2016/11/05 Weekly NCAA FB Report


NCAA Football

Weekly 1A FB Report

Rankings

    R  Team                  Conf ( W- L)    Mod Str  Sched  Rank     Off Ave      Def Ave
    1  Michigan               Big ( 9- 0) 183.19  9W 148.89 ( 22)  48.00 (  3)  10.67 (  1)
    2  Alabama               Sout ( 9- 0) 182.32  9W 152.27 ( 10)  40.11 ( 15)  13.22 (  2)
    3  Washington            Paci ( 9- 0) 181.04  9W 141.12 ( 71)  48.33 (  2)  17.00 ( 11)
    4  Ohio State             Big ( 8- 1) 179.69  2W 149.50 ( 18)  44.78 (  6)  13.78 (  3)
    5  Louisville            Atla ( 8- 1) 177.33  4W 142.35 ( 62)  50.22 (  1)  21.22 ( 21)
    6  Auburn                Sout ( 7- 2) 167.71  6W 149.24 ( 21)  34.78 ( 35)  16.00 (  9)
    7  Wisconsin              Big ( 7- 2) 167.69  3W 154.14 (  3)  23.78 ( 99)  13.78 (  4)
    8  Colorado              Paci ( 7- 2) 167.23  3W 148.81 ( 23)  33.67 ( 40)  17.22 ( 12)
    9  Clemson               Atla ( 9- 0) 165.49  9W 148.69 ( 24)  38.56 ( 21)  15.67 (  8)
   10  LSU                   Sout ( 5- 3) 164.37  1L 153.39 (  5)  26.12 ( 82)  14.38 (  6)
   11  Western Michigan      Mid- ( 9- 0) 163.14  9W 133.28 (107)  45.22 (  5)  19.33 ( 16)
   12  Washington St         Paci ( 7- 2) 162.98  7W 146.64 ( 37)  43.00 ( 10)  24.67 ( 43)
   13  Penn State             Big ( 7- 2) 162.37  5W 152.37 (  8)  34.44 ( 38)  25.56 ( 50)
   14  Texas A&M             Sout ( 7- 2) 162.02  1L 147.27 ( 29)  37.22 ( 26)  21.44 ( 25)
   15  Virginia Tech         Atla ( 7- 2) 161.50  3W 145.71 ( 41)  34.89 ( 33)  20.22 ( 18)
   16  Southern Cal          Paci ( 6- 3) 160.34  5W 152.06 ( 13)  32.00 ( 49)  23.56 ( 38)

Review

Top 16 results

Pre = pregame prediction
Post = postgame prediction
Act = actual game margin


11/03

Cl Rnk Visitor            Score Cl Rnk Home               Score    Pre   Post Act
1A  31 UCLA                  10 1A   8 Colorado              20  16.92  16.17  10

11/05

Cl Rnk Visitor            Score Cl Rnk Home               Score    Pre   Post Act
1A   2 Alabama               10 1A  10 LSU                    0 -20.54 -16.13 -10
1A  98 Arizona                7 1A  12 Washington St         69  19.04  31.31  62
1A  44 Iowa                  14 1A  13 Penn State            41   9.05  13.66  27
1A   5 Louisville            52 1A  79 Boston College         7 -31.78 -35.76 -45
1A  50 Maryland               3 1A   1 Michigan              59  35.06  35.73  56
1A  34 Nebraska               3 1A   4 Ohio State            62  14.99  28.77  59
1A  55 Oregon                20 1A  16 Southern Cal          45  12.12  13.91  25
1A  74 Syracuse               0 1A   9 Clemson               54  28.93  25.91  54
1A  14 Texas A&M             28 1A  54 Mississippi St        35 -15.56 -11.36   7
1A  70 Vanderbilt            16 1A   6 Auburn                23  29.63  25.98   7
1A  15 Virginia Tech         24 1A  63 Duke                  21 -16.69 -14.10  -3
1A   3 Washington            66 1A  62 California            27 -23.85 -33.12 -39
1A   7 Wisconsin             21 1A  30 Northwestern           7 -11.90 -12.80 -14

Preview

Top 16 games

Date  Cl  Rk (W-L) Visitor              Cl  Rk (W-L) Home                   Line Prob
11/08 1A  11 (9-0) Western Michigan      1A 105 (3-6) Kent St              -30.55  99%
11/12 1A  54 (4-5) Mississippi St        1A   2 (9-0) Alabama               35.30 100%
11/12 1A   8 (7-2) Colorado              1A  98 (2-7) Arizona              -31.93 100%
11/12 1A  10 (5-3) LSU                   1A  42 (6-3) Arkansas             -11.77  84%
11/12 1A  46 (5-4) Pittsburgh            1A   9 (9-0) Clemson               17.20  92%
11/12 1A   6 (7-2) Auburn                1A  67 (5-4) Georgia              -21.99  97%
11/12 1A  13 (7-2) Penn State            1A  69 (5-4) Indiana              -16.79  92%
11/12 1A   1 (9-0) Michigan              1A  44 (5-4) Iowa                 -30.83  99%
11/12 1A  66 (6-3) Wake Forest           1A   5 (8-1) Louisville            34.85 100%
11/12 1A   4 (8-1) Ohio State            1A  50 (5-4) Maryland             -28.59  99%
11/12 1A  20 (4-5) Mississippi           1A  14 (7-2) Texas A&M              6.15  70%
11/12 1A  60 (5-4) Georgia Tech          1A  15 (7-2) Virginia Tech         16.59  92%
11/12 1A  16 (6-3) Southern Cal          1A   3 (9-0) Washington            22.52  97%
11/12 1A  62 (4-5) California            1A  12 (7-2) Washington St         18.70  94%
11/12 1A  81 (3-6) Illinois              1A   7 (7-2) Wisconsin             30.29  99%

Notes

Comments are welcome

Rankings are unbiased.