10/18 Weekly NCAA FB Report


NCAA Football

Weekly 1A FB Report

Rankings

    R  Team                  Conf ( W- L)    Mod Str  Sched  Rank     Off Ave      Def Ave
    1  Mississippi           Sout ( 7- 0) 182.27  7W 151.27 ( 11)  35.43 ( 30)  10.57 (  1)
    2  Mississippi St        Sout ( 6- 0) 181.74  6W 151.96 ( 10)  41.83 (  9)  20.00 ( 23)
    3  Alabama               Sout ( 6- 1) 181.11  2W 155.07 (  5)  36.86 ( 26)  13.14 (  3)
    4  Auburn                Sout ( 5- 1) 179.97  1L 160.81 (  1)  38.83 ( 16)  18.33 ( 13)
    5  TCU                    Big ( 5- 1) 174.34  1W 142.18 ( 67)  45.17 (  5)  20.67 ( 27)
    6  Georgia               Sout ( 6- 1) 174.17  5W 148.27 ( 23)  43.43 (  7)  20.00 ( 22)
    7  Oklahoma               Big ( 5- 2) 170.91  1L 155.83 (  3)  39.00 ( 15)  22.86 ( 44)
    8  Marshall              Conf ( 7- 0) 169.56  7W 128.78 (121)  47.43 (  2)  16.57 (  7)
    9  Oregon                Paci ( 6- 1) 167.35  2W 146.60 ( 35)  43.57 (  6)  23.71 ( 48)
   10  Kansas St              Big ( 5- 1) 167.33  3W 149.47 ( 17)  39.17 ( 14)  22.50 ( 43)
   11  Nebraska               Big ( 6- 1) 166.95  1W 142.44 ( 66)  41.00 ( 12)  19.86 ( 18)
   12  Baylor                 Big ( 6- 1) 165.52  1L 141.82 ( 72)  49.00 (  1)  23.00 ( 45)
   13  Michigan St            Big ( 6- 1) 165.26  5W 142.98 ( 61)  47.00 (  3)  21.57 ( 36)
   14  LSU                   Sout ( 6- 2) 165.07  2W 149.27 ( 19)  35.62 ( 28)  17.00 (  8)
   15  Arkansas              Sout ( 3- 4) 164.46  3L 150.71 ( 13)  38.29 ( 20)  26.86 ( 69)
   16  Florida St            Atla ( 7- 0) 163.94  7W 143.87 ( 54)  37.86 ( 21)  21.57 ( 35)

Review

Top 16 results

Pre = pregame prediction
Post = postgame prediction
Act = actual game margin


10/18

Cl Rnk Visitor            Score Cl Rnk Home               Score    Pre   Post Act
1A  12 Baylor                27 1A  19 West Virginia         41 -16.12  -1.14  14
1A   6 Georgia               45 1A  15 Arkansas              32 -12.20  -9.71 -13
1A  10 Kansas St             31 1A   7 Oklahoma              30  10.96   5.49  -1
1A  55 Kentucky               3 1A  14 LSU                   41   7.63  18.99  38
1A   8 Marshall              45 1A  84 Florida Int'l         13 -24.40 -28.77 -32
1A  13 Michigan St           56 1A  75 Indiana               17  -9.72 -21.02 -39
1A  11 Nebraska              38 1A  54 Northwestern          17 -12.31 -17.05 -21
1A  21 Notre Dame            27 1A  16 Florida St            31   4.08   4.20   4
1A  42 Oklahoma St            9 1A   5 TCU                   42  21.77  23.75  33
1A  22 Tennessee              3 1A   1 Mississippi           34  12.00  22.63  31
1A  25 Texas A&M              0 1A   3 Alabama               59   5.52  23.87  59
1A  48 Washington            20 1A   9 Oregon                45  13.88  19.23  25

Preview

Top 16 games

Date  Cl  Rk (W-L) Visitor              Cl  Rk (W-L) Home                   Line Prob
10/24 1A   9 (6-1) Oregon                1A  58 (4-3) California           -20.30  88%
10/25 1A  72 (4-3) Alabama-Birmingham    1A  15 (3-4) Arkansas              23.15  91%
10/25 1A  41 (4-3) South Carolina        1A   4 (5-1) Auburn                28.86  95%
10/25 1A  50 (3-4) Texas                 1A  10 (5-1) Kansas St             19.41  87%
10/25 1A   2 (6-0) Mississippi St        1A  55 (5-2) Kentucky             -31.85  97%
10/25 1A   1 (7-0) Mississippi           1A  14 (6-2) LSU                  -15.30  81%
10/25 1A  93 (3-4) Florida Atlantic      1A   8 (7-0) Marshall              34.42  98%
10/25 1A  68 (3-4) Michigan              1A  13 (6-1) Michigan St           21.99  90%
10/25 1A  57 (5-2) Rutgers               1A  11 (6-1) Nebraska              21.24  89%
10/25 1A  77 (3-4) Texas Tech            1A   5 (5-1) TCU                   34.84  98%
10/25 1A   3 (6-1) Alabama               1A  22 (3-4) Tennessee            -17.66  84%

Notes

Comments are welcome

Rankings are unbiased.