2015/09/12 Weekly NCAA FB Report


NCAA Football

Weekly 1A FB Report

Rankings

    R  Team                  Conf ( W- L)    Mod Str  Sched  Rank     Off Ave      Def Ave
    1  Mississippi           Sout ( 2- 0) 197.43  2W 142.02 (104)  74.50 (  1)  12.00 ( 24)
    2  Alabama               Sout ( 2- 0) 195.87  2W 168.41 ( 17)  36.00 ( 46)  13.50 ( 26)
    3  Ohio State             Big ( 2- 0) 189.96  2W 164.27 ( 30)  40.00 ( 36)  12.00 ( 21)
    4  Georgia Tech          Atla ( 2- 0) 189.82  2W 136.55 (116)  67.00 (  2)   8.00 (  7)
    5  Southern Cal          Paci ( 2- 0) 188.56  2W 145.54 ( 87)  57.00 (  6)   7.50 (  6)
    6  TCU                    Big ( 2- 0) 186.58  2W 154.30 ( 55)  46.50 ( 16)  12.00 ( 22)
    7  Oklahoma               Big ( 2- 0) 184.76  2W 160.13 ( 43)  36.00 ( 47)  13.50 ( 25)
    8  Georgia               Sout ( 2- 0) 181.91  2W 151.84 ( 64)  41.00 ( 33)  14.00 ( 27)
    9  UCLA                  Paci ( 2- 0) 181.05  2W 156.29 ( 49)  35.50 ( 48)   9.50 ( 11)
   10  Memphis               Amer ( 2- 0) 180.90  2W 143.69 ( 97)  59.00 (  5)  15.00 ( 29)
   11  Texas A&M             Sout ( 2- 0) 180.47  2W 148.44 ( 76)  47.00 ( 15)  20.00 ( 54)
   12  LSU                   Sout ( 1- 0) 180.05  1W 178.05 (  3)  21.00 (103)  19.00 ( 50)
   13  Florida St            Atla ( 2- 0) 179.83  2W 150.24 ( 70)  46.50 ( 17)  15.00 ( 30)
   14  West Virginia          Big ( 2- 0) 179.77  2W 152.84 ( 62)  42.50 ( 28)   8.50 ( 10)
   15  Michigan St            Big ( 2- 0) 179.42  2W 161.33 ( 40)  34.00 ( 55)  26.00 ( 77)
   16  Oregon                Paci ( 1- 1) 179.40  1L 167.11 ( 19)  44.50 ( 21)  36.50 (114)

Review

Top 16 results

Pre = pregame prediction
Post = postgame prediction
Act = actual game margin


09/12

Cl Rnk Visitor            Score Cl Rnk Home               Score    Pre   Post Act
1A 113 Ball St               23 1A  11 Texas A&M             56  42.58  41.61  33
1A  93 Fresno St             21 1A   1 Mississippi           73  40.67  49.16  52
1A   8 Georgia               31 1A  77 Vanderbilt            14 -32.93 -21.66 -17
1A  73 Hawaii                 0 1A   3 Ohio State            38  32.80  33.39  38
1A 118 Idaho                  9 1A   5 Southern Cal          59  55.71  51.49  50
1B  24 Liberty               17 1A  14 West Virginia         41  46.15  37.39  24
1A  12 LSU                   21 1A  27 Mississippi St        19  -0.49  -2.00  -2
1A  10 Memphis               55 1A  86 Kansas                23 -27.75 -23.23 -32
1A  65 Middle Tennessee St   10 1A   2 Alabama               37  38.83  36.93  27
1A   7 Oklahoma              31 1A  18 Tennessee             24  -2.44  -2.66  -7
1A  16 Oregon                28 1A  15 Michigan St           31  -4.26   3.00   3
1A  81 South Florida         14 1A  13 Florida St            34  30.85  26.55  20
1B  58 Stephen F. Austin      7 1A   6 TCU                   70  52.20  55.64  63
1A 109 Tulane                10 1A   4 Georgia Tech          65  42.87  49.91  55
1A   9 UCLA                  37 1A 106 UNLV                   3 -33.50 -32.99 -34

Preview

Top 16 games

Date  Cl  Rk (W-L) Visitor              Cl  Rk (W-L) Home                   Line Prob
09/18 1A  13 (2-0) Florida St            1A  42 (2-0) Boston College       -10.14  69%
09/19 1A  10 (2-0) Memphis               1A  63 (1-1) Bowling Green        -17.78  81%
09/19 1A  56 (1-1) South Carolina        1A   8 (2-0) Georgia               17.97  82%
09/19 1A  48 (2-0) Auburn                1A  12 (1-0) LSU                   14.35  76%
09/19 1A  35 (2-0) Air Force             1A  15 (2-0) Michigan St            9.73  69%
09/19 1A   4 (2-0) Georgia Tech          1A  21 (2-0) Notre Dame           -10.19  69%
09/19 1A  97 (2-0) Northern Illinois     1A   3 (2-0) Ohio State            40.87  98%
09/19 1A  84 (2-0) Tulsa                 1A   7 (2-0) Oklahoma              29.97  93%
09/19 1A 125 (1-1) Georgia St            1A  16 (1-1) Oregon                47.15  99%
09/19 1A  45 (1-1) Stanford              1A   5 (2-0) Southern Cal          22.21  87%
09/19 1A 107 (1-1) SMU                   1A   6 (2-0) TCU                   43.20  98%
09/19 1A 112 (1-1) Nevada                1A  11 (2-0) Texas A&M             39.22  98%
09/19 1A  17 (2-0) Brigham Young         1A   9 (2-0) UCLA                   2.84  56%

Notes

Comments are welcome

Rankings are biased: 48% this year’s game scores, 52% last year’s team scores