2016/10/29 Weekly NCAA FB Report


NCAA Football

Weekly 1A FB Report

Rankings

    R  Team                  Conf ( W- L)    Mod Str  Sched  Rank     Off Ave      Def Ave
    1  Alabama               Sout ( 8- 0) 188.63  8W 151.61 ( 14)  43.88 (  8)  14.88 (  4)
    2  Michigan               Big ( 8- 0) 183.61  8W 150.47 ( 22)  46.62 (  3)  11.62 (  1)
    3  Washington            Paci ( 8- 0) 177.47  8W 141.87 ( 75)  46.12 (  4)  15.75 (  7)
    4  Ohio State             Big ( 7- 1) 174.44  1W 150.45 ( 23)  42.62 ( 10)  15.12 (  6)
    5  Louisville            Atla ( 7- 1) 173.65  3W 144.58 ( 56)  50.00 (  1)  23.00 ( 34)
    6  Auburn                Sout ( 6- 2) 171.92  5W 150.75 ( 20)  36.25 ( 27)  16.00 (  8)
    7  Clemson               Atla ( 8- 0) 170.34  8W 151.29 ( 16)  36.62 ( 26)  17.62 ( 11)
    8  Wisconsin              Big ( 6- 2) 169.09  2W 156.28 (  5)  24.12 ( 95)  14.62 (  3)
    9  Colorado              Paci ( 6- 2) 168.50  2W 148.93 ( 29)  35.38 ( 33)  18.12 ( 13)
   10  Texas A&M             Sout ( 7- 1) 166.20  1W 148.72 ( 31)  38.38 ( 22)  19.75 ( 20)
   11  LSU                   Sout ( 5- 2) 166.13  3W 152.59 ( 11)  29.86 ( 62)  15.00 (  5)
   12  Virginia Tech         Atla ( 6- 2) 165.26  2W 147.21 ( 41)  36.25 ( 28)  20.12 ( 22)
   13  Western Michigan      Mid- ( 8- 0) 164.66  8W 135.02 (107)  44.38 (  6)  19.25 ( 18)
   14  Florida               Sout ( 6- 1) 161.95  3W 141.35 ( 81)  29.43 ( 66)  11.71 (  2)
   15  Nebraska               Big ( 7- 1) 161.46  1L 144.69 ( 54)  32.00 ( 49)  18.38 ( 15)
   16  Southern Cal          Paci ( 5- 3) 161.34  4W 156.15 (  6)  30.38 ( 58)  24.00 ( 43)

Review

Top 16 results

Pre = pregame prediction
Post = postgame prediction
Act = actual game margin


10/27

Cl Rnk Visitor            Score Cl Rnk Home               Score    Pre   Post Act
1A  55 California            24 1A  16 Southern Cal          45  13.38  14.04  21
1A  12 Virginia Tech         39 1A  37 Pittsburgh            36  -7.91  -9.59  -3

10/29

Cl Rnk Visitor            Score Cl Rnk Home               Score    Pre   Post Act
1A   6 Auburn                40 1A  20 Mississippi           29  -7.90  -9.70 -11
1A   7 Clemson               37 1A  17 Florida St            34  -5.11  -7.22  -3
1A  65 Georgia               10 1A  14 Florida               24  18.15  16.61  14
1A   5 Louisville            32 1A  82 Virginia              25 -47.56 -30.37  -7
1A   2 Michigan              32 1A  75 Michigan St           23 -33.84 -38.32  -9
1A  15 Nebraska              17 1A   8 Wisconsin             23  15.53   9.57   6
1A 124 New Mexico St         10 1A  10 Texas A&M             52  45.82  45.82  42
1A  31 Northwestern          20 1A   4 Ohio State            24  24.09  21.14   4
1A   3 Washington            31 1A  32 Utah                  24 -26.06 -20.91  -7

Preview

Top 16 games

Date  Cl  Rk (W-L) Visitor              Cl  Rk (W-L) Home                   Line Prob
11/01 1A  13 (8-0) Western Michigan      1A 104 (4-4) Ball St              -27.71  99%
11/03 1A  33 (3-5) UCLA                  1A   9 (6-2) Colorado              16.02  91%
11/05 1A  14 (6-1) Florida               1A  64 (5-3) Arkansas             -13.91  88%
11/05 1A  70 (4-4) Vanderbilt            1A   6 (6-2) Auburn                29.64  99%
11/05 1A   5 (7-1) Louisville            1A  86 (4-4) Boston College       -31.78 100%
11/05 1A   3 (8-0) Washington            1A  55 (4-4) California           -26.29  99%
11/05 1A  77 (4-4) Syracuse              1A   7 (8-0) Clemson               28.98  99%
11/05 1A  12 (6-2) Virginia Tech         1A  63 (3-5) Duke                 -16.72  92%
11/05 1A   1 (8-0) Alabama               1A  11 (5-2) LSU                  -20.57  96%
11/05 1A  48 (5-3) Maryland              1A   2 (8-0) Michigan              34.97 100%
11/05 1A  10 (7-1) Texas A&M             1A  59 (3-5) Mississippi St       -15.62  91%
11/05 1A   8 (6-2) Wisconsin             1A  31 (3-4) Northwestern         -11.91  84%
11/05 1A  15 (7-1) Nebraska              1A   4 (7-1) Ohio State            14.92  90%
11/05 1A  44 (3-5) Oregon                1A  16 (5-3) Southern Cal          11.95  84%

Notes

Comments are welcome

Rankings are unbiased.