida St            Atla ( 5- 0) 173.60  5W 151.01 ( 64)  39.20 ( 24)  20.80 ( 36)
   14  Kansas St              Big ( 4- 1) 173.49  2W 156.78 ( 19)  40.80 ( 18)  21.00 ( 38)
   15  Notre Dame            Foot ( 5- 0) 173.46  5W 154.55 ( 36)  31.40 ( 62)  12.00 (  4)
   16  Tennessee             Sout ( 2- 3) 173.02  3L 168.96 (  2)  24.60 ( 93)  21.00 ( 39)

Review

Top 16 results

Pre = pregame prediction
Post = postgame prediction
Act = actual game margin


10/03

Cl Rnk Visitor            Score Cl Rnk Home               Score    Pre   Post Act
1A  11 Louisville            28 1A  51 Syracuse               6  -6.08 -15.46 -22

10/04

Cl Rnk Visitor            Score Cl Rnk Home               Score    Pre   Post Act
1A   7 Alabama               17 1A   4 Mississippi           23  -4.41   5.97   6
1A   6 Baylor                28 1A  45 Texas                  7 -19.30 -20.97 -21
1A  27 Florida               10 1A  16 Tennessee              9   8.33   6.66  -1
1A  26 LSU                    7 1A   1 Auburn                41  19.79  28.34  34
1A  12 Marshall              56 1A 110 Old Dominion          14 -27.98 -35.10 -42
1A   3 Oklahoma              33 1A   5 TCU                   37  -8.07  -0.18   4
1A  29 Stanford              14 1A  15 Notre Dame            17  18.69   8.41   3
1A   8 Texas A&M             31 1A   2 Mississippi St        48  -7.09  10.81  17
1A  77 Texas Tech            13 1A  14 Kansas St             45  22.84  25.24  32
1A  23 Utah                  30 1A  10 UCLA                  28  12.12   8.71  -2
1A 101 Vanderbilt            17 1A   9 Georgia               44  40.11  37.74  27
1A 104 Wake Forest            3 1A  13 Florida St            43  39.22  34.01  40

Preview

Top 16 games

Date  Cl  Rk (W-L) Visitor              Cl  Rk (W-L) Home                   Line Prob
10/11 1A   7 (4-1) Alabama               1A  17 (3-2) Arkansas              -8.33  63%
10/11 1A  11 (5-1) Louisville            1A  18 (3-2) Clemson               -1.87  53%
10/11 1A  78 (4-2) Middle Tennessee St   1A  12 (5-0) Marshall              26.37  85%
10/11 1A   9 (4-1) Georgia               1A  24 (4-1) Missouri              -7.21  61%
10/11 1A  88 (2-3) North Carolina        1A  15 (5-0) Notre Dame            29.80  88%
10/11 1A  13 (5-0) Florida St            1A  51 (2-3) Syracuse             -13.31  70%
10/11 1B  13 (3-2) Chattanooga           1A  16 (2-3) Tennessee             30.72  88%
10/11 1A   3 (4-1) Oklahoma              1A  45 (2-3) Texas                -26.36  85%
10/11 1A  20 (4-1) Oregon                1A  10 (4-1) UCLA                   7.24  61%

Notes

Comments are welcome

Rankings are unbiased.