2015/10/03 Weekly NCAA FB Report


NCAA Football

Weekly 1A FB Report

Rankings

    R  Team                  Conf ( W- L)    Mod Str  Sched  Rank     Off Ave      Def Ave
    1  Oklahoma               Big ( 4- 0) 185.44  4W 160.67 (  4)  42.00 ( 11)  22.25 ( 53)
    2  Alabama               Sout ( 4- 1) 184.19  2W 158.23 (  7)  36.20 ( 33)  16.00 ( 19)
    3  Baylor                 Big ( 4- 0) 181.90  4W 140.79 (105)  63.75 (  1)  26.00 ( 79)
    4  West Virginia          Big ( 3- 1) 180.06  1L 154.95 ( 24)  38.50 ( 22)  16.75 ( 21)
    5  Stanford              Paci ( 4- 1) 179.48  4W 158.51 (  6)  35.00 ( 37)  19.00 ( 32)
    6  Michigan               Big ( 4- 1) 179.32  4W 159.93 (  5)  27.80 ( 75)   7.60 (  2)
    7  Utah                  Paci ( 4- 0) 179.31  4W 151.76 ( 47)  38.75 ( 20)  18.75 ( 30)
    8  Northwestern           Big ( 5- 0) 177.94  5W 152.80 ( 34)  25.40 ( 89)   7.00 (  1)
    9  Southern Cal          Paci ( 3- 1) 175.38  1W 152.84 ( 33)  46.75 (  5)  17.50 ( 22)
   10  Navy                  Amer ( 4- 0) 174.61  4W 150.15 ( 59)  38.50 ( 23)  15.00 ( 13)
   11  North Carolina        Atla ( 4- 1) 173.70  4W 145.70 ( 83)  38.60 ( 21)  18.00 ( 25)
   12  Florida               Sout ( 5- 0) 173.68  5W 152.66 ( 36)  34.40 ( 41)  16.60 ( 20)
   13  Clemson               Atla ( 4- 0) 172.81  4W 155.36 ( 18)  33.50 ( 44)  14.75 ( 12)
   14  Texas A&M             Sout ( 5- 0) 172.10  5W 153.52 ( 31)  39.20 ( 17)  21.00 ( 45)
   15  Boise St              Moun ( 4- 1) 171.06  3W 146.17 ( 80)  40.60 ( 13)  12.40 (  8)
   16  Tennessee             Sout ( 2- 3) 169.88  2L 157.99 (  8)  37.00 ( 30)  24.60 ( 71)

Review

Top 16 results

Pre = pregame prediction
Post = postgame prediction
Act = actual game margin


10/03

Cl Rnk Visitor            Score Cl Rnk Home               Score    Pre   Post Act
1A  60 Air Force             11 1A  10 Navy                  33   7.65  20.66  22
1A   2 Alabama               38 1A  17 Georgia               10  -6.77 -12.57 -28
1A  81 Arizona               17 1A   5 Stanford              55  14.23  33.32  38
1A  38 Arkansas              24 1A  16 Tennessee             20  19.09  11.10  -4
1A  89 Hawaii                 0 1A  15 Boise St              55  27.50  26.82  55
1A   6 Michigan              28 1A  78 Maryland               0 -36.22 -28.21 -28
1A  86 Minnesota              0 1A   8 Northwestern          27  37.26  33.10  27
1A  26 Mississippi           10 1A  12 Florida               38 -28.35   8.14  28
1A  33 Mississippi St        17 1A  14 Texas A&M             30  -3.80  11.14  13
1A  11 North Carolina        38 1A  39 Georgia Tech          31  -7.13 -11.07  -7
1A  22 Notre Dame            22 1A  13 Clemson               24   2.24   6.15   2
1A  36 Texas Tech            35 1A   3 Baylor                63  18.94  20.64  28
1A   4 West Virginia         24 1A   1 Oklahoma              44  -3.60   7.38  20

Preview

Top 16 games

Date  Cl  Rk (W-L) Visitor              Cl  Rk (W-L) Home                   Line Prob
10/08 1A  34 (2-2) Washington            1A   9 (3-1) Southern Cal          14.68  71%
10/10 1A  38 (2-3) Arkansas              1A   2 (4-1) Alabama               25.42  84%
10/10 1A  39 (2-3) Georgia Tech          1A  13 (4-0) Clemson               14.17  71%
10/10 1A  15 (4-1) Boise St              1A 101 (2-3) Colorado St          -28.58  86%
10/10 1A   3 (4-0) Baylor                1A 116 (0-4) Kansas               -47.71  97%
10/10 1A  12 (5-0) Florida               1A  64 (4-1) Missouri             -17.68  75%
10/10 1A  10 (4-0) Navy                  1A  22 (4-1) Notre Dame            -3.95  56%
10/10 1A  17 (4-1) Georgia               1A  16 (2-3) Tennessee              2.25  53%
10/10 1A   1 (4-0) Oklahoma              1A  87 (1-4) Texas                -38.65  93%
10/10 1A  58 (5-0) California            1A   7 (4-0) Utah                  24.89  83%
10/10 1A  43 (5-0) Oklahoma St           1A   4 (3-1) West Virginia         21.89  80%

Notes

Comments are welcome

Rankings are unbiased.